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	<title>SwamplandCategory: Polls &#124; Swampland &#124; TIME.com</title>
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	<description>Political insight from the Beltway and beyond</description>
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		<title>SwamplandCategory: Polls &#124; Swampland &#124; TIME.com</title>
		<link>http://swampland.time.com</link>
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		<title>Poll: Americans More Concerned About Civil Liberties In Wake Of Boston Bombing</title>
		<link>http://swampland.time.com/2013/05/01/poll-americans-more-concerned-about-civil-liberties-in-wake-of-boston-bombing/</link>
		<comments>http://swampland.time.com/2013/05/01/poll-americans-more-concerned-about-civil-liberties-in-wake-of-boston-bombing/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 01 May 2013 19:59:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Zeke J Miller</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Polls]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://swampland.time.com/?p=94587</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Two weeks after the Boston Marathon terror attacks, the American people are far more concerned about new government limits on civil liberties than the need for new law enforcement measures to prevent future attacks, according to a new TIME/CNN/ORC poll released Wednesday. When given a choice, 61 percent of Americans say they are more concerned about the government enacting new anti-terrorism policies that restrict civil liberties, compared to 31 percent who say they are more concerned about the government failing to enact strong new anti-terrorism policies. The poll comes at a time when the Boston bombings, which killed three and maimed dozens, has reignited the debate over the unresolved tensions between civil liberties and our security, a topic that is the subject of TIME Magazine’s cover story this week. As Massimo Calabresi and Michael Crowley report, Tamerlan Tsarnaev exhibited a classic pattern of radicalization that might have been spotted through more intrusive surveillance of his online and religious activities. But although new guidelines expanded the FBI&#8216;s counterterrorism powers in 2011, they also limited the bureau&#8217;s ability to conduct surveillance on mosques like the one where Tamerlan had two public outbursts suggesting the extent of his religious radicalism. (PHOTOS: Images: Joy and Relief in Boston After Bombing Suspect’s Arrest) The TIME/CNN/ORC poll, which was conducted to coincide with the cover story release, found that Americans are becoming more resigned to the reality that future terrorist attacks will occur on the homeland. Only 32% of Americans believe that the U.S. government can prevent all major attacks, down from an average of 40% in 2011 and 41% in 2006.  That said, only 27% of Americans said they are less likely to attend large public events in the future because of fears of terror attacks, a number roughly on par with polls taken after the Atlanta Olympics bombing in 1996. Concerns about government encroachment on civil liberties, however, have grown in recent years, despite the Boston attacks. When asked if they would be willing to give up some civil liberties if that were necessary to curb<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=swampland.time.com&#038;blog=5284847&#038;post=94587&#038;subd=timeswampland&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
	<primary_category>Polls</primary_category><primary_category_link>http://swampland.time.com/category/2012-election/polls-elections/</primary_category_link><letterbox>1</letterbox><featured_image>http://timeswampland.files.wordpress.com/2013/05/securitycover.jpg?w=150</featured_image>
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			<media:title type="html">TIME Magazine Cover, May 13, 2013</media:title>
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			<media:title type="html">zekemiller</media:title>
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		<item>
		<title>Poll: George W. Bush Increasingly Popular, Continues Trend of Former Presidents</title>
		<link>http://swampland.time.com/2013/04/23/poll-george-w-bush-increasingly-popular-continues-trend-of-former-presidents/</link>
		<comments>http://swampland.time.com/2013/04/23/poll-george-w-bush-increasingly-popular-continues-trend-of-former-presidents/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 23 Apr 2013 19:13:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alex Rogers</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Polls]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://swampland.time.com/?p=93832</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[George W. Bush&#8217;s presidential approval rating has risen from 37% in January 2009 to 47%, according to a new ABC/Washington Post poll. It continues the trend of presidents becoming more popular once they leave office. Here is a comparison from two Gallup polls looking at the past seven presidents. The first figure is from 2012, gauging the percentage of people who think history will judge the former president to be at least “average.” The second number is the average approval rating of the president while he was in office. George W. Bush ·      2012: 53% ·      2001-2009: 49.4% Bill Clinton ·      2012: 88% (60% said he will be remembered as an “outstanding” President) ·      1993-2001: 55.1% George H.W. Bush ·      2012: 79% ·      1989-1993: 60.9% Ronald Reagan ·      2012: 89% (69% “outstanding”) ·      1981-1989: 52.8% Jimmy Carter ·      2012: 59% ·      1977-1981: 45.5% Gerald Ford ·      2012: 75% ·      1974-1977: 47.2% Richard Nixon ·      2012-42% ·      1969-1974- 49% With the exception of Nixon, who resigned in disgrace, at least a majority of Americans believe each of the past seven presidents will be considered by history to be “average.” During office, however, sitting Presidents are judged much more harshly.<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=swampland.time.com&#038;blog=5284847&#038;post=93832&#038;subd=timeswampland&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
	<primary_category>Polls</primary_category><primary_category_link>http://swampland.time.com/category/2012-election/polls-elections/</primary_category_link><featured_image>http://timeswampland.files.wordpress.com/2013/04/rtr38ldo.jpg?w=200</featured_image>
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			<media:title type="html">Former U.S. president W. Bush talks to U.S. vice captain Verplank next to former president H.W. Bush during the afternoon four-ball round at the 39th Ryder Cup golf matches at the Medinah Country Club</media:title>
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			<media:title type="html">drogers1271</media:title>
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		<title>Poll: Clinton Crushes 2016 Competition</title>
		<link>http://swampland.time.com/2013/03/07/poll-clinton-crushes-2016-competition/</link>
		<comments>http://swampland.time.com/2013/03/07/poll-clinton-crushes-2016-competition/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 07 Mar 2013 16:10:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alex Rogers</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Polls]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://swampland.time.com/?p=89915</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A new Quinnipiac poll finds Hillary Clinton at the top of the potential 2016 presidential field. In this early survey, she runs ahead of three major Republican contenders, topping Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan (50% to 38%), New Jersey Governor Chris Christie (45% to 37%), and Florida Senator Marco Rubio (50% to 34%). &#8220;Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton would start a 2016 presidential campaign with enormous advantages,&#8221; said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. &#8220;She obviously is by far the best known and her more than 20 years in the public spotlight allows her to create a very favorable impression on the American people. But it is worth noting that she had very good poll numbers in 2006 looking toward the 2008 election, before she faced a relative unknown in Barack Obama.&#8221; Other Democrats did not fare as well as Clinton. Christie beat out Vice President Joe Biden, 43% to 40%, and New York Governor Andrew Cuomo, 45% to 28%. While Biden led Rubio, 45% to 38%, and Ryan, 45% to 42%, neither victory was as persuasive as Clinton&#8217;s. In the poll&#8217;s other hypothetical surveys, Ryan tops Cuomo, 42% to 37%, while Cuomo and Rubio are tied at 37%. Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,944 registered voters from February 27 &#8211; March 4. The margin of error is +/- 2.2 percentage points.<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=swampland.time.com&#038;blog=5284847&#038;post=89915&#038;subd=timeswampland&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
	<primary_category>Polls</primary_category><primary_category_link>http://swampland.time.com/category/2012-election/polls-elections/</primary_category_link><featured_image>http://timeswampland.files.wordpress.com/2013/03/hillary-clinton.jpg?w=200</featured_image>
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			<media:title type="html">Clinton bids farewell to the State Department in Washington</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://2.gravatar.com/avatar/509f545dfcf07266c1eb847a42170416?s=96&#38;d=http%3A%2F%2F2.gravatar.com%2Favatar%2Fad516503a11cd5ca435acc9bb6523536%3Fs%3D96&#38;r=G" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">drogers1271</media:title>
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		<title>Republicans Prefer Pancakes: What’s the Point of Goofy Polls?</title>
		<link>http://swampland.time.com/2013/03/01/republicans-prefer-pancakes-whats-the-point-of-goofy-polls/</link>
		<comments>http://swampland.time.com/2013/03/01/republicans-prefer-pancakes-whats-the-point-of-goofy-polls/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 01 Mar 2013 10:45:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Katy Steinmetz</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Polls]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://swampland.time.com/?p=89295</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Raleigh, N.C.-based Public Policy Polling has been around since 2001. Director Tom Jensen says the outfit really entered the national spotlight in 2008 when they predicted that Sen. Barack Obama would win the South Carolina primary by 20 points. No other major pollster had a margin higher than 15, according to Real Clear Politics. Some were half that. And when Obama beat Hillary Clinton by nearly 30 points, PPP got some attention. Because close still counts in polling, as in horseshoes and hand grenades. But over the past year, PPP has been regularly releasing goofy, sometimes pointless polls about every other month. In early January, one such survey showed that Congress was less popular than traffic jams, France and used-car salesmen. According to their food-centric surveys released this week, Americans clearly prefer Ronald McDonald over Burger King for President; Democrats are more likely to get their chicken at KFC than Chick-fil-A, and Republicans are more apt to order pancakes than waffles. “We’re obviously doing a lot of polling on the key 2014 races,” says Jensen. “That kind of polling is important. We also like to do some fun polls.” PPP, which has a left-leaning reputation, releases fun polls in part because they’re entertaining but mostly in an attempt to set themselves apart as an approachable polling company. Questions for polls are sometimes crowd-sourced via Twitter. The outfit does informal on-site surveys about what state they should survey next. And when the results of offbeat polls come out, the tidbits have potential to go viral. “We’re not trying to be the next Gallup or trying to be the next Pew,” Jensen says. “We’re really following a completely different model where we’re known for being willing to poll on stuff other people aren’t willing to poll on.” Like whether Republicans are willing to eat sushi (a solid 64% are certainly not). (PHOTOS: The Halls of Democracy: Places of Civic Responsibility) Which means polls about &#8220;Mexican food favorability&#8221; are a publicity stunt on some level. Jensen says PPP, which has about 150 clients, gets<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=swampland.time.com&#038;blog=5284847&#038;post=89295&#038;subd=timeswampland&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://swampland.time.com/2013/03/01/republicans-prefer-pancakes-whats-the-point-of-goofy-polls/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
	<primary_category>Polls</primary_category><primary_category_link>http://swampland.time.com/category/2012-election/polls-elections/</primary_category_link><featured_image>http://timeswampland.files.wordpress.com/2013/02/pancakes.jpg?w=200</featured_image>
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			<media:title type="html">Pancakes</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://0.gravatar.com/avatar/05bfb17f05eff70efc8061bb1a213e86?s=96&#38;d=http%3A%2F%2F0.gravatar.com%2Favatar%2Fad516503a11cd5ca435acc9bb6523536%3Fs%3D96&#38;r=G" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">Katy Steinmetz</media:title>
		</media:content>
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		<title>The World&#8217;s Needy, Not America&#8217;s Problem</title>
		<link>http://swampland.time.com/2013/02/22/how-needy-is-america/</link>
		<comments>http://swampland.time.com/2013/02/22/how-needy-is-america/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 22 Feb 2013 16:37:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alex Rogers</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Polls]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://swampland.time.com/?p=88818</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Wherefore American altruism? The Pew Research Center has released a poll showing that the majority of the American public wants either to maintain or increase spending for a host of government initiatives: the State Department, unemployment aid, military defense, aid to needy Americans, health care, environmental protection, energy, scientific research, agriculture, anti-terrorism defense, roads and infrastructure, Medicare, combating crime, food and drug inspection, natural disaster relief, education, Social Security and veterans&#8217; benefits. The only one that did not make the cut? &#8220;Aid to the world&#8217;s needy.&#8221; The impacts of this public opinion can be seen in the current public policy debate, as some foreign aide programs feel the pinch. President George W. Bush&#8217;s greatest legacy, some have said, was his President’s Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief, or PEPFAR, which is projected to treat 6 million people in over 70 countries from 2003 to the end of this year.  In 2012, PEPFAR treated nearly 750,000 women who tested positive for HIV, allowing approximately 230,000 infants to be born HIV-free. For 2013, President Obama requested $6.4 billion for Tuberculous and HIV/AIDS programs, including PEPFAR, totaling .17% of the budget. Federal aid overall, including military assistance, comprises of roughly 1%. Medicare, Social Security, and Defense combined make up over 60% of the budget. Officially the Obama Administration still supports programs like PEPFAR. During his State of the Union Address, Obama himself said that an AIDS-free generation is &#8220;within our reach.&#8221; Yet the White House budget for fiscal year 2013 cuts over a billion dollars for HIV/AIDS programs, about 24 percent of its 2012 funding.  Archbishop Desmond Tutu, in a recent op-ed to USA Today called on the President to match his words to actions: Cuts to PEPFAR make no sense at this time of so much promise. We cannot cede ground and risk losing the progress we have made&#8230;Now is not the time to pull back. We are in the endgame of AIDS and Obama can help the world triumph. By adding the end of AIDS to his legacy, President Obama will be<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=swampland.time.com&#038;blog=5284847&#038;post=88818&#038;subd=timeswampland&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
	<primary_category>Polls</primary_category><primary_category_link>http://swampland.time.com/category/2012-election/polls-elections/</primary_category_link><featured_image>http://timeswampland.files.wordpress.com/2013/02/bush.jpg?w=200</featured_image>
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			<media:title type="html">U.S. President Bush PEPFAR</media:title>
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		<media:content url="http://2.gravatar.com/avatar/509f545dfcf07266c1eb847a42170416?s=96&#38;d=http%3A%2F%2F2.gravatar.com%2Favatar%2Fad516503a11cd5ca435acc9bb6523536%3Fs%3D96&#38;r=G" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">drogers1271</media:title>
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		<title>A Sequester By Any Other Name . . . Would Probably Make More Sense</title>
		<link>http://swampland.time.com/2013/02/11/a-sequester-by-any-other-name-would-probably-make-more-sense/</link>
		<comments>http://swampland.time.com/2013/02/11/a-sequester-by-any-other-name-would-probably-make-more-sense/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 11 Feb 2013 15:10:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Katy Steinmetz</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Polls]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://swampland.time.com/?p=87688</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[While Washington officials and reporters are practically zombie-walking around town chanting &#8220;sequester&#8221; like &#8220;redrum,&#8221; a poll out from The Hill this morning shows that about two-thirds of voters don&#8217;t know what the word means. Some were even under the impression that sequestering involved pitching an elected official out of office. Part of the problem is that the word and its definition aren&#8217;t obvious bedfellows. Sequester is set to become the fiscal cliff on 2013, yet this year&#8217;s buzzword lacks the figurative simplicity of last year&#8217;s. Yes, economists said that &#8220;fiscal slope&#8221; was a more accurate characterization, but the popular shorthand for those foreseen cutbacks in governmental financial support allowed people to get this gist. Fiscal = money-related. Going over a cliff = risky business. In The Hill poll, 25% of voters admitted that they don&#8217;t know what a &#8220;sequester&#8221; is. And almost 40% chose the wrong answer (e.g. an upcoming ruling on the federal budget by the Supreme Court). A sequester sounds like it could be just about anything:  a time when members of Congress lock themselves in a room until they come to a compromise or a person who roams around in a submarine seeking underwater adventure. The word also has many actual meanings, most as esoteric as sequester sounds. A quick flip through the Oxford English Dictionary will reveal that sequester once referred to a person who held a disputed object during a court battle&#8211;and more generally, a legal mediator. Sequestration also refers to the government seizing the goods of citizens and can even identify the formation of a sequestrum, a detached piece of bone lying within a body cavity caused by necrosis. Here is a good definition for what it actually means in politico parlance: sequester (n.): in government, an automatic form of spending cut enacted to resolve a gap between budget goals and appropriations; short for sequestration. A more specific definition for the government&#8217;s current conundrum would be across-the-board cuts to domestic and defense programs that are set to go into effect on March 1, unless averted by Congress. The<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=swampland.time.com&#038;blog=5284847&#038;post=87688&#038;subd=timeswampland&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
	<primary_category>Polls</primary_category><primary_category_link>http://swampland.time.com/category/2012-election/polls-elections/</primary_category_link><featured_image>http://timeswampland.files.wordpress.com/2013/02/426250-001.jpg?w=200</featured_image>
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			<media:title type="html">government money</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://0.gravatar.com/avatar/05bfb17f05eff70efc8061bb1a213e86?s=96&#38;d=http%3A%2F%2F0.gravatar.com%2Favatar%2Fad516503a11cd5ca435acc9bb6523536%3Fs%3D96&#38;r=G" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">Katy Steinmetz</media:title>
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		<title>Gun Owners Trust the NRA but Agree with Obama</title>
		<link>http://swampland.time.com/2013/02/08/gun-owners-trust-the-nra-but-agree-with-obama/</link>
		<comments>http://swampland.time.com/2013/02/08/gun-owners-trust-the-nra-but-agree-with-obama/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 08 Feb 2013 10:45:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alex Rogers</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Polls]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://swampland.time.com/?p=87558</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A new poll released today by Quinnipiac University shows that 52% of Americans support stricter gun control laws, an expected outcome after the Sandy Hook Elementary shooting sparked a nationwide discussion on gun safety. As for the particulars, 56% support a nationwide ban on the sale of assault weapons, 56% support a nationwide ban on the sale of high-capacity ammunition magazines that hold more than 10 bullets, and 92% support requiring background checks for all gun buyers. All of this bodes well for the Obama Administration. Dig deeper into the data, however, and an odd picture emerges: gun-toting Americans are not aware that they are closer to Barack Obama than the NRA on the gun control debate. In American gun households, 52% support a ban on assault weapons and 91% support background checks for all gun buyers.  A sizable minority, 45%, also support a ban on the sale of high capacity magazines. All of these positions NRA chief Wayne LaPierre has rebuffed in the gun control debate over the past month, yet 62% of Americans in these gun households believe that the NRA better reflects their views on guns than President Obama. If the Quinnipiac poll is accurate, Obama has not won the public debate. The majority of gun owners may agree with the President on what needs to be done, but they don&#8217;t know it, choose not to trust him, or believe that he will take their guns away. Like a side mirror, gun owners should read the fine print: Obama&#8217;s views are closer than they appear. Click here to see TIME&#8216;s January gun control poll. PHOTOS: Gun Nation Revisited: Zed Nelson’s Photographs of American Gun Culture<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=swampland.time.com&#038;blog=5284847&#038;post=87558&#038;subd=timeswampland&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
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	<primary_category>Polls</primary_category><primary_category_link>http://swampland.time.com/category/2012-election/polls-elections/</primary_category_link><featured_image>http://timeswampland.files.wordpress.com/2013/02/gun-show.jpg?w=200</featured_image>
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			<media:title type="html">A gun shop owner shows his last two AR-15 style rifles to a group of customers in Sarasota</media:title>
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		<media:content url="http://2.gravatar.com/avatar/509f545dfcf07266c1eb847a42170416?s=96&#38;d=http%3A%2F%2F2.gravatar.com%2Favatar%2Fad516503a11cd5ca435acc9bb6523536%3Fs%3D96&#38;r=G" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">drogers1271</media:title>
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		<title>Poll: Alabama Most Conservative State in the Union, Massachusetts Most Liberal</title>
		<link>http://swampland.time.com/2013/02/01/poll-alabama-most-conservative-state-in-the-union-massachusetts-most-liberal/</link>
		<comments>http://swampland.time.com/2013/02/01/poll-alabama-most-conservative-state-in-the-union-massachusetts-most-liberal/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 01 Feb 2013 14:45:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alex Rogers</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Polls]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://swampland.time.com/?p=86802</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Alabama has taken the crown previously held by Mississippi as the most conservative state in the union, according to a new Gallup poll.  Last year the top four were Mississippi, Utah, and Wyoming, with Alabama coming in fourth.  Overall, Americans in 2012 remained more likely to identify as conservative (38%) than as moderate (36%) or as liberal (23%), although liberals have gained 2 percentage points compared to 2011. On the liberal side, the medalists have gotten stronger. Washington DC, Massachusetts, and Oregon, the 2011 liberal top three, retain their titles in 2012, as more residents identify as liberal than the prior year. Residents of Washington DC are more liberal than the highest state, Massachusetts, by over ten percentage points. Below are Gallup&#8217;s top ten most conservative and top ten most liberal states in the union. Top 10 Most Conservative 1. Alabama&#8211;50.6% conservative 2. North Dakota (tie)&#8211;48.6% 2. Wyoming (tie)&#8211;48.6% 4. Mississippi&#8211;48.2% 5. Utah&#8211;48.0% 6. Oklahoma&#8211;47.3% 7. Idaho&#8211;47.1% 8. Louisiana&#8211;45.6% 9. Nebraska (tie)&#8211;45.3% 9. Arkansas (tie)&#8211;45.5% &#160; Top 10 Most Liberal 1. District of Columbia&#8211;40.8% liberal 2. Massachusetts 30.5% 3. Oregon 29.3% 4. Vermont 29.2% 5. Delaware (tie)&#8211;28.4% 5. Connecticut (tie)&#8211;28.4% 6.Washington (tie)&#8211;28.3% 6. Rhode Island (tie)&#8211;28.3% 7. Hawaii (tie)&#8211;27.7% 7. New York (tie)&#8211;27.7% Gallup&#8217;s results were based on telephone interviews conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking Jan. 1-Dec. 31, 2012, with a random sample of 211,972 adults, aged 18 and older, living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. Margins of error for individual states are no greater than ±6 percentage points, and are ±3 percentage points in most states. The margin of error for the District of Columbia is ±6 percentage points.<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=swampland.time.com&#038;blog=5284847&#038;post=86802&#038;subd=timeswampland&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
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	<primary_category>Polls</primary_category><primary_category_link>http://swampland.time.com/category/2012-election/polls-elections/</primary_category_link><featured_image>http://timeswampland.files.wordpress.com/2013/02/alabma-conservative.jpg?w=200</featured_image>
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			<media:title type="html">Alabama head coach Saban celebrates after Alabama defeated Notre Dame in their NCAA National Championship college football game in Miami</media:title>
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		<media:content url="http://2.gravatar.com/avatar/509f545dfcf07266c1eb847a42170416?s=96&#38;d=http%3A%2F%2F2.gravatar.com%2Favatar%2Fad516503a11cd5ca435acc9bb6523536%3Fs%3D96&#38;r=G" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">drogers1271</media:title>
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		<title>New TIME/CNN Poll: White House Gun Agenda Faces Conflicted Public</title>
		<link>http://swampland.time.com/2013/01/16/new-timecnn-poll-white-house-gun-agenda-faces-conflicted-public/</link>
		<comments>http://swampland.time.com/2013/01/16/new-timecnn-poll-white-house-gun-agenda-faces-conflicted-public/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 16 Jan 2013 18:53:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alex Altman</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Polls]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://swampland.time.com/?p=85202</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A majority of Americans favor tighter gun laws, but the White House efforts to enact a new package of regulations will have to overcome political resistance and voters&#8217; ambivalence about the causes of gun violence, according to the results of a new TIME/CNN/ORC poll. The new survey shows why the White House&#8217;s fight is daunting: the gun debate is muddled. Many of the pillars of Obama&#8217;s plan are popular, but less so than in the past, despite the searing mass-shooting in December that drove the President&#8217;s new push. And while the media widely criticized the NRA&#8217;s absolutist stance in the wake of the Newtown massacre, a plurality of the public agrees with the organization&#8217;s positions, and believes that the best way to curb rampant gun violence is to station an armed guard in every school, as the NRA suggested. In its push to move the most aggressive gun-control push in a generation through a bitterly split Congress, the White House also must persuade a public that isn&#8217;t convinced the main reason for America&#8217;s epidemic of violence is the availability of guns. Just 23% of respondents in TIME&#8217;s poll called the availability of guns the primary cause of gun violence, compared with 37% who pointed to parenting and another 37% who cited the influence of popular culture. While 56% of respondents in the new poll said existing gun laws were too lax and 55% of respondents backed tighter restrictions, those numbers have dwindled from earlier highs. In a similar TIME/CNN poll from Dec. 1993 &#8212; taken just after Bill Clinton signed a new law imposing background checks on gun buyers &#8212; 70% of respondents backed new gun regulations. In that same 1993 poll, roughly half of respondents said tighter restrictions would reduce violence. In the new TIME/CNN poll, just 39% said tougher gun laws would stem the tide of gun violence sweeping the U.S., compared to 61% who disagreed. Another challenge for the White House is that opponents of gun control are somewhat more ardent about the issue than Americans who<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=swampland.time.com&#038;blog=5284847&#038;post=85202&#038;subd=timeswampland&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
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	<primary_category>Polls</primary_category><primary_category_link>http://swampland.time.com/category/2012-election/polls-elections/</primary_category_link><featured_image>http://timeswampland.files.wordpress.com/2013/01/obama3.jpg?w=200</featured_image>
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			<media:title type="html">U.S. President Barack Obama</media:title>
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		<media:content url="http://1.gravatar.com/avatar/41a5f1af68b9fd647df540c67f1a464a?s=96&#38;d=http%3A%2F%2F1.gravatar.com%2Favatar%2Fad516503a11cd5ca435acc9bb6523536%3Fs%3D96&#38;r=G" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">Alex Altman</media:title>
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		<title>New TIME/CNN Poll: Obama&#8217;s Job Approval Jumps, Public Favors Stricter Gun Laws</title>
		<link>http://swampland.time.com/2013/01/16/new-time-poll-obamas-job-approval-jumps-public-favors-stricter-gun-laws/</link>
		<comments>http://swampland.time.com/2013/01/16/new-time-poll-obamas-job-approval-jumps-public-favors-stricter-gun-laws/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 16 Jan 2013 16:30:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alex Altman</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Polls]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://swampland.time.com/?p=85138</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[As he prepares to pitch an expansive new package of gun restrictions to a bitterly divided Congress, Barack Obama has the majority of voters on his side. A new TIME/CNN/ORC poll that will be released Wednesday afternoon finds that 55% of Americans approve of the job Obama is doing as President, compared to 43% who disapprove. That ratio mirrors the public appetite for tighter restrictions on guns, with 55% of respondents favoring stricter gun control laws and 44% opposed. Obama&#8217;s approval rating, mired in the 40s for much of his first term, has improved in the wake of his re-election and an acrimonious fight over the fiscal cliff, jumping three percentage points from the 52% he registered in a December CNN/ORC poll. The new poll also shows that Vice President Joe Biden&#8217;s approval rating has spiked to 59%, up from 54% in December, amid high-profile turns negotiating the fiscal cliff deal and spearheading Obama&#8217;s firearms task force. Full results of the new TIME/CNN/ORC poll, which surveyed 814 adult Americans on Jan. 14-15 and has a sampling error of 3.5 percentage points, will be available on Time.com and CNN.com at 4 p.m. EST.<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=swampland.time.com&#038;blog=5284847&#038;post=85138&#038;subd=timeswampland&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
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	<primary_category>Polls</primary_category><primary_category_link>http://swampland.time.com/category/2012-election/polls-elections/</primary_category_link><featured_image>http://timeswampland.files.wordpress.com/2013/01/gunobama.jpg?w=200</featured_image>
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			<media:title type="html">Barack Obama, Joe Biden</media:title>
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		<media:content url="http://1.gravatar.com/avatar/41a5f1af68b9fd647df540c67f1a464a?s=96&#38;d=http%3A%2F%2F1.gravatar.com%2Favatar%2Fad516503a11cd5ca435acc9bb6523536%3Fs%3D96&#38;r=G" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">Alex Altman</media:title>
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		<title>Remembering 1980: Are the Polls Missing Something?</title>
		<link>http://swampland.time.com/2012/10/31/remembering-1980-are-the-polls-missing-something/</link>
		<comments>http://swampland.time.com/2012/10/31/remembering-1980-are-the-polls-missing-something/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 31 Oct 2012 17:23:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Massimo Calabresi</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Polls]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://swampland.time.com/?p=81183</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In November 1980, the great TIME correspondent and editor John F. Stacks (a mentor to such stars as John Dickerson and many others) won the unenviable task of analyzing how and why every single public pollster (including ours) missed the Reagan landslide earlier that month. Wrote Stacks: For weeks before the presidential election, the gurus of public opinion polling were nearly unanimous in their findings. In survey after survey, they agreed that the coming choice between President Jimmy Carter and Challenger Ronald Reagan was &#8220;too close to call.&#8221; A few points at most, they said, separated the two major contenders. But when the votes were counted, the former California Governor had defeated Carter by a margin of 51% to 41% in the popular vote&#8211;a rout for a U.S. presidential race. In the electoral college, the Reagan victory was a 10-to-1 avalanche that left the President holding only six states and the District of Columbia. After being so right for so long about presidential elections&#8211;the pollsters&#8217; findings had closely agreed with the voting results for most of the past 30 years&#8211;how could the surveys have been so wrong? The question is far more than technical. The spreading use of polls by the press and television has an important, if unmeasurable, effect on how voters perceive the candidates and the campaign, creating a kind of synergistic effect: the more a candidate rises in the polls, the more voters seem to take him seriously. With such responsibilities thrust on them, the pollsters have a lot to answer for, and they know it. Their problems with the Carter-Reagan race have touched off the most skeptical examination of public opinion polling since 1948, when the surveyers made Thomas Dewey a sure winner over Harry Truman. In response, the experts have been explaining, qualifying, clarifying&#8211;and rationalizing. Simultaneously, they are privately embroiled in as much backbiting, mudslinging and mutual criticism as the tight-knit little profession has ever known. The public and private pollsters are criticizing their competition&#8217;s judgment, methodology, reliability and even honesty. At the heart of<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=swampland.time.com&#038;blog=5284847&#038;post=81183&#038;subd=timeswampland&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
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	<primary_category>Polls</primary_category><primary_category_link>http://swampland.time.com/category/2012-election/polls-elections/</primary_category_link><featured_image>http://timeswampland.files.wordpress.com/2012/10/polls.jpg?w=200</featured_image>
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			<media:title type="html">U.S. President Jimmy Carter, left, and Republican presidential candidate Ronald Reagan</media:title>
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		<media:content url="http://1.gravatar.com/avatar/afd9484b1bca74216e145d2c49c8af45?s=96&#38;d=http%3A%2F%2F1.gravatar.com%2Favatar%2Fad516503a11cd5ca435acc9bb6523536%3Fs%3D96&#38;r=G" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">calabresim</media:title>
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		<title>TIME Poll: Obama Leads by 5 in Ohio</title>
		<link>http://swampland.time.com/2012/10/24/time-poll-obama-leads-by-5-in-ohio/</link>
		<comments>http://swampland.time.com/2012/10/24/time-poll-obama-leads-by-5-in-ohio/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 24 Oct 2012 20:07:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alex Altman</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Polls]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://swampland.time.com/?p=80889</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Columbus, Ohio Buoyed by early voting in his favor, Barack Obama leads Mitt Romney by five points in the pivotal state of Ohio, according to a new TIME poll. Counting both Ohioans who say they will head to the polls on November 6, and those who have already cast a ballot, Obama holds a 49% to 44% lead over Romney in a survey taken Monday and Tuesday night. The poll&#8217;s margin of error is plus or minus three percentage points. The poll makes clear that there are really two races underway in Ohio. On one hand, the two candidates are locked in a dead heat among Ohioans who have not yet voted but who say they intend to, with 45% of respondents supporting the President and 45% preferring his Republican challenger. (INTERACTIVE: 2012 Electoral College Calculator Map) But Obama has clearly received a boost from Ohio’s early voting period, which began on Oct. 2 and runs through November 5. Among respondents who say they have already voted, Obama holds a two-to-one lead over Romney, 60% to 30%. When those two groups are combined, the TIME poll reveals, Obama leads by five points overall in Ohio. “At least for the early vote, the Obama ground game seems to be working,” says Mark Schulman, president of Abt SRBI, which conducted the poll. Nearly one third of all Ohioans voted early in 2008. The survey also suggests Obama is riding a wave of optimism in Ohio, where voters appear to separate their worries about the direction of the nation from how they regard the landscape in the Buckeye State. While 54% of Ohio voters believe the country is on the wrong track (and 41% believe the nation is heading in the right direction), 51% of Ohio voters believe their state is on the right track (while 43% disagree). (MORE: What Happened at the Last Presidential Debate) The TIME survey shows the gender gap is working in Obama&#8217;s favor: the President is winning 56% of the women&#8217;s vote in Ohio, while Romney is winning<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=swampland.time.com&#038;blog=5284847&#038;post=80889&#038;subd=timeswampland&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
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	<primary_category>Polls</primary_category><primary_category_link>http://swampland.time.com/category/2012-election/polls-elections/</primary_category_link><featured_image>http://timeswampland.files.wordpress.com/2012/10/1500_bk-obama-20121023.jpg?w=200</featured_image>
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			<media:title type="html">image: President Barack Obama, joined by Vice President Joe Biden, speaks during a campaign event at Triangle Park in Dayton, Ohio, on Oct. 23, 2012.</media:title>
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		<media:content url="http://1.gravatar.com/avatar/41a5f1af68b9fd647df540c67f1a464a?s=96&#38;d=http%3A%2F%2F1.gravatar.com%2Favatar%2Fad516503a11cd5ca435acc9bb6523536%3Fs%3D96&#38;r=G" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">Alex Altman</media:title>
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		<title>Will Obama Bounce Back or Fall Below His Floor?</title>
		<link>http://swampland.time.com/2012/10/15/will-obama-bounce-back-or-fall-below-his-floor/</link>
		<comments>http://swampland.time.com/2012/10/15/will-obama-bounce-back-or-fall-below-his-floor/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 15 Oct 2012 17:27:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Michael Scherer</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[2012 Election]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Polls]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://swampland.time.com/?p=79997</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In early June, shortly after President Obama stumbled in a press conference by saying, &#8220;the private sector is doing fine,&#8221; his senior White House and campaign aides began an e-mail chain among one another. It listed all the other times over the past six years that the media had declared Obama on the ropes, like the time in 2008 that footage leaked of Obama&#8217;s former pastor Jeremiah Wright and the time the debt-ceiling deal blew up. As the message bounced from inbox to inbox, the list of setbacks got longer, and the point was unmistakable: everyone needed to keep a little perspective. The previous two weeks in June — with a bad jobs report, a dipping stock market, a teetering E.U. and Obama&#8217;s own gaffe — were just a passing phase. Team Obama knew how to bounce back. It was a morale-building exercise that would have been appropriate to repeat in the past two weeks, since Obama&#8217;s disastrous debate in Denver, which has demonstrably shifted both national and swing-state polling in Mitt Romney&#8217;s favor. But there were other lessons from that June swoon that can be applied as well. At the time, a senior Obama adviser told me that whatever bad things happened, they could take comfort in one thing: the campaign had polled enough in the swing states to know Obama had a high minimum level of support. He could dip, his campaign believed, but he wasn&#8217;t going to collapse. The past two weeks seem to have borne that out. The slide in support for Obama appears to have leveled off in most of the polls (see here, here, here) right around their June low points. On Wall Street, this floor is called a support level — the point at which demand will prevent further price declines. If one looks at the long-term polling trend in the presidential race, there are two clear stories: Romney has been making gradual gains, and Obama has yet to fall behind enough to clearly prevent him from winning re-election. (PHOTOS: Political Pictures of the<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=swampland.time.com&#038;blog=5284847&#038;post=79997&#038;subd=timeswampland&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
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	<primary_category>Polls</primary_category><primary_category_link>http://swampland.time.com/category/2012-election/polls-elections/</primary_category_link><featured_image>http://timeswampland.files.wordpress.com/2012/10/600_obama_bounceback_1015.jpg?w=200</featured_image>
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		<media:content url="http://timeswampland.files.wordpress.com/2012/10/600_obama_bounceback_1015.jpg?w=200" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">President Barack Obama</media:title>
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		<media:content url="http://1.gravatar.com/avatar/a467a0981ef8e059913a0aa44ba7df1b?s=96&#38;d=http%3A%2F%2F1.gravatar.com%2Favatar%2Fad516503a11cd5ca435acc9bb6523536%3Fs%3D96&#38;r=G" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">michaelscherer</media:title>
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		<title>&#8216;The Pollsters Are Biased&#8217; Is the New &#8216;The Reporters Are Biased&#8217;</title>
		<link>http://entertainment.time.com/2012/09/25/the-pollsters-are-biased-is-the-new-the-reporters-are-biased/</link>
		<comments>http://entertainment.time.com/2012/09/25/the-pollsters-are-biased-is-the-new-the-reporters-are-biased/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 25 Sep 2012 14:30:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>James Poniewozik</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Polls]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[conspiracies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[election]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[media bias]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News Media]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[polling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[social media]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tuned In]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://swampland.time.com/?p=78934</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Good news, folks! Now you can have your own facts! Even better, when it comes to campaign polls you don’t like, you can now have your own numbers!<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=swampland.time.com&#038;blog=5284847&#038;post=78934&#038;subd=timeswampland&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://entertainment.time.com/2012/09/25/the-pollsters-are-biased-is-the-new-the-reporters-are-biased/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
	<primary_category>Polls</primary_category><primary_category_link>http://swampland.time.com/category/2012-election/polls-elections/</primary_category_link>
		<media:content url="http://0.gravatar.com/avatar/3cb61b88047e46fa55ea7dd6bf87ec1c?s=96&#38;d=http%3A%2F%2F0.gravatar.com%2Favatar%2Fad516503a11cd5ca435acc9bb6523536%3Fs%3D96&#38;r=G" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">timeadmin</media:title>
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		<title>Obama Comes to New York for Barbara Walters and, sorta, the United Nations</title>
		<link>http://swampland.time.com/2012/09/24/obama-comes-to-new-york-for-barbara-walters-and-sorta-the-united-nations/</link>
		<comments>http://swampland.time.com/2012/09/24/obama-comes-to-new-york-for-barbara-walters-and-sorta-the-united-nations/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 25 Sep 2012 00:28:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jay Newton-Small</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Barack Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Campaigns]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Debates]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Democratic Party]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Elections]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Foreign Policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gaffes]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Libya]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mitt Romney]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Polls]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Republican Party]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Taxes]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[White House]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://swampland.time.com/?p=78900</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[On Monday, President Barack Obama made his fourth pilgrimage to New York City for the opening of the United Nations General Assembly. He arrived in Manhattan on a glorious autumn afternoon and rushed to his first – and only – public event of the day: a taping of ABC’s The View with his wife, Michelle. Obama’s lack of any scheduled bilateral meetings with world leaders at the summit – last year, as ABC’s Mark Knoller pointed out, he had 13 such tête-à-têtes &#8212;  was the subject of some contention at the White House briefing just before the President left. “I have no meetings to announce to you&#8230;,” White House Press Secretary Jay Carney said. “I mean, the President’s schedule includes the reception this evening. It includes his speech tomorrow [before the 67th General Assembly]. Beyond that I don&#8217;t have details for you. But again, I think it’s fairly clear, based on the President’s engagement with foreign leaders just in the last several weeks, that he is intensively engaged in matters of national security and foreign policy as he has been throughout his presidency.” (MORE: The U.N. General Assembly: 5 Political Potholes for Obama) The lack of personal diplomatic engagement comes after Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu tried to secure a meeting with Obama and was reportedly rebuffed. “Prime Minister Netanyahu is not in New York in the days the President is in New York, and the President is not in New York in the days when Prime Minister Netanyahu will be in New York,” Carney said providing the official version, pointing out that Secretary of State Hillary Clinton will be meeting with Netanyahu. “The President has met with and spent time on the phone with Prime Minister Netanyahu more than with any leader since he took office.” Of course, meeting with world leaders when you don’t know if you’ll still have your job in the next few weeks, can be potentially awkward. It can lead to unfortunate hot-mic gaffes, of which Obama has not been immune (for example,  in Seoul earlier this year he<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=swampland.time.com&#038;blog=5284847&#038;post=78900&#038;subd=timeswampland&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
		<wfw:commentRss>http://swampland.time.com/2012/09/24/obama-comes-to-new-york-for-barbara-walters-and-sorta-the-united-nations/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
	<primary_category>Foreign Policy</primary_category><primary_category_link>http://swampland.time.com/category/foreign-policy-2/</primary_category_link><featured_image>http://timeswampland.files.wordpress.com/2012/09/obama_the_view_0925.jpg?w=200</featured_image>
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			<media:title type="html">Obama on The View</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://2.gravatar.com/avatar/557ff2649ffce53285c86e4b694cff6d?s=96&#38;d=http%3A%2F%2F2.gravatar.com%2Favatar%2Fad516503a11cd5ca435acc9bb6523536%3Fs%3D96&#38;r=G" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">jnewtonsmall</media:title>
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		<title>TIME/CNN Poll: Obama Leads Romney in Florida</title>
		<link>http://swampland.time.com/2012/08/27/timecnn-poll-obama-leads-romney-in-florida/</link>
		<comments>http://swampland.time.com/2012/08/27/timecnn-poll-obama-leads-romney-in-florida/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 27 Aug 2012 18:00:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alex Altman</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Polls]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[2012]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Florida]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[North Carolina]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Romney]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://swampland.time.com/?p=76533</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[President Barack Obama has opened a narrow lead in Florida as Republicans gather in Tampa this week to nominate Mitt Romney, according to a new TIME/CNN/ORC poll. The survey also found the two candidates locked in a near tie in North Carolina ahead of the Democratic convention there next week. Obama holds a 50%-46% over Romney among likely voters in Florida. In North Carolina, the two candidates are locked in a virtual dead heat, with Romney up 48%-47%. In both states, the poll, conducted from Aug. 22 to Aug. 26, has a margin of error of 3 percentage points. Obama’s edge in Florida is bolstered by women voters, among whom he&#8217;s beating Romney 54%-42%, and by nonwhite voters, with whom he boasts a 70%-29% advantage. There are signs the incumbent is stitching together the same demographic coalitions that helped him capture Florida’s 29 electoral votes four years ago. Obama holds an eight-point lead among urban voters and a 13-point margin (54%-41%) with voters under 50. He also racks up 58% of self-identified “moderates” and manages to siphon off nearly one quarter of self-identified conservatives. In the sprawling, diverse Sunshine State, the President performs best in the Miami region, where he garners the support of 63% of respondents. Romney holds a sizable advantage among white voters in Florida, 56%-38%, and in particular white men, with whom he leads 58%-37%. Despite Romney’s decision to select Paul Ryan, the architect of a plan to refashion Medicare into a voucher system, as his running mate, the GOP candidate holds a two-point lead among voters over 50, including a 51%-45% edge with those over 65. Romney has also piled up a 25-point cushion in northern Florida, the state’s most conservative region, and a 53%-45% edge among respondents earning more than $50,000 per year. The two candidates are virtually deadlocked among self-identified independent voters in this fall&#8217;s biggest battleground. In a state where Republican officials have been aggressively seeking out ineligible voters to purge from the rolls, Obama&#8217;s overall lead among registered voters swells to nine<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=swampland.time.com&#038;blog=5284847&#038;post=76533&#038;subd=timeswampland&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
	<primary_category>Polls</primary_category><primary_category_link>http://swampland.time.com/category/2012-election/polls-elections/</primary_category_link><featured_image>http://timeswampland.files.wordpress.com/2012/08/sl_obama_0827.jpg?w=200</featured_image>
		<media:thumbnail url="http://timeswampland.files.wordpress.com/2012/08/sl_obama_0827.jpg?w=200" />
		<media:content url="http://timeswampland.files.wordpress.com/2012/08/sl_obama_0827.jpg?w=200" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">Barack Obama</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://1.gravatar.com/avatar/41a5f1af68b9fd647df540c67f1a464a?s=96&#38;d=http%3A%2F%2F1.gravatar.com%2Favatar%2Fad516503a11cd5ca435acc9bb6523536%3Fs%3D96&#38;r=G" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">Alex Altman</media:title>
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		<title>Are the Bain Attacks Working?</title>
		<link>http://swampland.time.com/2012/07/25/are-the-bain-attacks-working/</link>
		<comments>http://swampland.time.com/2012/07/25/are-the-bain-attacks-working/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 25 Jul 2012 19:29:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Alex Altman</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Polls]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ads]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bain capital]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Barack Obama]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mitt romney]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://swampland.time.com/?p=74350</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[All summer, Barack Obama has blanketed the swing-state airwaves in an attempt to sway the sliver of the electorate still up for grabs. The ad assault has attacked a series of related issues: Mitt Romney’s refusal to release additional tax returns, his offshore bank accounts, his former firm&#8217;s record of outsourcing jobs abroad and laying off workers at home. But they all fall under a single theme: the presumptive Republican nominee is an impossibly rich man whose decisions will benefit his own kind, not the middle class. So has the offensive worked? It&#8217;s not a satisfying answer, but &#8230; yes and no. The presidential horse race remains relatively static. Embedded in the polling, however, are signs that the attacks have inflicted a toll on Romney&#8217;s standing with voters. At the same time, the Republican maintains a significant edge on the economy, which most observers expect will be the defining issue of the campaign. First, the damage. A new NBC/Wall Street Journal poll illustrates how the broadsides have blunted Romney&#8217;s appeal to voters. Four in 10 respondents say they have an unfavorable impression of the presumptive Republican nominee, compared with 35% who feel favorably &#8212; an ignominious distinction that none of the previous three Republican nominees have shared. In a Reuters/Ipsos poll out this week, 36% of registered voters say Bain&#8217;s outsourcing record has tarnished Romney&#8217;s appeal. Roughly the same number say they view the former Massachusetts governor less favorably because of what they have heard about his tax returns. A similar survey conducted by Public Policy Polling, a Democratic firm, found that 40% of respondents, including 47% of self-described moderates, said Romney&#8217;s work at Bain Capital made it less likely he would receive their vote. And yet the Democratic attacks haven&#8217;t shaken the foundation of Romney&#8217;s campaign, which is that he is the candidate better equipped to resuscitate the economy. The NBC/Wall Street Journal survey found that voters think Romney has better ideas for improving the economy by a 7-point margin, 43% to 36%. In a USA Today/Gallup poll released this week, 63% of<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=swampland.time.com&#038;blog=5284847&#038;post=74350&#038;subd=timeswampland&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
	<primary_category>Polls</primary_category><primary_category_link>http://swampland.time.com/category/2012-election/polls-elections/</primary_category_link>
		<media:content url="http://1.gravatar.com/avatar/41a5f1af68b9fd647df540c67f1a464a?s=96&#38;d=http%3A%2F%2F1.gravatar.com%2Favatar%2Fad516503a11cd5ca435acc9bb6523536%3Fs%3D96&#38;r=G" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">Alex Altman</media:title>
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		<title>In Defense of Romney&#8217;s Vagueness</title>
		<link>http://swampland.time.com/2012/07/05/in-defense-of-romneys-vagueness/</link>
		<comments>http://swampland.time.com/2012/07/05/in-defense-of-romneys-vagueness/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 05 Jul 2012 16:55:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Adam Sorensen</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[2012 Election]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Campaigns]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Domestic Policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Health Care]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Immigration]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mitt Romney]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Polls]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://swampland.time.com/?p=73643</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[There&#8217;s a bit of a panic raging in the conservative commentariat today with twin columns from the Weekly Standard&#8216;s Bill Kristol and the Wall Street Journal&#8216;s editorial board urging Mitt Romney to correct his course. President Obama just won the biggest court case in a decade and the slowing recovery hasn&#8217;t made him bleed in the polls just yet. So serious voices on the right are telling Romney to get his act together. Their suggestion: be more specific specific. The Journal: The Romney campaign thinks it can play it safe and coast to the White House by saying the economy stinks and it&#8217;s Mr. Obama&#8217;s fault. We&#8217;re on its email list and the main daily message from the campaign is that &#8220;Obama isn&#8217;t working.&#8221; Thanks, guys, but Americans already know that. What they want to hear from the challenger is some understanding of why the President&#8217;s policies aren&#8217;t working and how Mr. Romney&#8217;s policies will do better. [snip] The biography that voters care about is their own, and they want to know how a candidate is going to improve their future. That means offering a larger economic narrative and vision than Mr. Romney has so far provided. It means pointing out the differences with specificity on higher taxes, government-run health care, punitive regulation, and the waste of politically-driven government spending. Kristol: The economy is of course important. But voters want to hear what Romney is going to do about the economy. He can &#8220;speak about&#8221; how bad the economy is all he wants—though American are already well aware of the economy&#8217;s problems—but doesn&#8217;t the content of what Romney has to say matter? What is his economic growth agenda? His deficit reform agenda? His health care reform agenda? His tax reform agenda? His replacement for Dodd-Frank? No need for any of that, I suppose the Romney campaign believes. Just need to keep on &#8220;speaking about the economy.&#8221; First a note about the pure politics: If by &#8220;playing it safe,&#8221; the Journal means &#8220;unflinchingly implementing a strategy of using a bad economy<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=swampland.time.com&#038;blog=5284847&#038;post=73643&#038;subd=timeswampland&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
	<primary_category>Campaigns</primary_category><primary_category_link>http://swampland.time.com/category/2012-election/elections/campaigns/</primary_category_link><featured_image>http://timeswampland.files.wordpress.com/2012/07/0705_sl_romney_brooks_0705.jpg?w=200</featured_image>
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			<media:title type="html">Independence Day celebration in New Hampshire</media:title>
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		<media:content url="http://1.gravatar.com/avatar/7666b70a5b0305bd59953f5bca02cce5?s=96&#38;d=http%3A%2F%2F1.gravatar.com%2Favatar%2Fad516503a11cd5ca435acc9bb6523536%3Fs%3D96&#38;r=G" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">Adam Sorensen</media:title>
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		<title>How Polarization Explains Republicans&#8217; and Democrats&#8217; Governing Priorities</title>
		<link>http://swampland.time.com/2012/06/05/how-polarization-explains-republicans-and-democrats-governing-priorities/</link>
		<comments>http://swampland.time.com/2012/06/05/how-polarization-explains-republicans-and-democrats-governing-priorities/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 05 Jun 2012 17:48:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Adam Sorensen</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Polls]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[democrats]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[pew]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[republicans]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://swampland.time.com/?p=71841</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The headline on Pew’s new 25th anniversary American Values survey is probably not surprising to anyone attuned to Washington’s frequency the past few years: political polarization has risen sharply, not just in Congress but among voters too. Partisanship now predicts voters&#8217; priorities better than factors like race, religion, income and education. That wasn&#8217;t always the case, and the numbers that accompany this change offer some good explanations for the actions of Democrats and Republicans in government. Policywise, the most important shift since the Pew survey started has been the dramatic reversal of conservative views about the social safety net. In 1987, 62% of Republicans said the government should take care of people who can&#8217;t take care of themselves; now just 40% say the same — a 35-point difference from Democrats, who haven&#8217;t changed their views much on the issue. Only 20% of Republicans today say the government should go deeper into debt to help the needy. That shift is reflected in the agenda of congressional Republicans. Paul Ryan has been introducing entitlement-slashing budgets for years; with the base behind him, it&#8217;s now a pillar of the GOP platform. Given the fair chance that Mitt Romney is elected along with a Republican-controlled Congress, historians may well trace a massive restructuring of the U.S. social safety net back to this change in opinion. The timing of the shift is interesting. Big drops in Republican support for the social safety net have occurred twice: at the beginning of Bill Clinton’s and Barack Obama’s first terms. It&#8217;s possible that these voters were reacting to economic forces — it seems reasonable that people would feel the need to retrench in lean times, regardless of the economic merits — but it&#8217;s hard not to read the falloff as a partisan reaction to a Democratic President. This effect shows up in the broader issue of government efficacy, which Republicans suddenly lose faith in (and which Democrats suddenly believe in) when a Democrat enters the White House. Under Obama, increasing polarization and the lasting effects of the Great Recession seem to have induced<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=swampland.time.com&#038;blog=5284847&#038;post=71841&#038;subd=timeswampland&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
	<primary_category>Polls</primary_category><primary_category_link>http://swampland.time.com/category/2012-election/polls-elections/</primary_category_link><featured_image>http://timeswampland.files.wordpress.com/2012/06/sl_safetynet_0606_blog.jpg?w=200</featured_image>
		<media:thumbnail url="http://timeswampland.files.wordpress.com/2012/06/sl_safetynet_0606_blog.jpg?w=200" />
		<media:content url="http://timeswampland.files.wordpress.com/2012/06/sl_safetynet_0606_blog.jpg?w=200" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">sl_safetynet_0606_blog</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://1.gravatar.com/avatar/7666b70a5b0305bd59953f5bca02cce5?s=96&#38;d=http%3A%2F%2F1.gravatar.com%2Favatar%2Fad516503a11cd5ca435acc9bb6523536%3Fs%3D96&#38;r=G" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">Adam Sorensen</media:title>
		</media:content>

		<media:content url="http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/06/6-4-12-V-26.png" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">pew</media:title>
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		<title>The End of Political Polling</title>
		<link>http://swampland.time.com/2012/05/29/the-end-of-political-polling/</link>
		<comments>http://swampland.time.com/2012/05/29/the-end-of-political-polling/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 29 May 2012 18:27:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Michael Scherer</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Polls]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://swampland.time.com/?p=71406</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Pack it up. Pack it in. It&#8217;s over. Political polling has reached its end point. Thanks to the good people at Public Policy Polling, who thought to ask voters in Michigan if they agreed with Mitt Romney&#8217;s claim that the state has trees that are the right height. Drum roll, please. That&#8217;s right, 2008 Obama voters are 17 points more likely to agree with Romney on the height of Michigan trees. It was a crossover vote play all along! There&#8217;s more. It was also a play for women, it seems. Or so much for the sanity of the young.<img alt="" border="0" src="http://stats.wordpress.com/b.gif?host=swampland.time.com&#038;blog=5284847&#038;post=71406&#038;subd=timeswampland&#038;ref=&#038;feed=1" width="1" height="1" />]]></description>
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		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
	<primary_category>Polls</primary_category><primary_category_link>http://swampland.time.com/category/2012-election/polls-elections/</primary_category_link>
		<media:content url="http://1.gravatar.com/avatar/a467a0981ef8e059913a0aa44ba7df1b?s=96&#38;d=http%3A%2F%2F1.gravatar.com%2Favatar%2Fad516503a11cd5ca435acc9bb6523536%3Fs%3D96&#38;r=G" medium="image">
			<media:title type="html">michaelscherer</media:title>
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			<media:title type="html">Screen shot 2012-05-29 at 2.18.31 PM</media:title>
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