Morning Must Reads: January 7

In the News: Sunni revolt in Iraq, how Republicans could win it all in 2014, Questions Behind John Kerry's Call for Peace, FBI Burglars Reveal Themselves, Income Inequality, and the Fiscal Cliff's potential comeback

  • Share
  • Read Later
Mark Wilson / Getty Images

The early morning sun rises behind the US Capitol Building in Washington, DC.

  • In Iraq, a Sunni Revolt Raises Specter of New War [Washington Post]
  • The Big Questions Behind John Kerry’s Latest Push For Middle East Peace [TIME]
  • The Most Closed Congress in History: “Many have speculated on the forces that are driving the current polarization in Washington—from the rise of the Tea Party to the dominating influence of outside groups and a Republican majority in the House whose agenda is at odds with the views of the American people. However, it’s the manipulation of the legislative process itself that has enabled each of these forces to take root and grow.” [Politico Magazine]
  • Progressives Flunking Income Inequality Test [National Journal]
  • Puerto Ricans Flock North Away From Battered Economy [WSJ]
  • Faulty Websites Confront Needy in Search of Aid [NYT]
  • “I Do Not Trust Politicians”: An Interview with the Democrat Most Likely to Challenge Hillary Clinton in 2016 [Slate]
  • Republicans Really Could Win it All This Year [Politico Magazine]
  • 4 Reasons We Haven’t Seen the Last of the Fiscal Cliff [TIME]
  • The Burglars Who Took on FBI Abandon Shadows [NYT]
519 comments
collioure
collioure

Regarding the Gates book an early read is that hardly anyone comes out looking good and certainly not the author.  Hillary, however, is viewed rather favorably.

fitty_three
fitty_three

I think @collioure..is trying to be all sciency and stuff, pontificating about that mean ol' CO2 stuff when he qustions the work of one of the most frequently cited (by rate) paper in recent times, knows nothing about the cycling dynamics of the gas, and has probably never seen a Berner curve in his life.

Just as well he took his marbles home...

deconstructiva
deconstructiva

Kudos to MementoMori for earlier linking the Amanda Hess article about continuing harassment of women online, which included TIME's Catherine Mayer. (I saw it earlier but was out and using the android tablet, which lets me read but not sign in - LF pop-ups don't work, including log-in.) Alas, there were no replies to it. Maybe if collie bashed women, there will be plenty of replies. It's too bad that many great links here receive good 'likes' and no doubt get read (yes, including some of mine), but that's about it. OTOH, collie, paulie (in past) and 'others' post nonsense and get many replies, often pages of them, sigh.


DonQuixotic
DonQuixotic

Collie, Richard Muller:

In an op-ed published in the New York Times on 28 July 2012, Muller announced further findings from the project. He said their analysis showed that average global land temperatures had increased by 2.5 °F (1.4 °C) in 250 years, with the increase in the last 50 years being 1.5 °F (0.8 °C), and it seemed likely that this increase was entirely due to human caused greenhouse gas emissions. His opening paragraph stated:

"Call me a converted skeptic. Three years ago I identified problems in previous climate studies that, in my mind, threw doubt on the very existence of global warming. Last year, following an intensive research effort involving a dozen scientists, I concluded that global warming was real and that the prior estimates of the rate of warming were correct. I'm now going a step further: Humans are almost entirely the cause."

He said that their findings were stronger than those shown in the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report. Their analysis, set out in five scientific papers now being subjected to scrutiny by others, had used statistical methods which Robert Rohde had developed and had paid particular attention to overcoming issues that skeptics had questioned, including the urban heat island effect, poor station quality, data selection and data adjustment. In the fifth paper which they now made public, they fitted the shape of the record to various forcings including volcanoes, solar activity and sunspots. They found that the shape best matched the curve of the calculated greenhouse effect from human caused greenhouse gas emissions. Muller said he still found "that much, if not most, of what is attributed to climate change is speculative, exaggerated or just plain wrong. I've analyzed some of the most alarmist claims, and my skepticism about them hasn't changed."

This is a scientist we should be listening to, yes?

mantisdragon91
mantisdragon91

We have some winners on the Gates thread. The stupidity and revisionist history is in full effect for all to see.

fitty_three
fitty_three

With our increasing self sufficiency I welcome the opportunity to see the US distangle itself from the middle eats. 

fitty_three
fitty_three

@collioure..is, of course, seeking leadership* on the part of the US in world global warming matters.


*he really means leadership from anyone but Obama, of course.

DonQuixotic
DonQuixotic

Well?  This is a guy you listen to, right?

fitty_three
fitty_three

@nflfoghorn

Those shirts might command a price just like the upside down airplane stamp did.

hivemaster
hivemaster

@nflfoghorn It saves them about $20M this year, including tax payments, for a guy who refused every extension offer, making them believe he was going to walk for nothing this summer.  It won't help them on the court, but it will help them.  Not all trades are about player value.  Their season is over, so they might as well save a chunk of change.  They can also renounce Boozer this summer and have about $10M to spend on a player or players.

collioure
collioure

@nflfoghorn 

As a Bulls fan I am not happy with this deal, but I'm not sure Derrick Rose is ever going to be himself again.

deconstructiva
deconstructiva

@fitty_three Middle East politics we should disengage from, but Middle Eats we should embrace more. Kabobs, falafel, and other tasty foods are worthy of further exploration.

DonQuixotic
DonQuixotic

@collioure  

Leveling one of the more serious charges that a defense secretary could make against a commander in chief sending forces into combat, Gates asserts that Obama had more than doubts about the course he had charted in Afghanistan. The president was “skeptical if not outright convinced it would fail,” Gates writes in “Duty: Memoirs of a Secretary at War.”

Obama, after months of contentious discussion with Gates and other top advisers, deployed 30,000 more troops in a final push to stabilize Afghanistan before a phased withdrawal beginning in mid-2011. “I never doubted Obama’s support for the troops, only his support for their mission,” Gates writes.

What's wrong with that?  I don't agree with their mission either.

As a candidate, Obama had made plain his opposition to the 2003 Iraq invasion while embracing the Afghanistan war as a necessary response to the 2001 terrorist attacks on the United States, requiring even more military resources to succeed. In Gates’s highly emotional account, Obama remains uncomfortable with the inherited wars and distrustful of the military that is providing him options. Their different worldviews produced a rift that, at least for Gates, became personally wounding and impossible to repair.

Seriously not seeing a problem here. 

MementoMori
MementoMori

@fitty_three @collioure 

Funny how he blames Obama for lack of leadership, but nary a word about the Senate or the House..

Why, it's almost as if he has an ax to grind....

mantisdragon91
mantisdragon91

@fitty_three@mantisdragon91According to at least one history buff on there Obama was president when the economy collapsed at the end of 2007.
 And here is the winner in question

 

JackKennedy said

mantisdragon91
ahhh ............. the obamashill
making money by defending the OBAMA DEPRESSION ............. as America suffers
BLOOD MONEY for the obamashill
maybe you'll get a bonus


GOOD LUCK ............ SHILL ................. the coming implosion is going to be TOUGH for YOU

Reply

AfGuy
AfGuy

By that, I thought he meant the center of the sandwich.

nflfoghorn
nflfoghorn

@DonQuixotic On top of that, the original reason why we were in Afghanistan in the first place was b/c OBL was supposedly hiding there (he slipped out of Tora Bora two months after 9/11/01 when W supposedly had him cornered).  Turned out he was found under Pakistan's nose.  So outside of that there was--and is--no need for us to be there.

collioure
collioure

@DonQuixotic 

I just said to chew on it.  I haven't drawn any conclusions myself.  I tend to think that we might have saved Iraq from deterioration and that Afghanistan was always futile.

collioure
collioure

@fitty_three@MementoMori 

Congratulations, guys.

Four of the stupidest posts I've seen here in a while.

fitty_three
fitty_three

@MementoMori

Exactly. 

He's not a conservative either even though all his sources are GOP and everything he says includes phrases turned on the lathes in the basement of FOX.

collioure
collioure

@fitty_three@collioure 

I don't see a lot of certainty in those titles.

And I'm finished with this conversation.

Come back when we have a model that predicts what is happening.

In the meantime I seek US leadership in addressing this global problem.

fitty_three
fitty_three

@collioure

What part of:

"While there is still no definitive cause identified, the Met Office scientists point to a combination of more heat going into the deep oceans and downturns in multi-decadal cycles in global temperature — natural variability — as the primary drivers of the pause. Others argue that a plethora of recent small volcanoes, changes in stratospheric water vapor, and a downturn in solar energy reaching the Earth may also be contributing to the slow-down. While few expect the pause to persist much longer, it has raised some questions about the growing divergence between observed temperatures and those predicted by climate scientists.

To understand the decline in the rate of warming requires understanding the different ways of measuring global temperature. These include measurements taken from land-based temperature stations (mostly using mercury thermometers), ocean buoys, ships, satellites, and weather balloons."

Don't you understand?

sacredh
sacredh

@AfGuy, it's good to see you again AfGuy. Welcome back.

fitty_three
fitty_three

@collioure 

No, the observer who posted the article (you) is biased strongly against Obama. That's what you're missing in his message.

He's saying that he thinks that you're doing it for the purpose of !goatcha!, and knowing you as well as I do, I agree with him.

The article itself is not where the doubt is being cast.  It's on your credibility, which is zero - the same as the number of citeable articles you've posted on any number of subjects.

fitty_three
fitty_three

@collioure

That's not a judgment of just the article, it's a judgement of the presenter (you), and your penchant for one-sided spinning of anything Obama.

outsider
outsider

@mantisdragon91@collioure@nflfoghorn@DonQuixotic 

Stop Mantis - despite his protestations to the contrary, you know he posted this as another GOTCHA! piece against Obama - failing to read it ahead of time, of course. 

And when people started quoting it, he realized he didn't really have a defensible position - so he's nitpicking on the party of Gates to try and cover his tail. 

He's so very predictable, and transparent. Why bother? 

mantisdragon91
mantisdragon91

@TyPollard@mantisdragon91@collioure@nflfoghorn@DonQuixotic  

Guess he never actually read the article. Just wanted to blame Obama

 

Gates, the only high-level holdover from the Bush administration to the President Barack Obama’s Cabinet, reveals he nearly quit his post in September 2009 while Obama reviewed his Afghanistan strategy. According to the Times, Gates writes he was “deeply uneasy with the Obama White House’s lack of appreciation — from the top down — of the uncertainties and unpredictability of war…I came closer to resigning that day than at any other time in my tenure, though no one knew it.”

Gates was a backer of a substantial troop increase for Afghanistan early in Obama’s first term, while Biden argued for a smaller counter-terrorism mission in the country.


Read more: Gates Slams Biden in Memoir, Reveals He Nearly Quit | TIME.com http://swampland.time.com/2014/01/07/in-memoir-gates-slams-biden-reveals-he-nearly-quit/#ixzz2pktu1APi