Morning Must Reads: Twists and Turns

REUTERS/Jake Stevens

REUTERS/Jake Stevens

–Mexican President Felipe Calderon is in Washington today for a slew of public meetings and a state dinner with President Obama. Drug violence and immigration will be the issues to get top billing; our colleague Tim Padgett explains why Calderon needs a talking to on police reform and anti-poverty measures.

–As Michael writes, anti-establishment sentiment was widely evident in Tuesday’s marquee contests, but there’s a bit more going on: Democrats say they feel a lot better about November that they did 48 hours ago. Their turnout was higher than expected in a number of races, arguably stronger general election Democrats won their primaries (Sestak, Conway) and Mark Critz’s healthy margin of victory in the Pennsylvania special election to replace John Murtha showed establishment Democrats can beat back Tea Party style Republicans trying to nationalize tight races. Rand Paul proved it is possible to meld the enthusiasm of his father’s libertarian wing with a traditional GOP base jaded on the establishment, but he stayed in fairly traditional territory issues-wise. If you haven’t already, read Jay’s great political epitaph of Arlen Specter.

–More from Nate Silver, Marc Ambinder, Mark Halperin and Chris Cillizza.

–While all attention was focused on horseraces, the financial reform debate took some twists and turns: Chris Dodd and Bob Corker had a falling out, Byron Dorgan went to war for his naked derivatives ban, and Blanche Lincoln’s harshest derivatives measure got punted — it’s staying in, but wouldn’t go into effect for two years while federal regulators study whether it’s warranted (read: kill it.) Another cloture vote may come today.

–Also largely lost in the shuffle: The Senate Intelligence Committee released a damning report on the Christmas Day bomb plot, citing widespread failures that allowed Abdulmutallab to board the flight to Detroit.

–And Richard Blumenthal is probably glad there’s no shortage of political news right now. The New York Times talks to a “friend” who expands on Vietnam embellishment. Connecticut paper ed boards are just beginning to weigh in.

What did I miss?

Related Topics: 2012 Election, Barack Obama, Congress, Democratic Party, Immigration, Miscellany, Republican Party, Senate, Tea Party, White House
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  • Ivy_B

    Nate makes an allusion to it, but something I haven’t seen mentioned much about the PA Sen result is that PA is a closed primary state. Only party registrants may vote in a party primary.

    If PA had an open primary, I think that Specter would have done better. I also think he would do better in the general against Toomey because there are more moderate Republicans who wouldn’t want to vote for Toomey and may be less happy with Sestak. They have been voting for Snarlin for years and likely would continue to do as well.

    That said, I do think Specter’s unfortunate line about changing to be re-elected that Sestak turned into a commercial had a big effect on many Democratic primary voters.

    In my small polling place, the registration is majority Republican. Turnout was about 28% and until close to the end, the number of Republicans and the number of Democrats was tied. By the end, slightly more Democrats turned out. The results were that Sestak led by three votes. I’m surprised it wasn’t a bit closer throughout the state. Probably the Philadelphia city vote made a difference there.

    Now I will spend my time fretting until November. I have a bad feeling about Sestak and just hope he is able to defeat Toomey, who I characterize as a smarter Rick Santorum.

  • michaelfury

    “the failures preceding the Christmas attack mirrored those before the Sept. 11 attacks”

    So it would seem.

    http://michaelfury.wordpress.com/2010/01/09/connect-the-dots/

  • michaelfury

    But who was that “well-dressed man” who got “lost in the shuffle”?

    http://michaelfury.wordpress.com/2009/12/28/let-the-right-one-in/

  • southernbell49

    Thank goodness for Silver and Ambinder, two bloggers who are aggressively fighting back against the MSM breathless meme “Big night for Tea Baggers” and “It’s all over for the Dems”.

    I do think Tip O’Neil’ls famous quote about all politics being local actually bodes well for Dems who supported the stimulus and health-care reform. The national polls might show Americans are more worried about the deficit than jobs but it seems on Tuesday night they went to the voting booth (as both Marc and Nate pointed out in surprisingly high numbers in KY for the Dems) and chose a Dem in PA in a Repub district and lunchpail, progressive Dems in the primaries.

  • nflfoghorn

    ‘Bout time Word Press kicked in! :)
    .
    Exactly what do TBers mean by “taking our government/country back”? Take it from whom? Satanic forces? The antichrist? Somebody stole it from Americans or somethin’?

  • m0mentom0ri

    “Satanic forces?”
    .
    How many times has Freepy referred to the left as ‘godless’?
    .
    “The antichrist?”
    .
    25% of Republicans think President Obama might be the antichrist.*
    .
    Any other questions?
    .
    *http://www.livescience.com/culture/obama-anti-christ-100325.html

  • nflfoghorn

    HA! I guess that Founding Fathers thing about freedom from a particular religion was lost on them.

  • nflfoghorn

    Closed primaries in FL are what did Crist in. There was no way he could’ve defeated Marco Polo in the PONers’ current makeup. This is why he went indy.
    .
    PONers also want their campaign $ back from Crist. Uh, yeah, sure.

  • Art Pepper

    In Kentucky, tea partiers rejected the Republican establishment. In Pennsylvania, Democrats rejected the Republican establishment.

  • chupkar

    So what are all these people going to do when the “new” wave of politicians is installed an nothing changes?

  • 53_3

    Ivy:
    .
    Can I draw your attention to the numbers Grape linked to on the Dispatch from Kentucky blog?
    .
    http://swampland.blogs.time.com/2010/05/19/dispatch-from-kentucky/comment-page-1/#comment-165531
    .
    The number of Democrats voting in their primary was approximately 60% larger than the voter participation in the GOP primary.
    .
    And, of course, that is in a red state!

  • centfan

    Blame it on everyone but themselves. It’s simple and doesn’t make your head hurt.

  • nflfoghorn

    Good point: Lost on even people inside the Beltway is that incumbency has its privileges. $ flows to your district/state more if you’ve been there 10, 20 years or so. Didn’t say it was right, but IIWII.*
    .
    *it is what it is

  • freeinpa

    “In Pennsylvania, Democrats rejected the Republican establishment.”
    ==
    I assume you are referring to PA-12, Murtha’s old seat. In a gerrymandered district with 2-1 registered Democrats, with a Democrat running as pro-gun, pro-life, pro-oil and gas drilling and anti-Obama care candidate how winning 53%-44% is rejecting the Republican establishment can only be the result of psychosis.

    If you are referring to Sestak vs Spector. Spector was a RINO at best and was a Democrat before he became a RINO before he went back home.

    ==
    what it seems is that either the world is more conservative than Demos admit as evidenced by hte stances taken in PA-12 or Demos can’t win without lying about who they are>

  • http://erieangel.wordpress.com erieangel

    Naw, we just rejected an 80 yr. old who would switch parties in hopes of staying in the Senate. That was blatant opportunism. Not that there is much wrong with being opportunistic–we all are in some small way. But he admitted it!!
    .
    Specter has done a lot of good things for PA and I’ve voted for him in the past over Democratic candidates, and was going to vote him yesterday right up until the end. In the final hours, Sestak had me convinced he’d be the best to run against Toomey.
    .
    Not that it would have mattered. I think Toomey is destined to lose regardless of who had won yesterday’s dem primary. But its time for Specter to retire.

  • apr2563

    http://newsweek.washingtonpost.com/onfaith/guestvoices/2010/05/sarah_palin_is_no_susan_b_anthony.html?hpid=talkbox1
    Sarah Palin embraces Susan B. Anthony. She really needs to read her history.

  • nibblybits

    This story is outrageous. PA’s AG Tom Corbett is running for governor and using his office to silence a couple anonymous Twitter critics. He’s subpoenaed Twitter to get the identities of two accounts because he doesn’t like what they are saying about him and his run for higher office.
    .
    http://techcrunch.com/2010/05/19/tom-corbett-twitter/
    .
    How is this not a horrible abuse of power and government resources?

  • apr2563

    nflfoghorn: Help me. What are PONers?

  • apr2563

    freeper: Explain how that gerrymandered PA12 voted for McCain in the last election.

  • apr2563

    Well that’s a freedom loving Republican for you.

  • anon76

    @apr- I would guess ‘Party of No’.

    @53_3- nobody would argue that Kentucky isn’t a red state, but it does have more registered democrats. If it is also a closed primary state, then the relative number of primary voters shouldn’t be too surprising (though still encouraging).

  • Art Pepper

    free: Sorry, I could have been clearer. I was referring ironically to Specter (and to the Dem party machine).

  • sacredh

    Anti-Christ sounds so negative. Can’t we just be Pro-Satan?

  • apr2563

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/05/19/times-defends-blumenthal_n_582615.html

    A little more indepth reporting on the Blumenthal story.
    Not quite so black and white.

  • apr2563

    http://blogs.courant.com/colin_mcenroe_to_wit/2010/05/the-flaws-in-the-nyt-blumentha.html
    More conflicting reports on the accuracy of the NYT on Blumenthal.

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