In the Arena


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I hate predictions. Refuse to make them. Journalists are never so stupid as when we make predictions–it implies an inside knowledge that we simply don’t have (we’re pretty good about reporting things that have already happened; less good at explaining them; dreadful at crystal balling). But I think Matt Yglesias, who is so smart about so many things, may be pretty close to the mark here.

As for me, I’m going to be paying especially close attention to some of the Congressional candidates I met on my cross-country road trip–in particular, Kathy Dahlkemper in Pennsylvania. Among the Senate races, it’ll be interesting to see how the Teasies do in places like Colorado, Wisconsin, Nevada and Alaska. I expect surprises, going both ways…some Dems who seem safe will be whacked, some who seem in peril will survive. (I wouldn’t be surprised, for example, if Boxer lost in California and Reed won in Nevada…because, in the end, who knows?).

In the meantime, I expect 100% attendance at the polls among Swampland readers who are U.S. citizens. Hasta manana.