Morning Must Reads: November 27

In the news: trouble in the East China Sea; Obamacare deadline looms; Microsoft vs. NSA; campaign finance reform; a soaring Nasdaq; GOP eyes Senate takeover in 2014; Prettier in Print; Thanksgiving!

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Mark Wilson / Getty Images

The early morning sun rises behind the US Capitol Building in Washington, DC.

  • “Tensions are running high in the skies between China and Japan—and the United States is refusing to stay on the sidelines. After Beijing upset the region by declaring a new air defense zone over a large part of the East China Sea, Washington responded by flying two unarmed B-52 bombers through the area.” [CNN]
  • Ukraine-EU deal is a big threat to Russia’s economy [BBC]
  • “With the clock ticking toward a Saturday deadline, Obama administration officials promise that the HealthCare.gov website will work better. Exactly how much better? That is hard to say.” [WSJ]
    • “White House officials, fearful that the federal health care website may again be overwhelmed this weekend, have urged their allies to hold back enrollment efforts so the insurance marketplace does not collapse under a crush of new users.” [NYT]
    • “There are states that are running their own websites and enrolling a lot of people, way more than the amateur-hour federal website that serves most of the states.” [Politico]
  • “Microsoft is moving toward a major new effort to encrypt its Internet traffic amid fears that the National Security Agency may have broken into its global communications links, said people familiar with the emerging plans.” [WashPost]
  • “The Treasury Department and the Internal Revenue Service announced a proposed revision to federal tax code that would disrupt the loosely regulated world of dark money in political campaigns.” [TIME]
  • The Nasdaq Composite Index closed above 4000 for the first time in 13 years, the latest milestone in a 2013 stock rally fueled by easy money from the Fed and robust investor demand for a broader swath of fast-expanding companies. [WSJ]
  • “Combined with a favorable map, Republican momentum has put control of the Senate firmly in play. In fact, the 7 seats most likely to switch parties in our latest Hotline Senate Rankings are only Democratic-held. If Republicans flip 6 of the 7—without losing any of their own vulnerable seats—they would control the Senate in 2015.” [National Journal]
  • Prettier in print
  • Have a happy Thanksgiving! MMRs will return on Monday.
1571 comments
fitty_three
fitty_three

Well, off to dreamland. Looks like /O by a slender margin.

fitty_three
fitty_three

"I agree with liberals on all social issues."  ~@collioure 

I have to leave now.  I just blew all the pop I drank out my nose.

That, and Denver won.

notsacredh
notsacredh

Well, I didn't sleep well at all today. It's back to bed for a long nap before work for me. Goodnight.

notsacredh
notsacredh

In case you gentlemen didn't read down thread, I hit a nice scratch-off last night on the way to work.

notsacredh
notsacredh

The ACA has experienced severe problems in the two months since it's rollout. Obama's poll numbers have suffered as a result. Meidcare was very heavily criticized when it was first introduced. It's extremely popular now. Taking the short term view of a massive new program seems to be a mistake to me.

forgottenlord
forgottenlord

@fitty_three

Actually....he tends to be left-leaning on social issues.  Some of his opinions on social issues make it all the way to center but I wouldn't classify any of his social issue positions as right.

Robbert5
Robbert5

@sacredh  

I did read that, and congratulations.  I do not have the same luck skills as you do.  But then again I simply don't gamble, I know the odds are against me and chances are that I put more money in it than gain back.

TyPollard
TyPollard

@sacredh 

It's not about being right. 

It's about damaging the current President and hindering progress in other areas, like immigration.

collioure
collioure

@sacredh  

Vulnerable Democratic Senators will be the judges of its adequacy.

This is the month when they may start running away from Barry and his UCA boondoggle.

notsacredh
notsacredh

@Robbert5, I'm lucky in almost everything. I know the odds are really stacked against people winning, but I've been playing for 8 years and I keep track of how much I spend versus how much I win. I've never had a year when I didn't finish at least a $1000 in the plus column. Unless I have a huge December, 2013 will still be my 2nd best year. In 2009, I finished up just a hair under $26,000.

Paul,nnto
Paul,nnto

@TyPollard @sacredh  For the House republicans certainly. 

Non-gerrymandered republicans (Senators, Governors, any state wide elected) have found that offering only NO! is a losers strategy. 

notsacredh
notsacredh

@TyPollard, wouldn't that be a hoot? The sad thing is, if Palin wasn't good looking, the GOP would never have even given her the time of day. Shallow comes to mind when you talk about the GOP base. 

Paul,nnto
Paul,nnto

@TyPollard @Paul,nnto @sacredh Agreed it's a parlor game at this point but…

Willard as a Dove would have driven more republican voters away because it would have fed into the ( accurate ) narrative of Willard being disingenuous than attract independent (low information) voters. 

notsacredh
notsacredh

@Paul,nnto, not only that, but there is the matter of his weight. Regardless of what people tell pollsters, people are judged a good bit by their physical appearance.

Paul,nnto
Paul,nnto

@sacredh @TyPollard The Christie Beltway hype reminds me of the Pawlenty (remember him?) hype.

"Oh a republican governor in a Blue state!"  

He'll never survive a primary much less a general election. Horrible policies combined with bad temperament.

TyPollard
TyPollard

@Paul,nnto @TyPollard @sacredh

Agreed about the flawed candiate, flawed philosophy, flawed party but I think those issues would have decreased turnout among independent and democratic Obama voters.

Hardly matters now but...

Paul,nnto
Paul,nnto

@TyPollard @Paul,nnto @sacredh Willard never had a chance. 

Flawed candiate, flawed philosophy, flawed party. 

Also, too, the republicans approved of both NSA over reach and immoral drone strikes. 

notsacredh
notsacredh

@TyPollard, Romney was forced to the right by the Tea party and was put into the position of appeasing the base just to get the nomination. Once he had the nomination, he was trapped into the positions the TP forced him to take. I expect the same thing in 2016.

TyPollard
TyPollard

@Paul,nnto @TyPollard @sacredh 

I do believe Romney could have won if he had focused on things like drone wars and NSA abuses instead of fanning the flames on the right with factually challenged attacks.

Paul,nnto
Paul,nnto

@TyPollard @Paul,nnto @sacredh The odd thing? 

There are areas where BHO and the Democrats are open to well earned criticism, from the left as well as from the right, but with people like Cruz, Rand Paul, )insert any Texan republican) leading the charge no one takes them seriously.

The TPer who cried wolf.

Robbert5
Robbert5

@collioure @Robbert5 @sacredh  

Who knows frenchie, maybe you are in for surprises and which politicos know all this stuff?  Faux News, VDare, Breitbart.com, Beck, Limbaugh?  Your sources, at least the ones you dare to mention every once and a while, are not the most trustworthy.  Do remember last year, all these ppl were dead wrong.  So we'll see, my take is that it is not that bad.  The american ppl have seen what the repugs stand for which is nothing, they have no ideas to solve any of the current problems facing this country.  And I do mean literally ANY.


Also, what time does your day start?

Robbert5
Robbert5

@collioure @sacredh

"Yes, the Democrats are going to have problems keeping their own party together" -> Hypothesis

"Obama lies about his UCA are a real problem for vulnerable Democrats.  They all repeated his words to their constituents." -> hypothesis, seems to be true at the moment but attention span of the average vote is really limited

"Cancellations - you ain't seen nothing yet." -> hypothesis, what cancellations and what is not seen "yet"?

"Sticker shock - the website will generate gobs of that. "-> hypothesis, if history is any guide than this it is uphill from here.

"People losing their doctors; " -> Wrong, to the extent that ppl are losing their doctors at the same rate they always lost their doctors

"A lot of bad news coming down the pike." -> hypothesis, for whom?  My hypothesis is that there will be a lot of bad news for the GOP

"If the Republicans just run against the UCA instead of with an alternate plan, tthey stand to do less well, but they will win in Nov." -> hypothesis, next election will tell.


collioure
collioure

@Paul,nnto @collioure @TyPollard  

What is there to expand upon?  I support the Voting Rights Act that endures since the 60s.

collioure
collioure

@Paul,nnto  

No thank you.

Our Treasury must be protected from that - Joe Lieberman.

Paul,nnto
Paul,nnto

ls the President's religion a "social issue"?

Paul,nnto
Paul,nnto

So single payer is something we agree about?

collioure
collioure

@Paul,nnto @collioure @sacredh  

I'm not right wing.

I agree with liberals on all social issues.

Paul,nnto
Paul,nnto

He shows no sign of being a Christian nor a Scientist. 

notsacredh
notsacredh

@collioure , the ACApassed in 2010. My healthcare rates went up $4 for 2014. The smallest increase since Clinton was president.

collioure
collioure

@sacredh @collioure  

Yes, the Democrats are going to have problems keeping their own party together

Obama lies about his UCA are a real problem for vulnerable Democrats.  They all repeated his words to their constituents.

Cancellations - you ain't seen nothing yet.

Sticker shock - the website will generate gobs of that.

People losing their doctors;  

A lot of bad news coming down the pike.

If the Republicans just run against the UCA instead of with an alternate plan, they stand to do less well, but they will win in Nov.

notsacredh
notsacredh

@TyPollard, I've said it before. The GOP is doing everything the democrats WISH they'd do.

notsacredh
notsacredh

@collioure, the democrats are going to have problems keeping their own party together? The GOP is involved in civil war and at each other's throats. The GOP wishes they only had the problems the democrats do.

collioure
collioure

@sacredh @collioure 

I doubt you realize how far behind schedule they are or how many hurdles they have to clear. 

Keeping their own party together in this election year will be the most difficult task.

Robbert5
Robbert5

@sacredh @Robbert5  

I agree, throwing up your hands makes it a self fulfilling prophecy.  One does need to put the hard work into it.

notsacredh
notsacredh

@Robbert5, government only works as well as the people that represent it. When you have the GOP determined to make the goverment fail, of course there are going to be problems.

Robbert5
Robbert5

@sacredh @Robbert5  

I have been debating government ability to actually work with our resident Frenchie today.  His point was, and that mimics the GOP,  that government does not work and that the private sector is not inhibited by a bureaucracy that rewards growth in employee count.  

In my humble opinion, large organizations whether they are public or private, share the same difficulty in manageability and that government has, can and will work as long as one puts the effort in to make it work and continuously improve.  Throwing up your hands in a defeatist attitude that government doesn't work is not helping!

notsacredh
notsacredh

@Robbert5, the GOP has every right to be worried. If the ACA turns out to be a hugely popular program, people won't forget which party fought it every step of the way. Something else they have to be terrified of is that if the ACA turns out well down the road, the next logical step is a single payer system.

notsacredh
notsacredh

@Robbert5, both Social Security and Medicare were heavily criticized when they first came out and were viewed as "government interference". Are there any more popular programs with the people than both of them now?

Robbert5
Robbert5

@sacredh @collioure There is a reason why the GOP baggers are so quiet this weekend.  They peeing their panties, trembling on their knees and having the willies.