Mark Wilson / Getty Images

How Religious Expression Is Splitting the U.S. Electorate–Including Republicans

Americans may be more religious than their peers in other Western countries, but they have their limits when it comes to mixing religion and public life. According to a new survey conducted by Pew, a 38% plurality of Americans for the first time say there’s too much expression of faith in politics. That figure has increased dramatically in the last decade, especially in the last two years, and currently includes almost half of Democrats and independents. Even roughly a quarter of Republicans, up from 8% in 2001, feel the same way.

Romney Down South: Can Mitt Really Win Over Conservatives in Dixie?

Evan Vucci / AP

“I’m learning to say ‘y’all’ and I like grits,” Mitt Romney recently told a crowd in Pascagoula, Mississippi. “Strange things are happening to me.” But has the Boston private equity executive turned Republican technocrat turned presidential front-runner, whom the latest polls shows running even with Rick Santorum and Newt Gingrich in Tuesday’s southern primary states, [...]

As Newt Rises, the Romney Campaign Remains Restrained in Iowa

With Iowa’s critical caucuses creeping up and Newt Gingrich white hot in the Hawkeye State, Mitt Romney’s campaign is still playing it cool.

In the Arena

The Unbelievable Republican Race

There is a CBS poll out today that has Herman Cain topping the field at 18%, with Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich at 15%…all of whom are dwarfed by the 31% who are either undecided or want another candidate. Does this mean anything? I’ve got mixed feelings…

The Generational Divide That Will Define 2012

Jason Reed / Reuters

It’s well known that the U.S. is rife with political division: red vs. blue, the coasts vs. the interior, cities vs. rural areas, the 1% vs. the 99%. Less discussed is the yawning gap that has recently opened between young and old. America today is more politically divided by age than it has been in [...]

New York’s Special Election: Looming Upset Would Be a Rebuke to Obama

Back in May, Democrats pulled off an upset in a special election in Western New York, snatching a House seat in a Republican stronghold. On Tuesday the GOP appears ready to exact its revenge. Republican Bob Turner, a retired television executive, holds an edge over Democratic Assemblyman David Weprin in the special election to replace [...]

Tim Pawlenty’s Summer Slump

Joshua Roberts / Reuters

Tim Pawlenty’s summer is off to a rough start. His campaign kickoff in late May was well-received and also well-timed, coming just after Haley Barbour and Mitch Daniels each decided not to seek the Republican nomination, and around the moment of Newt Gingrich’s foot-in-mouth implosion, all of which placed Pawlenty in a fine position to [...]

Early Polling Shows No Democratic Base Retreat Over Libya–Yet

Barack Obama won the Democratic primaries in 2008 largely because of his opposition to George W. Bush’s war of choice in Iraq, which Obama called “a dumb war” from the beginning. Now that Obama has claimed a war of choice as his own in Libya, President Obama will test his ties to his liberal base, [...]

Waning Support For More Gun Control

It is possible that the latest violence will spark a resurgence in interest in stricter gun control measures. But the long range trends, despite the shootings at Columbine and Virginia Tech, is hard to mistake. The simple fact is that less and less Americans have been calling for more gun control, with little variation, since [...]

Morning Must Reads: One Day Out

Left: President Obama attends a DNC Rally at Cleveland State University in Ohio, October 31, 2010. (REUTERS/Larry Downing). Right: House Minority Leader Boehner arrives at a rally for Jim Renacci on October 30, 2010 in Canton, Ohio (Matt Sullivan/Getty Images). –Nate Silver chews over five reasons the Republican wave could be even bigger than expected. [...]