Romney Feels the Bain, but It’s Still a Close Race

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BROOKS KRAFT / CORBIS FOR TIME

President Barack Obama campaigns for re-election in the heavy rain on July 14, 2012, in Glen Allen, Va.

Democrats have thoroughly enjoyed the past few days of the presidential campaign, and with good reason. Mitt Romney’s camp has been on the defensive, responding to President Obama’s attacks with confusing and even goofy answers, and drawing criticism from prominent Republicans. A week that followed another terrible jobs report could have revolved around Obama’s economic record. Instead Americans have heard a long argument related to Romney’s wealth and the dark side of the business in which he made his fortune.

(PHOTOS: The Rich History of Mitt Romney)

So right now it feels like Obama is winning this fight. But as both Democrat William Galston and the Romney campaign itself note, the numbers show a neck-and-neck race. And there are reasons to think that Obama needs to finish the summer in something better than a tied race.

One is that the economy doesn’t seem poised to turn the corner. Recent indicators suggest that we’re in for more gross national blahs before job growth takes off again. And even if growth does pick up, Obama wants two or three consecutive strong-growth jobs reports to demonstrate that a real rebound is under way. There are only four more reports to come between now and Election Day, however. It’s almost too late for Obama to argue that we’re getting out of the rut.

The other reason Obama wants to gain a lead now is his short-term financial advantage. Romney’s ability to answer Obama’s advertising assault is limited by the fact that much of his huge fundraising haul consists of money that under federal law can only be spent in the general election. Many of Romney’s donors have maxed out on contributions that can be spent during the primaries. And while the primaries may feel long over, under election law they’re not concluded until Romney becomes his party’s nominee at the end of August. Once that happens, we could see something like the counterattack at Stalingrad. (It’s true that Republican super PACs can mitigate this imbalance on Romney’s behalf, although they’re not yet firing at full power either.) ABC News has a thorough breakdown of the particulars.

Romney’s advisers are heartened by Obama’s inability to break above a 50% support level and stay there. A political rule of thumb holds that an incumbent polling under 50% before an election will likely lose. Surely most voters have already formed a pretty clear opinion of Obama, leaving him with less room to grow than Romney.

You can credibly argue the case the other way. The swing-state polling looks slightly better for Obama right now than the aggregate national numbers. Obama may be having trouble growing his support, but at least his negatives are out there. The public is still getting to know Romney, and it’s quite possible that Obama’s attacks will KO Mitt. The vagaries of turnout will also make a huge difference.

But Democrats celebrating Bainapalooza should remember Han Solo’s immortal words to Luke: “Great, kid. Don’t get cocky.

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Benevolent Lawyer
Benevolent Lawyer

I hope the Democrats are not rejoicing --because there is really nothing to rejoice about!  Romney has just had a bad month.

Rejoice??? America is at the cusp of electing a man whom no one really knows. Mitt Romney does not want this to be a choice between him and the other guy. Instead, he  is campaigning on the "I am not the other guy" pulpit. Backed by his cabal of billionaires, he is poised to change the face of American politics for a very long time.

I hope that at some point the full picture of Mitt Romney will be revealed to all of us. And yes,  as a conservative I am saddened that Romney is the best the party could offer us. What does a Romney presidency portend? It does not look good thus far. One thing for sure is that Romney wants to be President and seems to act like it is his entitlement. So it will be a notch on his belt. But for America, I do not see anything great in a Romney Presidency. I think Obama should be allowed to finish what he started. One term is not enough to undo the mess he inherited.

Worse still, in this election cycle. it seems like there are constant road blocks in place by the Romney folks  preventing us from getting a holistic view of Mitt Romney.  At every turn, it appears, he does not want to run on any record. Now, he has refused to release anything more than 2 years worth of taxes! So who is Mitt Romney? We have no real insight except if we watch Fox News and are willing to listen to their unending message of doom just to get a glimpse into the life of the man who wants to be president .

 

 I would not hire a sharp shooter to protect me because he says he can shoot better than the other guy. I have to see what he has shot in the past and what he will do in the future! We should not elect a man who just says he is not Obama. What is he and what can he do?

I hope our lethargic populace will at least ask questions about BOTH CANDIDATES before they pull the lever on November 6th. It is simply not enough to run on the "I am not Obama ticket".  This is a sad state of affairs.

http://blackrepublicanandmywor...

 

Benevolent Lawyer
Benevolent Lawyer

It would seem that Romney thinks the office of the Presidency is his birthright and he has to do little or nothing to get elected.  It also shows that he has little regard for the intellect of the average voter. This is hardly surprising since the Republican party is now the  party of the super wealthy and their serfs.

Are we meant to just elect Romney???? Should he not explain how his Bain

experience translates into good governance, at least economy wise?

Should his prior acts not be scrutinized. I hope Romney knows he is not

running for the position of "Farmer of the year  but running for the highest political office in the world.

He seems almost indignant that his claims are being scrutinized. How

arrogant!!  What does this mean??? Does this mean that Romney just wants

to get elected instead of Obama without people knowing anything about

him? We do not know what he plans to do if elected. He claims his

private sector experience as a Venture Capitalist makes him the Moses of

our day--leading us to the promised land. Should he not prove it???

Well,I hope Obama is not celebrating because nothing has really changed. Obama is still polling at under 50%.... and for an incumbent that is not so good. And as I said, Romney thinks this presidency is his own and he is betting on the worsening of the lives of millions of Americans so he can get elected.  That sickens me.

I am stunned that Romney would rather hide his tax returns than appear transparent!

What is he hiding??? It is not the democrats that want to know about the financial records of a man seeking the highest office in the land, I want to know and I an no democrat. Many people want to know.  It is normal to want to know everything about a candidate seeking the highest office of the land.

What does this mean? Does Romney think that all he needs to do to be elected is say that he is not Obama and hope the economy gets worse so that gets elected.

This brings me back to the main premise of my post. What is so horrible in those taxes that Romney prefers that people see him as lacking in transparency. Was he involved in the Eron debacle? Did he lie about his investments? Is he in cahoots with China? Is he a spy? :) Okay.. scratch the spy one, I felt a Glenn Beckish conspiracy moment there.    

What is Romney hiding?????? Who is Mitt Romney????????

http://blackrepublicanandmywor...

superlogi
superlogi

No, I guess the credentials of a polysci major and a non-practicing lawyer surpass someone who's dealt with the economy since he graduated college.  Are you serious or just plain stupid?

LiberalLies2012
LiberalLies2012

President Barack Obama campaigns for re-election in the heavy rain on July 14, 2012, in Glen Allen, Va.
It's too bad he wasn't electrocuted.  

Pnnto
Pnnto

As that's Willard's best chance * I see how you feel that way.

*Willard's best chance** assuming the Democrats wouldn't put anyone else on the ballot. 

**And by best chance I mean only chance.

Richard Giles
Richard Giles

It is amazing to see how many of the Republican politicians display the same personality characteristics.  There is Boehner, Cantor, Ryan, McConnell, Bachmann and really several others, even going back to Cain, Perry, Santorum and including Cheney, Rove, Norquist and even the likes of the sociopathic duo of Palin and GWBush.  It is as if they have a training camp for them, maybe “The Karl Rove School of Self-Serving Obnoxiousness”.  They all literally display a stubborn, arrogant, bold and obnoxious self-focused demeanor that says “my way or no way”, without compassion, consideration or conscience.  It is as if someone drilled them to believe that intimidation and stubbornness are the way to prevail and compromise and cooperation are just weaknesses; no where is there any recognition of other than their interests or for the possibility the other side has some merit.  It is what “the money” is buying, a complete and stubborn, unyielding focus on the interests of “the few”, in exchange for the strong support, with the power, influence and money provided, to allow concentration on political ambitions without concern or conscience for the costs to the people - the people are just “pawns” to be conned and manipulated.  Their consistency totally indicates they intentionally strive to achieve those characteristics ... but what does it say for those who support and vote for them? 

thommythomas2001
thommythomas2001

How come the black voters do not turn up to vote more than 70% since the President is black? No, the electorate goes for the man whom they perceive can get the job done. It all breaks down to jobs...

radsenior
radsenior

The biggest reason this race is tight is because the TEA party. The TEA party is lurking at every local political position and sinking their teeth into state politics around the country. They are stronger locally than ever before. Targeting local and state offices for an even higher influence in future years. TEA party activist will vote for their preferred candidate to push their skewed views into low. It's the Republicans who will be shamed into oblivion by these well financed, highly organized cult. In Texas they have chosen Dewhurst to target for ouster. Buckle up Texas! November can't come soon enough for these vigilant naysayers. 

When the once proud party of Lincoln and Reagan turn their backs on he population to garner additional stroke and place in jeopardy uninsured and middle class citizens - They do not represent me!  

When the leadership, or positioning proposed leadership do not interrupt the booing audience when an American soldier, in theater, in uniform, questions about D.A.D.T. - They do not represent me!  

When the leadership, or positioning proposed leadership fail to adequately provide true transparency - They do not represent me!  

When the leadership, or positioning proposed leadership force women to undergo medical procedures to enforce their religious beliefs - They do not represent me!  

It will take everyone in America to stand up to the right-winged Toxic Extremist Arrogance(TEA) who will not compromise, and who have already taken over local and state political and policy making. 

Staying home or not caring about voting is abrogation of your rights. Those rights could be taken away much like the TEA party and others who have already forced women to under go medical procedures just because they can. 

It will take everyone in America to stand up to the right-winged Toxic Extremist Arrogance(TEA) who will not compromise, and who have already taken over local and state political and policy making.

superlogi
superlogi

You mean the skewed views of limited government, living within one's means, self-reliance and personal responsibility?  Radical, aren't they?

radsenior
radsenior

NO! I mean exactly what I said, do not put words in my mouth or writings. The confrontational Treacherous Eradication Activists(TEA) are hell-bent on taking down the federal government to their level. America has the capability to live the lives we have without the "Sky is falling" mentality of limited issues fringe. WAKE UP! Pull your head out of the FOX-hole and smell fresh air.

superlogi
superlogi

You're a typical progressive nut job.  All rant and no substance.  Well, you wanted a welfare state and now  you've got one.  Hope you're satisfied with it because it won't last long.  With regard to TEA Party values, I've not heard any that don't coincide with either the values of Lincoln or Reagan.  But then, they wouldn't represent your values either.

LiberalLies2012
LiberalLies2012

You were never represented by the Republican Party.  You are a far left extremist and prove it every time you make a comment on this site.

formerlyjamesm
formerlyjamesm

deleted.  But wondering about what sacredh is deleting so much today?

sacredh
sacredh

It's all innocent. DISQUS has the randomizing placement for reply on so I'm putting them back where they belong. I have got flagged a couple of times today but they were deserved. If a f'ing hall monitor is running DISQUS.