Polls

TIME/CNN Poll: Obama Leads Romney in Florida

President Barack Obama has opened a narrow lead in Florida as Republicans gather in Tampa this week to nominate Mitt Romney, according to a new TIME/CNN/ORC poll. The survey also found the two candidates locked in a near tie in …

Are the Bain Attacks Working?

All summer, Barack Obama has blanketed the swing-state airwaves in an attempt to sway the sliver of the electorate still up for grabs. The ad assault has attacked a series of related issues: Mitt Romney’s refusal to release additional tax returns, his offshore bank accounts, his former firm’s record of outsourcing jobs abroad and

In Defense of Romney’s Vagueness

There’s a bit of a panic raging in the conservative commentariat today with twin columns from the Weekly Standard‘s Bill Kristol and the Wall Street Journal‘s editorial board urging Mitt Romney to correct his course. President …

The End of Political Polling

Pack it up. Pack it in. It’s over. Political polling has reached its end point. Thanks to the good people at Public Policy Polling, who thought to ask voters in Michigan if they agreed with Mitt Romney’s claim that the state has trees that are the right height. Drum roll, please.

But that’s just the warmup. Check out the crosstabs:

Obama’s Prospects in Swing States Deteriorated in 2011

Most Americans won’t have the power to choose the next President because they live in states so tilted towards one end of the political spectrum that the election outcome, barring calamity, is not in doubt. Mitt Romney doesn’t really have a chance in California. Barack Obama is not going to win Texas.

What matters instead is a group …

What Will Mitt Romney Talk About if the Economy Gets Better?

For the better part of two years, Mitt Romney has been relentless. “Four years ago, candidate Obama came to Nevada, promising to help,” he said in his victory speech after the Nevada caucuses on Saturday night. “Today, Nevada unemployment is over 12%, home values have plummeted, and Nevada’s foreclosure rate is the highest in the nation …

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