Inside the Numbers: Why Romney Outperforms Perry Against Obama

Tristan Spinski / Corbis

After weeks of shaky debates and swirling questions about his record in Texas, it’s no surprise that Rick Perry is running behind Mitt Romney in head-to-head general election matchups against Barack Obama. Perry lags 12 points behind Obama, 50% to 38%, in TIME’s new poll, while Romney trails the President by a 46% to 43% [...]

Will Evangelicals Doom Romney?

Elaine Thompson / AP

Mitt Romney can’t seem to broaden his appeal beyond a quarter of the Republican electorate. Despite his commanding debate performances and general election promise, his support in primary polls has rarely surpassed 26%, which is close to where he peaked in 2008. He does not pick up new backers when support for opponents like Rick Perry or Michele Bachmann fades. What’s going on? It’s the evangelicals, stupid.

Anita Perry Gets Candid, Claims Christian Victimhood

Charles Dharapak / AP

In South Carolina today, Texas Gov. Rick Perry’s wife, Anita, committed a cardinal campaign sin: Candor. In an address that was sometimes teary, she offered a window into how the family has been dealing with this first two months of the campaign, and admitted to drawing a surprising conclusion: Rick Perry is being attacked by [...]

The Conservative Problem with 9-9-9

The 9-9-9 tax plan is not an insignificant part of Herman Cain’s appeal among Republicans–everyone knows the tax code is maddeningly complex and telling people they’re three little digits away from having their problems solved is bewitching. The main knock on the plan is that it would redistribute the tax burden so that it falls [...]

Is Romney Really the Inevitable Nominee?

Justin Sullivan / Getty Images

That’s increasingly the consensus among the Washington insider set. But I’m still not sold. 

61%

Percentage of Americans who approve the use of the death penalty, the lowest level of support since 1972, according to the latest Gallup poll.

Obama’s Donor Base: Still Robust

Robin Rombach/ Pittsburgh Post-Gazette/ ZUMAPRESS.com

President Obama’s re-election campaign reported Tuesday that it raised $42.8 million in the last three months. That’s a big number. He’ll no doubt need every dollar he can get with post-Citizens United campaign finance laws decidedly more limber and a host of moneyed interests looking to buoy the opposition. And so far,  the President seems [...]

Why Occupy Wall Street Is More Popular than the Tea Party*

Matt Rourke / AP

One of the juicier nuggets in TIME’s wide-ranging new poll is that voters are embracing the Occupy Wall Street movement as they sour on the Tea Party. Twice as many respondents (54%) have a favorable impression of the eclectic band massing in lower Manhattan’s Zuccotti Park than of the conservative movement that has, after two [...]

Inside the Organized Left’s Courtship of Occupy Wall Street

When Richard Trumka, the head of the nation’s largest labor union coalition, the AFL-CIO, visited the Occupy Wall Street protesters last week, he offered a simple message. “We are going to support them in any way we can,” he said. “We’re not going to try to usurp them in any way.” Those marching orders have [...]

The Cain Mutiny

I’ve got a story in the new issue of TIME, now available online to subscribers, about the man of the moment–and perhaps only a moment–in the 2012 Republican primary campaign, Herman Cain. Regardless of whether The Hermanator can actually be nominated, and there’s reason to doubt that, his sudden popularity says something important about the [...]