Nearly 500 House and Senate seats are in play tonight, in addition to 37 governorships and about 80% of the nation’s 7,382 statehouse seats. As the returns spill in, here are some of the races to keep an eye on. Also worth checking out: Time.com’s Races to Watch package, which examines many of these in [...]

It’s not 39. That’s the net gain required for Republicans to reclaim the House, but even on what should be a difficult night, the Democrats have several pickup prospects. Perhaps the best is in Delaware’s at-large Congressional district, where Democrat John Carney, the state’s former lieutenant governor, should breeze past Republican Glen Urquhart, a real-estate [...]

The big drama right now is just how large the GOP’s gains will be. The consensus seems to be a House pickup in the 55-60 range, roughly, and 6-8 seats in the Senate, leaving Democrats with a narrow and largely unworkable majority in that chamber. (Jon Chait has some sociological complaints with those forecasts.) But [...]

Before the Mets there were the New York Giants. They were my team; Willie Mays was my Aqua Buddha. And so I am happy today that the Giants are World Champions for the first time since 1954, which was the first year that baseball really kicked in for me. Gotta wonder, though, about George W. [...]

I hate predictions. Refuse to make them. Journalists are never so stupid as when we make predictions–it implies an inside knowledge that we simply don’t have (we’re pretty good about reporting things that have already happened; less good at explaining them; dreadful at crystal balling). But I think Matt Yglesias, who is so smart about [...]