During the Republican primaries, Mitt Romney’s watchword was caution. But over the last two months, things have changed. The …
polls
Romney Campaign: The Fundamentals of the Election Are Strong
Republicans need not panic about recent grim national tracking polling numbers that have shown President Obama opening up a lead of three to five points, writes Romney pollster Neil Newhouse in a state-of-the-race memo sent out …
The Horserace Hasn’t Changed, but Maybe the Game Has
On Twitter, Nate Silver points out the funny fact that when you type “game changer Obama Romney” into Google News, you get 2,860 results just for the last 30 days. This is funny not because we in the news bidness beat cliches …
How Religious Expression Is Splitting the U.S. Electorate–Including Republicans
Americans may be more religious than their peers in other Western countries, but they have their limits when it comes to mixing religion and public life. According to a new survey conducted by Pew, a 38% plurality of Americans …
Romney Down South: Can Mitt Really Win Over Conservatives in Dixie?
“I’m learning to say ‘y’all’ and I like grits,” Mitt Romney recently told a crowd in Pascagoula, Mississippi. “Strange things are happening to me.” But has the Boston private equity executive turned Republican …
As Newt Rises, the Romney Campaign Remains Restrained in Iowa
West Des Moines, Iowa
Chris Christie had barely begun his pitch for Mitt Romney when the familiar refrain cut in. “Mic check! Mic check!” shouted some two-dozen protesters, several of whom sneaked onstage behind the New Jersey governor for this campaign rally at the corporate headquarters of Kum and Go, a Des Moines-based gas and …
In the Arena2012 Election
The Unbelievable Republican Race
There is a CBS poll out today that has Herman Cain topping the field at 18%, with Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich at 15%…all of whom are dwarfed by the 31% who are either undecided or want another candidate. Does this mean anything? I’ve got mixed feelings…
The Generational Divide That Will Define 2012
It’s well known that the U.S. is rife with political division: red vs. blue, the coasts vs. the interior, cities vs. rural areas, the 1% vs. the 99%. Less discussed is the yawning gap that has recently opened between young and …
New York’s Special Election: Looming Upset Would Be a Rebuke to Obama
Back in May, Democrats pulled off an upset in a special election in Western New York, snatching a House seat in a Republican stronghold. On Tuesday the GOP appears ready to exact its revenge.
Republican Bob Turner, a retired television executive, holds an edge over Democratic Assemblyman David Weprin in the special election to replace …
Tim Pawlenty’s Summer Slump
Tim Pawlenty’s summer is off to a rough start. His campaign kickoff in late May was well-received and also well-timed, coming just after Haley Barbour and Mitch Daniels each decided not to seek the Republican nomination, and …
Early Polling Shows No Democratic Base Retreat Over Libya–Yet
Barack Obama won the Democratic primaries in 2008 largely because of his opposition to George W. Bush’s war of choice in Iraq, which Obama called “a dumb war” from the beginning.
Now that Obama has claimed a war of choice as his own in Libya, President Obama will test his ties to his liberal base, which he will need to turn out …
Waning Support For More Gun Control
It is possible that the latest violence will spark a resurgence in interest in stricter gun control measures. But the long range trends, despite the shootings at Columbine and Virginia Tech, is hard to mistake. The simple fact is that less and less Americans have been calling for more gun control, with little variation, since the early …
Morning Must Reads: One Day Out
Left: President Obama attends a DNC Rally at Cleveland State University in Ohio, October 31, 2010. (REUTERS/Larry Downing). Right: House Minority Leader Boehner arrives at a rally for Jim Renacci on October 30, 2010 in Canton, Ohio (Matt Sullivan/Getty Images).
–Nate Silver chews over five reasons the Republican wave could be …
