Poll: Congressional Dems in Trouble

Their post-shutdown advantage has vanished in the latest CNN survey

  • Share
  • Read Later

Like TIME on Facebook for more breaking news and current events from around the globe!

In the latest CNN/ORC International generic congressional poll Republicans have a 49%-47% advantage, a dramatic reversal from just a month ago.

In wake of the recent government shutdown, Democrats held a strong 50%-42% advantage among registered voters asked to choose between a Democrat and Republican for Congress without identifying candidates.

The generic congressional ballot is a crude measure, but the shift may reflect public disapproval of the way Obamacare has been introduced in the past month. Democrats typically need a strong showing on the congressional ballot to make inroads in the House.

[CNN]

27 comments
shepherdwong
shepherdwong

"Their post-shutdown advantage has vanished in the latest CNN survey."

What is this "CNN" you speak of?

BruceS78
BruceS78

Any poll this early in the campaign season is more than worthless.  To say it is crude is being kind.  Conduct a poll in every Congressional District and see if the incumbent is in trouble or not and then you might have a meaningful poll.  

There are 11 months of things that will happen in the economy and the world that will ultimately decide the election.


sacredh
sacredh

If the poll had been 49-47% in favor of the dems, would the headline have been, "Twp Parties Neck and Neck"? This poll is little more than anger at the problems with the ACA rollout problems. When it fixed and running smoothly, I expect the numbers to change. If the GOP is stupid enough (they are) to shut the government down for a second time, let's have some headlines reflecting THEIR problems and their low numbers.

Hermione
Hermione

What????

A "crude poll" does not speak for the millions of Independent voters that think for themselves, thank you. 

MarcusTaylor
MarcusTaylor

Here is the problem for the GOP and why their "White Base" is having a hissy-fit.

President Obama received 93% of the Black Vote.

President Obama received 71% of the Hispanic Vote.

President Obama received 73% of the Asian Vote.

President Obama received 69% of the Jewish Vote.

Obama and Romney basically split the White vote (Obama got the white female vote  and boy I bet that really "steams" you GOP racists to no end).  So the GOP and Republican Party ARE FINISHED AND THESE COMMENTS BY THE POSTERS AND ACTIONS BY THE "HOUSE" ARE MERELY THE "LAST THROES OF A DYING POLITICAL MOVEMENT...

You guys are finished and you know it ... but then again, as my Colonel said, "Never discount stupidity".

tkulaga
tkulaga

Without these swings in the polls, there would be no media. I mean the media needs these swings in the polls to stay financially healthy.

barneydidit
barneydidit

let's see....polls showed voters disapproving of Republicans by an 8 point margin 60 days ago...now they're disapproving of Democrats by a 2 point margin with just under a year until elections...and Democrats are in "trouble"? 

ParthaNeogy
ParthaNeogy

Funny.  I don't recall Time blaring "Congressional Republicans in Deep Trouble" when they trailed 50%-42%.  That's much worse than 49%-47%, right?  

IsabellaHathaway
IsabellaHathaway

You do understand that American citizens are not so easily manipulated that they would vote for the party of no except for taking away Social Security, Medicaid, the minimum wage, voting rights, etc. and making all of our citizens corporate shills, right? They aren't voting for the party that instead of raising the minimum wage to $10.50 (which makes approximately 100% of the people on government assistance working for fast food chains and in retail ineligible to collect assistance) continues to support corporate welfare. They aren't voting for the party that derides Obamacare but offers nothing in its place that stops thousands of Americans from dying or going bankrupt from medical bills. They aren't voting for the party that creates roadblocks to women and minorities voting. They aren't voting for the party that's addicted to the Koch brothers or costs us billions by shutting down the government when the Kochs don't get their way (which they will be doing again soon). I don't know who is being surveyed but they don't represent what is happening in reality. They are voting for the party that realizes corporations aren't people.

manlyman
manlyman

@sacredh "when it is fixed and running smoothly"? You gotta stop smoking that birdseed sac. It's rotting your brain.

sacredh
sacredh

@MarcusTaylor, I think Obama took about 40% of the white vote. The GOP does so poorly with all other demographics that 40% was more than enough. 

DarleneRitterGoodfellow
DarleneRitterGoodfellow

@barneydidit I have a lot of confidence in the Rs to continue to be irresponsible, after we might be less than two months away from another shutdown.

aztecian
aztecian

@barneydidit this is just more teabagger fear mongering.  the thuglikkkans know their days are number once the website is fully operational.  they will do everything in their power to disrupt and obstruct the will of the majority.

IsabellaHathaway
IsabellaHathaway

@ParthaNeogy I think all we need to do is check who owns Time and who sits on their Board to get the answer  to your queries.

tom.litton
tom.litton

@IsabellaHathaway I don't think your right.  I hope you are, I just don't think it.  

Not that i don't think it gives Dems an advantage.  They will hold onto the senate easily and (unless there is a big shift in Republicans) the white house in 2016.  However, the Republicans will retain the house for a long time.

The real question is will the republicans loose the house before the country is crushed for lack of being able to get anything done...

IsabellaHathaway
IsabellaHathaway

Also, they are the party of voting no on job creation bills for veterans and any bills that create jobs in general, as well as, voting no on the expansion of embassy security. They are useless to American citizens that are not part and parcel of the 1%.

reallife
reallife

@IsabellaHathaway Any American with some common sense will vote against whatever nonsense you just included in that nonsensical tirade.

sacredh
sacredh

@manlyman, only time will tell. WHEN it's running smoothly (or even more efficiently) the GOP is going to see their polling numbers fall again. A website can be fixed. The GOP is almost beyond fixing.

IsabellaHathaway
IsabellaHathaway

Really? So far the Democrats have been winning elections (does Virginia ring a bell?) and the Tea Party governors are in trouble. They can try all they want to change voting rules but it won't work. Americans are not that gullible, uncaring and blind. 

BJ1017
BJ1017

@DeweySayenoff @BJ1017 @aztecian @barneydidit While I'm not a republican, I know many people who are that are not racist. Many of them are nice and caring individuals, so frankly, I find that offensive that you would generalize some of the people I know and love as racists just because of politics. 

And if the GOP is racist, why would the majority support a black candidate at one point during the primary?

http://www.nbcnews.com/id/44881446/#.UpZC7cRDvSg

I don't know if Joe Wilson's outburst was based out of racism, and I don't think that it is something you can assert without proof. Maybe he is racist, but I don't think you can prove that his outburst wasn't because of political differences.

DeweySayenoff
DeweySayenoff

@BJ1017 @aztecian @barneydidit The political philosophy of the republicans demonstrably includes attempting to disenfranchise non-white U.S. citizens by making the historically less financially advantaged and more racially repressed non-whites jump through fiscal hoops that many will not be able to clear in order to undermine the democratic process.

Virtually every move the rightists have done legislatively speaking in since 1980 has disadvantaged non-whites far more than whites.

No leftist president has been treated as badly as the non-white leftist president we have today. Remember the Joe Wilson "You LIE!" shout during the 2009 state of the union?  When was the last time there was an outburst of that nature while a President was giving the state of the union address to congress?  Not since the 1800's when racism was the social status quo.

Hundreds of thousands of Republicans have been and many still are members of racist/white supremacist organizations in the protected districts they gerrymandered for themselves, whether elected or simply working for the rightists.  For example, the precinct chairman of the North Carolina Republican committee recently resigned after making overtly racist statements on the Daily Show. 

So you'll perhaps understand why most people see republicans as the "rich, racist white man's party" and believe that they are overly hostile and hateful of the non-whites as well as the leftists.  That isn't all due to politics, which was something we used to be able to talk about without those kinds of insults.

The Republicans have done it to themselves by their membership and goal.  I don't believe one can be a hard-line Republican and still claim to be non-racist.  The politics of the Republicans scream otherwise.