On Sarah Palin, Potheads and Polling

Public Policy Polling, one of the rising autodial outfits, put out a national poll asking about marijuana legalization and use last week. For fun, they added a question about the 2012 Republican primary, and then cross tabulated the results. So now we know who pot smokers want for president–except not really. Here are the results.

Among Republicans who say they’ve smoked Marijuana:

Palin 25
Gingrich 22
Huckabee 17
Romney 17
Paul 8

Among Republicans who say they have not smoked Marijuana:

Huckabee 24
Romney 23
Gingrich 21
Palin 21
Paul 3

Apparently one of the effects of marijuana–in addition to the munchies and a taste for dubstep–is an attracti0n to Sarah Palin and an aversion to Mike Huckabee. Except: No, not at all.

I called Tom Jensen at PPP and he was the first to basically distance himself from finding any meaningful signals in these numbers, something he hints at in the original blog post. The sample of Republicans who had smoked pot was 83, or 21 percent of all the Republicans polled, which resulted in a 10.7 percent margin of error, he said. The results are, in other words, about as meaningful as throwing darts at a wall after spinning around and smoking a fatty spliff.

Now for the meta: Perhaps the most interesting part of the PPP findings, however, is the fact that these numbers were posted at all. This is exactly the sort of thing that could get attention in the current media environment–Marijuana! Palin!–and more polling organizations are playing this viral game. Back in March, I reported on a poll by Harris Research that claimed to have found that 38 percent of Republicans say that Obama is “doing many of the things that Hitler did,” whatever that means. This new breed of polls is motivated less by a desire to describe the national mood, and more by a desire to get people’s attention. In the case of the Harris Poll, it was done, in part, to promote a book. That’s a big shift, and it may not always help to increase the public’s understanding of the national mood.

Related Topics: marijuana, polling, Sarah Palin
  • Latest on Swampland

    Pete Souza / The White House via Getty Images

    Political Picures of the Week, May 18-25

    TIME’s photo editors bring you the best pictures of the past week from the Beltway and beyond.

    Obama Administration Blocks Global Health Fund To Fight Disease In Developing NationsHuffPost Politics

    From left: AP; ABACAUSA

    The Phony War: Obama and Romney Are Debating Character, Not Policy

    More than five months from Election Day, the back-and-forth about Mitt Romney’s record at Bain already feels played out. Unfortunately, there’s good reason to expect the campaign continues in this vein indefinitely. Neither Barack Obama nor Mitt Romney are terribly interested in dwelling on policy platforms. Romney’s plan to slash spending and keep taxes low on the wealthy isn’t especially popular, at least not at any level of detail beyond a blithe promise to shrink the deficit. Meanwhile, Obama’s signature first-term achievements, like health care, the stimulus and Wall Street reform, are all unpopular or tricky to sell. (The Dodd-Frank bill is the most popular of these, but hyping it means offending wealthy donors.) So what we’re getting instead is a superficial duel about character–and, worse, one that’s based on the largely false premise that the better man can better “manage” the economy back to health.

  • http://derekg.wordpress.com/ Derek

    There is growing evidence that the pot available today, far more potent that the pot we smoked in the sixties, can act as a catalyst for causing dormant mental illness to break out in people where it may not otherwise appear.

    That could help explain the Sarah Palin numbers.

  • Joe Bftsplk

    Marijuana! Palin! High comment count!

  • http://erieangel.wordpress.com erieangel

    Michael, my take on this blog is that your last sentences were the theme of it all. And if that’s the case, why did you start it with the result of some bogus poll? Wouldn’t it have been much better start out saying the problem, that polling organizations have been putting out poll results that mean absolutely nothing just to get people’s attention? This is one of the many problems with American politics today and the media is just culpable in it as the polling organizations. By starting with the results of this insidious poll, you gave credence to the meaningless results, even though you went on to state those results are meaningless. This kind of stuff adds nothing to the national debate and only serves to the few who take the results of these types of polls riled up.

  • stuartzechman

    Michael Scherer:
    .
    You follow up a post on the relative worthlessness and time-wasting nature of polling with this?
    .
    Do you hate your audience?

  • newfreedomblog

    He is just following in the foot-steps of Joe Klein, his TIME.com mentor.

  • m0mentom0ri

    I’ve got a poll for you Michael:
    .
    More than 75% of people commenting on this post think this post was a stupid idea.
    .
    Another 20% believes that Sarah Palin supporters are stoned.
    .
    This bodes well for Republican gains in 2010

  • newfreedomblog

    Oh, I almost for forgot as well, his fellow JOURNOLISTER, Joe Klein. :)
    .
    Enjoy!!

  • powerpoultry

    If you are going to trick people into reading a lame article by using Sarah Palin’s name in the caption, at least include a picture of her.

  • certifiablylazy

    At least one gives high marks to weaving in “fatty spliff.” Righteous.

  • http://twitter.com/michaelscherer Michael Scherer

    “Do you hate your audience?”
    .
    I laughed out loud, Stuart. Nicely done.

  • stuartzechman

    Thank you, Michael Scherer, I was laughing as I wrote it.
    .
    Just doing my part…

  • nflfoghorn

    Fatty Arbuckle??

  • http://endoftherope.wordpress.com endoftherope

    The silly thing is nobody has pointed out that the numbers only vary slightly for the top 4, except they are inversed.
    Palin: 25-21
    Gingrich: 22-21
    Huckabee: 17-24
    Romney: 17-23
    This poll is not only useless for the R party (I’d love to see a D poll like this about R’s), it is useless in making any valid statistical argument. You might just say baked R’s don’t like Huck and Rom.

  • http://twitter.com/michaelscherer Michael Scherer

    What’s the margin of error?

  • iowadude

    hmmmm…..the only guy wanting to legalize marijuana is at the bottom of both polls.
    It begs the question, what do Republicans really want?

  • gloriousglo2

    Rasmussen will be the outlier….

  • gloriousglo2

    They want lots of free $h!t, but don’t want to pay taxes for it. They want cheap gas, and wars to get it, but they don’t want to give any kids to fight the wars, and they sure as he11 don’t want to pay taxes for that, either. They want their perverted form of Calvinism to be the state religion. They want cheap lettuce and peppers and meat and well groomed golf courses, but no Mexicans to make it happen. They want our kids taught that the world is 6000 years old. They think life was grand in the year 1903, and want to take us back to that time when grandpa sat on the porch and spun yarns about fightin’ Injuns, and John Wayne captured Iwo Jima with little outside help besides Ronnie Reagan. Probably a few other things I forgot to mention. Oh, yeah, they used to want the 14th Amendment, their greatest political legacy, but not so much anymore….

  • http://patricksartor.wordpress.com patricksartor

    I think this poll explains everything very clearly: get stoned, get confused, listen to Sarah Palin talk about Mama Grizzlies and Pink Elephants and become Republican.

    I am also, so tired of Republicans characterizing Democrats as the pothead hippies when we all know that many, many liberals have nothing to do with pot or other drugs and Republicans have at least as many burnt out stoners as Democrats do if not more so.

    Jerry Garcia – lead singer for the Grateful dead (a band I never liked) – had voted for Reagan twice and donated to Republican causes in his life.

  • iowadude

    wassa matter gloriousglo??? You seem to run out of breath there…or is there a character limitation on replies? Probably not fair of me to pose such an open-ended question….could just go on and on and on…..

  • sacredh

    The “1000 Words” on Rush and Elton John should have proved without a doubt that MS loves us.

  • sacredh

    “More than 75% of people commenting on this post think this post was a stupid idea.”
    .
    As of of the 25% that got a chuckle out of the post, I claim a vast majority that will make the non-enthusiasts rue the day in Ocnember.

  • sacredh

    That should have been “As one of”. I not only inhaled, I had a gas mask hooked up to a hooka.

  • sacredh

    “Fatty Arbuckle??”
    .
    Wine anyone?

  • http://endoftherope.wordpress.com endoftherope

    The latter half of your comment is too broadly demeaning for me too appreciate. I know several very intelligent and respected individuals in my professional and academic spheres who are not representative of the juvenile image that is associated with marijuana use in America. I’ve come to equate those I speak of as the “drink a beer while you read a book” type.
    It’s been said Isaac Newton conceived calculus while attempting to devise an equation describing successive volumes of a pint glass. I suppose a full discussion on this topic would be meant for another thread, probably another website entirely. (Who do you think Newton would vote for today?)

  • http://patricksartor.wordpress.com patricksartor

    “I’ve come to equate those I speak of as the “drink a beer while you read a book” type.”
    .
    I’ve never drank beer while reading a book myself.
    .
    Two or three times I tried to study after a few drinks while in college and, when I went back to the book later on, I realized how, for me, alcohol is terrible for reading comprehension.
    .
    I only drink when I have no plans to do anything useful for the rest of the day.
    .
    But, this is, basically, a dumb poll not even statistically proving anything at all.

  • http://endoftherope.wordpress.com endoftherope

    Very much agreed.

  • Ike Jakson

    Keep on with this sort of nonsense and the country WILL GO TO POT FOR SURE. Do you call this Journalism? Or is this why some refer to your Journolits?

blog comments powered by Disqus