Polls

Obama Cashes in on Auto-Bailout Success, but Skepticism of Government Remains

Jeff Kowalsky / Bloomberg / Getty Images

New poll numbers illustrate both why President Obama has chosen the auto bailout to make his case for re-election, and why Mitt Romney continues to talk about his own vociferous opposition to the policy. If that sounds like a contradiction, that’s because it is. Such is the nature of the American public’s view of government.

TIME/CNN Arizona Poll: Romney Holds Narrow Lead over Santorum

sl_romneypoll_0221_blog

Mitt Romney holds a narrow lead over Rick Santorum in Arizona with a week to go before the state’s Feb. 28 primary, according to a new TIME/CNN/ORC poll.

Inside the Numbers: Potential Trouble for Romney in Michigan and Beyond

Eric Thayer / Getty Images

The Republican nominating contest is taking a much needed siesta this week, with no primaries, debates or other confabulations planned. But the polls are still trickling out and they’re ugly for the ever precarious front runner, Mitt Romney.

Obama’s Prospects in Swing States Deteriorated in 2011

Most Americans won’t have the power to choose the next President because they live in states so tilted towards one end of the political spectrum that the election outcome, barring calamity, is not in doubt. Mitt Romney doesn’t really have a chance in California. Barack Obama is not going to win Texas. What matters instead [...]

What Will Mitt Romney Talk About if the Economy Gets Better?

For the better part of two years, Mitt Romney has been relentless. “Four years ago, candidate Obama came to Nevada, promising to help,” he said in his victory speech after the Nevada caucuses on Saturday night. “Today, Nevada unemployment is over 12%, home values have plummeted, and Nevada’s foreclosure rate is the highest in the [...]

Bracing for a Loss in Florida, Gingrich Reinvents Himself as a Grassroots Insurgent

Ricardo Cases for TIME

When you throw a party only to show up an hour and forty-five minutes late, the least you can do is feed your guests. Once he arrived at a cavernous airport hangar for a rally on the last full day of campaigning before Tuesday’s pivotal Florida primary, Newt Gingrich served up a multi-course, red-meat buffet.

For Mitt Romney in Florida, It’s All About Character (Attacks)

Pompano Beach, Florida A political riddle presents itself on the trail with Mitt Romney: Can a true man of character constantly attack the character of another man? From the first introductions on Sunday, character was presented as the defining, most winning attribute of the former governor: Romney was touted as the candidate whose moral qualities [...]

Outstumped and Outspent, Newt Gingrich Flounders in Florida

Ricardo Cases for TIME

For a moment, as he gazed out at the crowd gathered in brilliant sunshine, Newt Gingrich caught a glimpse of what might have been. Gingrich arrived at this retirement enclave in central Florida, with its rippling palms and golf-cart gridlock, to a front-runner’s welcome. These were Newt’s people. They waved signs and wore stickers and fanned themselves with copies of a senior’s magazine graced by Gingrich’s face over the tagline “the thinking conservative.”

The Once and Future Front Runner: Why Romney Is Winning in Florida and What Comes Next

Charles Dharapak / AP

In a Republican-primary season marked by political chaos, here’s something that finally seems settled: Mitt Romney will win the Tuesday, Jan. 31, Florida primary. So say the latest public polls, several of which suggest Romney has a double-digit lead over Newt Gingrich. So say Romney supporters, who have delighted in discombobulating the former Speaker with [...]

Major League Primary: Why Florida Is the Big Show of the GOP Race

Marcus Yam / The New York Times / Redux

Newt Gingrich is promising to build NASA colonies on the moon. Mitt Romney is imagining Fidel Castro in “a nether region,” which one can only assume is a polite Mormon phrase for hell. Both men are all over the radio, putting on their best Spanish accents. No point in diluting the pandering: this is Florida, [...]