Obama’s ‘Stealth Stimulus’ Renewed

Back in December of 2010 when Congress was faced with the imminent expiration of the Bush tax cuts, Democrats and Republicans made a pretty straight-forward tradeoff. President Obama would allow extended lower rates on top-tier income, anathema to liberals, in order to secure a moderately sized economic booster shot.  The “Stealthy Stimulus,” as some dubbed [...]

White House Budget as Political Manifesto: Obama’s $3.8 Trillion Plan for American Revival

Jason Reed / Reuters

With a divided Congress still standing at the other end of Pennsylvania Avenue, the annual White House budget isn’t a policy proposal destined for markup in the subcommittee rooms of the Capitol. It’s a statement of principle.

Mired in the Sticky Politics of Health and Faith, Obama Shifts on Contraception

Pablo Martinez Monsivais / AP

In the face of mounting pressure from Catholic leaders and politicians, the White House on Friday tweaked its position on contraception coverage mandates in the Affordable Care Act. Rather than require large religious institutions like Catholic colleges and hospitals to provide employees with free health insurance coverage for contraception, insurance companies themselves will have to [...]

The Beginning of the End for No Child Left Behind

Ben Garvin / For the Washington Post / Getty Images

President Obama granted 10 states relief from the strictest requirements of No Child Left Behind on Thursday, in a move he said combines “greater freedom with greater responsibility.” That freedom is provided in the form of a waiver that releases the states from having to meet targets education officials have long complained are too rigid [...]

Four Ways the U.S. Could End Up at War with Iran Before the Election*

Ali Haider / EPA

Most political analysts in Washington believe that war with Iran is unlikely, especially before the November U.S. elections. Politically it would be hard for President Obama to engage in another Middle Eastern war given the war weariness of the U.S. electorate, let alone the question of being able to afford it at a time when [...]

Obama’s Prospects in Swing States Deteriorated in 2011

Most Americans won’t have the power to choose the next President because they live in states so tilted towards one end of the political spectrum that the election outcome, barring calamity, is not in doubt. Mitt Romney doesn’t really have a chance in California. Barack Obama is not going to win Texas. What matters instead [...]

What Will Mitt Romney Talk About if the Economy Gets Better?

For the better part of two years, Mitt Romney has been relentless. “Four years ago, candidate Obama came to Nevada, promising to help,” he said in his victory speech after the Nevada caucuses on Saturday night. “Today, Nevada unemployment is over 12%, home values have plummeted, and Nevada’s foreclosure rate is the highest in the [...]

The Obama Campaign’s Humorous Dog Whistle

The best attacks are cast with humor. That’s why it worked when John McCain’s 2008 campaign used Paris Hilton against Barack Obama, and why the windsurfing spot that George W. Bush used against John Kerry in 2004 got so much traction. The humor takes the edge off and builds a bond between the viewer and [...]

The Most Important Number Update: Not Quite Good News For Obama, Yet

A couple of weeks back, I explained the historic importance of economic growth, and more particularly disposable income growth, in predicting presidential election results. When incomes are rising, incumbent parties tend to get reelected. When they are static or falling, incumbent parties tend to lose. On Monday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis released December’s income [...]

Obama Wants to Force Colleges to Reduce Tuition, but at What Cost?

Jason Reed / Reuters

In his State of the Union address on Tuesday night, President Obama “put colleges and universities on notice.” Find a way to stop tuition from going up, he told them, or risk losing federal aid money. Following up on that charge, Obama put forward a proposal on Friday at the University of Michigan that, if [...]