In the Arena

Obama’s Swing State Success Explained

  • Share
  • Read Later

Ron Brownstein may be the best in the business at reading polls, and here he explains a conundrum that has puzzled a fair number of political observers: why the President seems to be doing so much better in swing states than among the general population. The answer is pretty simple: because most of the spending and targeting and stumping is taking place in swing states, and the Obama campaign is simply doing a better job of it than Romney has. Specifically, Obama has targeted white working-class women–the so-called “waitress moms”–who are particularly sensitive to Romney’s 47% gaffe; and he’s running ads on the daytime programs that they watch–like Judge Judy and Doctor Phil.

Today’s polls have the race tightening in several states, and that’s bound to happen between now and November 6; Obama’s margins in places like Ohio, Virginia and Florida have been stupendous, historic–and probably unsustainable. But he walks into the debate tonight with the upper hand in large part because he has been running the more subtle and sophisticated campaign.

MORE: Special GOP Issue: Party of No

141 comments
Sort: Newest | Oldest
Terry Clifton
Terry Clifton

 Hey Klein nice Houdini trick in pulling your Obama's Debate Defeat post..Classic...

ahandout
ahandout

 CNN has Romney winning the debate 67% to 25% for Obama.

Liberals heads set to explode.

mantisdragon91
mantisdragon91

 Amazing what one can accomplish when one is willing to lie, avoid specifics and redirect questions. 5 Trillion tax cut- lie, 2 Trillion Tax Cut for the military- never answered. Specifics avoided like the plague.

ahandout
ahandout

Trickle Down Government.  Great quote from Romney.

DonQuixotic
DonQuixotic

Of course you love it, it makes no sense.

Steve0T
Steve0T

 as o pposed to  trickle down tax cuts?? Moron bagger.

ahandout
ahandout

Steveo, the phrase you are searching for is "Trickle Down Economics."   There is no such thing except in the empty heads of liberals that cannot grasp the complicated study of economic theory.

However, Trickle Down Government is the reality of  Barry Obama's too big to suceed, trillion dollar (now 1.3 trillion) deficit, pig at the trough of taxpayer's expense, federal failure.  

ahandout
ahandout

Steveo

No, Barry the failure is not funny in any way.  He's taken us down a 6 trillion dollar rabbit hole that just keeps getting bigger and blacker.  And, his answer all night tonight:  more of the same, more government, more government, more government.

Steve0T
Steve0T

LOL, semi-literate teabaggers are now experts on economics. 8 years of unbridled spending and now  you people are taking the high road.

It would be hilarious if the situation were not so bad.

History did not start on Jan 20 2009, sport. Talking about deficits sounds empty when the Repub ticket has a person who voted for the wars, the tax cuts, the medicare exapnsion, the bridge to nowhere, no child left behind etc etc.

Stop making a complete fool of yourself.

paulejb
paulejb

"Obama campaign's robocall about early voting called misleading"

http://www.tampabay.com/blogs/...

Why the dirty tricks? I thought that the election was in the bag for Obama.

Steve0T
Steve0T

 Strategic Alliance called. They asked why do conservatives lack self-awareness.

mantisdragon91
mantisdragon91

 Just trying to keep with your fraudulent voter registrations in the same state.

paulejb
paulejb

charlieromeobravo,

"Wingnuts are going to get a lot of mileage out of that video because Obama acknowledging black people = = reverse racism right?"

============================= 

Barry was caught in a flagrant case of racial arson. No phony alibis can spin him out of it.

MomentoMori
MomentoMori

 "racial arson"

Well, thanks to guys like paulie, you can certainly say the GOP is burning all their bridges with minorities.

That is what you meant by "racial arson", right paulie?

http://thinkprogress.org/wp-co...

Paul Dirks
Paul Dirks

In paulie world, Black people should only be seen and not heard. Good to know where he actually stands.

In the real world however the only "racial arsonist" is Tucker Carlson who apparently considers himself the sole arbiter of "acceptable" Black behavior.

Careful paulie, your sheet is showing..........

ahandout
ahandout

 No Paul Dirks, most of the video was not played in 2007.  The press only reported what the Obama campaign told them about it.

So, no one has actually seen the whole tape and the comments that Obama made or the tone that he made them in. 

paulejb
paulejb

Paul Dirks,

I am sure that Barack Obama agrees with you, Dirks. After all, no one was supposed to find out about his flagrant race baiting. Barry must have been surprised that the media couldn't keep the video spiked. 

Too bad, so sad, racial arson will out.

kbanginmotown
kbanginmotown

Hey sacred (replying from upthread)

Yeah, daytime TV. The only time a watch is when I'm in the waiting area of our local mechanic's garage as he finishes working on one of our cars.

Judy. Phil, et al. make me want to do a Van Gogh and claw my ears off... 

sacredh
sacredh

It didn't make a difference then, but it's a sure-fire gamechanger now.

Paul Dirks
Paul Dirks

You really DO occupy an alternate Universe. The video came out in 2007 and was extensively covered at the time. It is utterly uncontroversial unless you think that Free speech shouldn't apply to Black people. 

And if you do, we know what that makes you..... it's not rocket science.

Constance Renda
Constance Renda

Unfortunately Obamacare has ensured that we will be paying far more money now for insurance. It is also the biggest tax hike on middle class Americans, since they are the ones the will be hit by his so-called "penalties" which were ruled a tax.

paulejb
paulejb

Constance Renda,

Vote for Mitt and a Republican Congress. Voila! Problem solved.

Steve0T
Steve0T

 Problem is not solved for the 47%, sport. There problems begin with Ritt.

Paul Dirks
Paul Dirks

Of course the peculiar thing about this so-called tax is that absolutely no one has to pay it. Considering the amount of effort and chicanery that goes into avoiding taxes that we DO have to pay, you would think the simple expedient of carrying Health coverage would be a no-brainer. Oh wait. It IS a no-brainer. If you're complaining about a tax that you don't have to pay, then I can only assume that you intend to be a freeloading slacker on the health care system. 

 

paulejb
paulejb

DonQuixotic,

"I'd ask you to do so but I know you'd omit parts you don't like, such as freedom of religion for Muslims."

===========================

Despite your confusion and Barack Obama's, the Constitution confers no special rights on Muslims. As a matter of fact, it forbids the establishment of a state religion. Sorry bout that, Don. No Sharia law for you.

DonQuixotic
DonQuixotic

I guess I'll settle for a Mosque being built near the WTC site.  I assume you have no objections.

mantisdragon91
mantisdragon91

 Perhaps you may want to mention that to the Crusader wing of the Republican party peeking into peoples bedrooms and wanting to probe women's private regions.

anon76returns
anon76returns

Hey, Republicans are all for private property, but there's no denying that those are state-owned vaginas.  That's just science.

Ivy_B
Ivy_B

OT, but Salon lists their top 50 political tweeters. Some of them old friends of the Swamp. Note number 3 - two more in there as well.

http://www.salon.com/2012/10/0...

anon76returns
anon76returns

Good to see that KTum and AMC still exist, if in a intertubes dimension different than the one I inhabit.

paulejb
paulejb

Ivy_B,

Wow! All the usual suspects all in one place without having to be rounded up. Now that's a service.

sacredh
sacredh

Maybe I should start tweeting. My goal would be one other person per year.