New TIME Poll: In Senate Battlegrounds, Independent Voters Boost Republican Prospects

Less than a week before Election Day, Republican Senate candidates hold leads in four key battleground states, according to a new CNN/Time/Opinion Research Corp. poll. You can read more here.

How Bad Is it for Democrats?

When you think of an ideal Republican candidate to run in rural North Carolina against a seven-term Blue Dog incumbent Democrat, a few qualities don’t spring to mind. Among them are: –A Manhattan-born former Goldman Sachs trader –Someone who has only lived in the district for six years –Once accused of premeditated murder And yet [...]

The Chiaroscuro Hellscape That Will Be Nevada

As Harry Reid and Sharron Angle’s closing ads tell it, Silver Staters are in for a nightmarish November 3. So it goes in a race where majorities have an unfavorable view of both incumbent and challenger, who’ve been deadlocked in the polls, bloodying each other for months. (Reid ad via Greg Sargent, read Scherer on [...]

In the Arena

What Recovery?

According to a new poll, 53% of Americans are worried about making their next mortgage or rent payment. Wow. Let’s concede that some of these people are exaggerating. Let’s concede that some–no more than a relative handful–received mortgages during the housing bubble that they couldn’t hope to pay. But this would be a shocking result [...]

Lunch Break: Dylan Thomas By Way Of Rodney Dangerfield

One of the interwebbing’s great treasures, Rogert Ebert, points out that today is Dylan Thomas’s birthday. And since there are many people in the political world–including more than 48 House Democrats, according to Charlie Cook–who may now need to rage, rage against the dying of the light, here is the late, inestimable Rodney Dangerfield, from [...]

Democracy in America

An apparent first from Republican challenger Van Tran in a nasty California House race: Tran is sending out a scratch-and-sniff direct mail piece attacking [Democrat Loretta] Sanchez that features a hideous odor emanating from it. Much like magazine perfume advertisements, the mailer says, “Open for a fragrance sample of “Loretta, The Scent Of Washington.” On [...]

Another Take On Obama’s Big Mistake

The Financial Times’ Martin Wolf, who is probably the world’s best (and most respected) financial columnist, argues that Obama’s fate was sealed much earlier than Leonhardt suggests below: Back when the Obama Administration decided on the size of the stimulus. Unfortunately, the Republicans have succeeded in persuading a large enough portion of the American public [...]

Are We Winning or Losing in Afghanistan?

To follow up on Mark’s Afghan update, we are in a strange phase of the war right now where news accounts–sometimes within the same outlet in the same week–paint contradictory pictures of whether we’re winning or losing. A few days ago we were hearing that peace talks with the Taliban were growing more serious, in [...]

One Take On The Big Obama Mistake

David Leonhardt has an excellent essay in the New York Times pinpointing a key turning point in the Obama Administration that has not been much explored. On the evening of Dec. 3, 2009, the Obama White House got word that job losses had all but ceased in the previous month. The White House celebrated. Writes [...]

Morning Must Reads: Last Stand

Meg Whitman, Arnold Schwarzenegger and Jerry Brown appear at the Women’s Conference 2010 in Long Beach, California on October 26. (REUTERS/Mario Anzuoni) –At the nifty new National Journal, Jeremy Jacobs reports the DCCC is making its last stand for the House, dumping $21.6 million on airtime in 66 districts. That includes a last-minute, $1.1 million [...]