Romney’s Campaign Is Far from Dead

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Some of my colleagues are declaring Mitt Romney’s presidential hopes dead and buried; some are enthusiastically dancing on his political grave. This is premature. True, the latest video of Romney denouncing nearly half the country as self-pitying mooches seems to confirm the caricature of a heartless plutocrat that Democrats have spent millions of dollars selling to Americans over the last six months.

But the election is still weeks away, the debates are yet to come, and the distance separating the two candidates in the polls just isn’t that big. Saying Obama has the edge and that Romney is in trouble seems credible; declaring the race over does not.

(MORE: How Mitt Romney’s Luck Ran Out)

Take the second-day story out of the fundraising video where Romney purports to denounce a two-state solution for the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Romney did join every recent president in support of the two-state peace plan in an interview with Ari Shavit in Haaretz last July, so the flip in his position is news. And Romney seems to say in the video that he believes “Palestinians have no interest whatsoever in establishing peace,” a news-worthy and historically inaccurate generalization that resonates with his unfortunate statement last summer about Palestinian “culture.” So it’s understandable that this section of the video is being described as “more trouble” for Romney.

But a closer look at the video shows Romney is being less radical than he sounds. After he declares peace “almost unthinkable,” for example, he goes through a credible analysis of some of the problems that have beset talks aimed at a two-state solution for the better part of two decades, including control of a Palestinian state’s eastern border and the dangers of Iranian influence. “These are very hard to solve,” he says, and indeed every president from Clinton forward has stumbled over these problems to one degree or another.

(MORE: Mitt Romney’s Foreign Policy Gamble)

More important, Romney says from the start of his comments that he is “torn by two perspectives” on the two state solution. He ends by saying he recently had a conversation with a former Secretary of State who believes the Palestinians would be ready to make peace after Palestinian elections. Romney says he didn’t “delve into it” but taking his statement at face value, he claims to be giving the former diplomat’s position equal credence with the peace-is-hopeless one.

Will the Palestinian comments hurt Romney? To win the election, Romney must reverse Democratic attempts to convince elderly voters in Florida he wants to destroy Medicare, Midwestern voters he would have let Detroit go under and Latinos and women he doesn’t care about them. Offending the Arab world seems a relatively minor problem by comparison.

If Romney loses the election, it will be because of those other challenges, not because of the fundraising video.

MORE: Video Captures Uncensored Mitt Romney at Fundraiser

122 comments
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JohnParish
JohnParish

Help support the change in the way election campaign funds

are raised.  Stop the Super Pacs from

steering the candidates and ruling the government. 

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and help raise the awareness of this problem.

JohnParish
JohnParish

Help support the change in the way election campaign funds

are raised.  Stop the Super Pacs from

steering the candidates and ruling the government. 

Come march on Congress and show them that the American

Population do not want candidates to be persuaded by these Super Pacs any more.

Visit www.indiegogo.com/SuperPac

and help raise the awareness of this problem.

Jill Louis
Jill Louis

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JohnYuEsq
JohnYuEsq

Money means power. Concentrated wealth at the top means extraordinary power at the top. The reason Romney pays a rate of only 14 percent on $13 million of income in 2011 -- a lower rate than many in the middle class -- is because he exploits a loophole that allows private equity managers to treat their income as capital gains, taxed at only 15 percent.

And that loophole exists solely because private equity and hedge fund managers have so much political clout -- as a result of their huge fortunes and the money they've donated to political candidates -- that neither party will remove it.

In other words, everything America is learning about Mitt Romney -- his tax returns, his years at Bain Capital, the video of his speech to high-end donors in which he belittles half of America, his gaffes, the budget policies he promotes -- repeat and reenforce the same underlying reality.

So much wealth and power have accumulated at the top of America that our economy and our democracy are seriously threatened. Romney not only represents this problem. He is the living embodiment of it.

ROBERT B. REICH, Chancellor's Professor of Public Policy at the University of California at Berkeley

ARGONUTS
ARGONUTS

As a veteran,enlisted and officer I will vote for Obama..we are better off today than when he took office.The party of no has been successfull in blocking anything he tried to do for all of us,  at the expense of the American people..Now we should tell the party of no..NO TO A WAR ECONOMY..AND NO TO THEM. NO MORE LIES

ARGONUTS
ARGONUTS

As a veteran, officer and enlisted, I  will vote for Obama because he represents all of the american people...reguardless of what he could not accomplish with our present congress..We are all better off than before and dont need to go back to the same policies that got us in all this trouble..we need a peace economy,not WAR ECONOMY.

exboyracer
exboyracer

It is interesting that he would meet with a former secretary of state. Someone he could learn something from and - he didn't have the curiosity or intellect to delve into it.  We really don't need another incurious and thin skinned daddy's boy in the office

I am one of the 53% and I am happily voting for Obama and my 47% brothers and sisters.

JohnYuEsq
JohnYuEsq

comment posted on Washington Post

I must apologize to the American people. As a recently retired Vietnam veteran, I am a 65-year-old member of Mitt Romney's infamous 47%. I feel ashamed that I pay no income tax on the retirement money I struggled to save while raising four children and working 40 to 60 hours a week, sometimes at two jobs. I feel ashamed that during my military service, I also paid no income tax when I was in a combat zone. I guess I shouldn’t feel entitled to retirement tax breaks and Medicare. 

Thank you, Mr. Romney. I never realized I was such a drain on America. That I am dependent on government. That I believe I’m a victim. You will receive my full apology on Nov. 6. That’s the day I will vote for President Obama — who, by a wide margin, is the lesser of two evils.

exboyracer
exboyracer

 You slacker!!!

JohnYuEsq
JohnYuEsq

NOT slacker.  I WORK HARD EVERYDAY, and will until the BITTER END.

JohnYuEsq
JohnYuEsq

it's US against the TYRANNY of the ROBBER BARONS of today

exboyracer
exboyracer

Im on your side please never let anger override your sense of humor. 

I agree Romney is even more out of touch than we dreamed.  I know a lot of people who think like that - the are rich but they aren't all that bright.

JohnYuEsq
JohnYuEsq

NOT slacker.  I WORK HARD EVERYDAY.  Do NOT ASS U ME, anything.

superlogi
superlogi

He, clearly, wasn't talking about you any more than he was talking about himself for paying capital gains taxes at their reduced rates.  I'm surprised you're too damned dumb to understand that.  What you need to feel ashamed about is the fact that you had more advantages than your children and/or grand children will have if this buffoon gets reelected.

PS  I'm retired, a Vietnam Veteran, the great majority of whom support Romney and a fellow who thinks government is too big, so big in fact as to be unaffordable.  And, if you don't think you're a victim, why talk like one?

exboyracer
exboyracer

 I hate to have to explain these thing.  The working poor do not pay income taxes - they pay a lot of other taxes but not income taxes.

Making minimum wage means a little more that 14K a year.   Make 10.oo per hour 20 k per year.   And at this level no benefits. These people don't pay taxes.  They barely have enough to live in some shithole trailer and drive a car that always need fixing.

Now I don't pretend to know what your situation is but I know that that is pretty poor.  Those people work and they don't pay taxes -- these are the slackers that you consider freeloaders.  They work harder than I ever have.  Hell my first job in 1974 paid 25.000 per year - I bought a brand new Volvo for 4600.  That little racer in the avatar - that is just for fun.  So I am not really considering myself a victim.  I do understand the numbers I understand the poverty I understand what is working poor and how hard it is.  You apparently don't that is why you are a republican.  You are the ones who want to teach these people a lesson for being sick or dumb or just poor.

I am sorry for you my life is governed on the fact that there for the grace of god go I,  and I'm an atheist.  You life is typical right wing.  I got mine screw you.

exboyracer
exboyracer

 Really what was he talking about?  The retirees, the disabled, the WORKING poor.  When you get rid of these folks the number doesn't even come close to 20%.  That 47% number represented tax units.  There fore if grammy lives with you and she collects SS or you have a disabled child, your tax unit is one of the 47%.  Did Romney explain that to you.  Probably not because as Santorum just stated. Smart people are not drawn to the republican side.  Facts are therefore simply pearls before swine.

Really superlogi - when you are part of the I got mine screw you club -- it is best to just shut up.  Romney is finding that out and it is wonderful.

I am one of the 53% and I am happily voting for Obama and my 47% brothers and sisters.

Edit

Reply

Read more: http://swampland.time.com/2012...

superlogi
superlogi

The working poor?  Just who is the working poor?  How many of you are out there.  Seriously, if you don't understand the numbers, you need to stay away from the numbers.  But the bottom line is, this has nothing to do with arithmetic, it has to do with parasitism.  And, you have defined yourself as a parasite.

JohnYuEsq
JohnYuEsq

NOT a victim.  Just a TRUE PATRIOT who LIVES for, will FIGHT for, and DEFEND America from ALL TYRANTS--read SOCIOPATHRomney.

Palladia
Palladia

This is actually for Mr. Logi.

Ah, the "shuck and jive" story!  Now, where does that come from?  Why, I do believe that it's a lot older than President Obama.  In fact, I think it comes from past centuries.  It's remarkably long-lived, though, and even though it has no current application (and no current White House resident who does such a thing) old prejudices die hard, don't they?  Now, we get down to the real story.

Good luck with that one.

superlogi
superlogi

If you were in Vietnam you fought to stop the spread of an ideology which was eating up SE Asia.  It's ironic that it's what's consuming  America today and you refuse to recognize it.  Apparently, you've changed not only your mind about the benefits of central planning, but also the definition of patriotism.  With regard to sociopathology, the only one who's a shucking and jiving self absorbed narcissist, is the fellow in currently residing in the White House.  He's also the most cynical of any President in my lifetime.  Unfortunately, reading your posts, he may have a point.

PS  When, in your lifetime have you ever seen any President display more disrespect for our founding documents?  Woodrow Wilson and Franklin Roosevelt come to mind, but I think Barry has them beat.

Bhujangarao Inaganti
Bhujangarao Inaganti

Romney is good at promoting his personal finance but he is not a leader. He has completed his stint as Governor of Mass by riding on a democratic agenda promoted by a democratic legislature and there is nothing to crave about his experience at Olympics and on the top of it he is not an inspiring person. He may be acceptable for the 1% but not for the other 99%. He botched his chances after his latest video comments.

Wayne Peterson
Wayne Peterson

So long as Romney continues his deceit and lies, his campaign is dead!

allthingsinaname
allthingsinaname

No they are well enough to dig the grave. As for your article it is wishful thinking.

Palladia
Palladia

"Dig the grave. . ."   Ah, but whose grave?  Very probably, their own.

SixSixSix
SixSixSix

Graveyard. Whistling. Keep on truckin' ...

Godzilla1960
Godzilla1960

If Mr. Romney loses, as I now think he will (I didn't two months ago), it will because Mr. Obama and the Democrats have been successful in establishing Mr. Romney's "brand" as an out-of-touch 1%-er who doesn't relate to the middle class.  

Unfortunately, for him, Mr. Romney has done nothing but reinforce that branding, while at the same time creating doubt in the minds of many that he doesn't have the temperament to lead the nation.

Mr. Romney will get his 47% of the vote, but I don't see him winning, unless the economy takes a serious downturn.

Palladia
Palladia

He may not get 47%.  The current Pew poll has President Obama up by 8 points.

sacredh
sacredh

I want to add why I think it will tighten up. Romney has been a terrible candidate. He screws up on a regular basis. If all of the mis-steps that Romney has taken hasn't already persuaded people to vote for Obama, then a majority of the undecideds are going to break for Romney. I don't think there will be enough to give Mitt the win, but I do think the final vote tally will tighten up the race considerably. 

sacredh
sacredh

Palladia, I'm pretty confident that Obama will win this race, but I have a hard time imagining him taking even 52% of the vote. I think it will tighten up and Obama will finish somewhere between 50-51% of the vote.

sacredh
sacredh

If Romney's dissing half the electorate doesn't swing the polls, nothing will. We are that polarized as a nation. Some people think the republican party will split. I don't. The tea party knows they can set the agenda even though they're not the majority in their own party. They're willing to take down the party if they don't get their way though and the establishment republicans recognized that they're fanatical enough to follow through, so they have to take marching orders.

Palladia
Palladia

I've been all over the place, thinking about this.  For one thing, I think that President Obama needs to make much clearer just what the ACA is all about, and how very serious the situation was when, and immediately after, he was inaugurated.  I think he needs to list, chapter and verse, exactly what the Republicans have done to block legislation and be generally obstructive.  That said, they seem to think they're some sort of bulwark against All That Is Evil.

Romney isn't a good candidate, to be sure, and there are probably a lot of Republicans for whom the very best that can be said of Romney is that he's not Obama.  After that, it's all downhill.  Still, there are a lot of people for whom that may be enough.  That's what worries me.  That simply there are enough people who truly hate Obama to swing things for Romney. 

Seven weeks.  I think I can last that long.  (crooked grin)  Of course, Romney may yet truly muck up.  I keep thinking he's really done it, and his apologists insist he's stil better than Obama.  It just amazes me.

filmnoia
filmnoia

Barack and the  Dems shouldn't treat the race like it's over. Always campaign like you're 5 points behind. Seems to me that is  Poli Sci 101.

There won't be any game changer in the debates. If Bush could withstand Kerry, there is no way Willard will have a "There you go again" or "You're no Jack Kennedy" moment. Willard is up against someone who is his intellectual superior. Barack just needs to make sure he demonstates it - just be serious  and humble and talk to the American people, not Willard.

Diver5
Diver5

"If Romney loses the election, it will be because of those other challenges, not because of the fundraising video." Ha!

Romney will loses the election, because of the fundraising video AND those "other challenges."

Palladia
Palladia

"Romney's Campaign Is Far from Dead," the headline proclaims.

Well, I'd say it's on artificial life support.  Which, given the artificiality of the candidate, is fair enough, I guess.

Paul Dirks
Paul Dirks

Here's the problem. Anyone who would say what he said about half of all Americans is NOT a Patriot.

Palladia
Palladia

He probably isn't a patriot, but a little discretion would not be amiss.

I wouldn't expect him to rise to the level of empathy any time soon, though.  Not for anyone who isn't in the 1%.

theoldkathy
theoldkathy

Of course Romney's campaign is far from over.

Tell my why Romney says "look at this 14 yr old tape of Obama!" and all the MSM outlets say "okay."  My God, can you imagine what a motherload there is in 14 years of Romney tapes.   Bunch of lemmings.

73yearoldVet
73yearoldVet

Massimo,

"Some of my colleagues are declaring Mitt Romney’s presidential hopes dead and buried; some are enthusiastically dancing on his political grave. This is premature."

It just goes to show how out of touch most journalists are with reality.

Just because they are personally so biased against Romney doesn’t make their dumb comments true.

We will see on Election Day who the American public want as their next president.

Remember Carter was ahead on Reagan in the polls one week before the election.

 

DonQuixotic
DonQuixotic

You accusing others of being biased is comical, especially when you can't resist inserting Carter.

Maricia12
Maricia12

As a Senior retiree, who has worked hard for over 30 years, raised a family, and am now enjoying my last years, I resent some wealthy arrogant excuse for a human being, looking down his nose at me and thousands just like me.  Guess he wants us to work right up to the grave, dig it ourselves and then just fall in, while he sits on his throne commanding his financial advisor to open another account in his Swiss Bank.  Sure, I get a small social security check and some Medicare benefits, which I paid into all my life. These two things are no different from buying insurance, only they are  funded by the tax payers. I might add , without my retirement fund, I would starve on social security alone.  Also I would be deep in debt  without additional  health insurance. He is clueless about the majority of Americans and does NOT know beans about foreign policy.  God help us all if he is elected. This old white woman is voting for President Obama and so is my husband.

ranger99
ranger99

Mittens can wish all he wants, his presidential campaign IS dead and buried.  He was going to lose even before this most recent fiasco, but now he'll lose by a landslide. 

He broke the cardinal rule of politics. Never tell the people what you actually think of them, especially when you are surrounded by fellow plutocrats at a $50K per plate fundraiser.

He might as well have crapped on an American flag and then wiped his rear with an aborted baby.