Morning Must Reads: It’s All About the House

Official White House photo by Pete Souza

–We’re at an interesting point where both parties are trumpeting their intentions to run on health reform if/when it goes through, pro and con respectively. But I’m very skeptical of Senator McConnell’s assertion that every election in November will be a referendum on the issue. The notion that health care will totally overshadow jobs and the economy is far-fetched and, as Kate suggested, Republicans are probably just saying this to spook skittish House Dems.

–As Michael mentioned, Rep. Stupak is sounding more optimistic a deal on abortion language can be reached. The AP takes a helpful look at the policy in question. Whatever deal he’s talking about, it will have to happen independent from the current legislation; abortion language doesn’t qualify under budget reconciliation rules.

–Stan Collender has a column in Roll Call entitled, “Can We Please Stop Talking About Reconciliation?” He gives three reasons for ceasing the chatter: Its use is not actually controversial, policy matters more than process, and the topic will invariably make laymen and laywomen tune out. Running the risk of violating his second reason, I’d point to one more factor — the votes are there in the Senate, rendering the debate moot. The place to count votes is in the House.

–Doug Hoffman, conservative cause célèbre in last year’s high profile NY-23 special election, is running again.

–Mark Critz, the late John Murtha’s district director, has locked up the party nomination to run in the special election to fill the recently vacated seat. Looking ahead to November, Charlie Cook has Pennsylvania’s 12th rated as a toss-up.

–The New York GOP, hoping to find a credible threat to Andrew Cuomo in the upcoming gubernatorial race, is reportedly wooing an Albany Democrat.

–Liberal groups are looking to crowd source opposition research on Meg Whitman in California’s governor race with a wiki-style site.

–If you haven’t gotten around to Peter Baker’s opus on Emanuel, read it. A taste:

In this season of discontent for Obama, Emanuel has emerged as the leading foil, the easy and most popular target for missiles flung at the White House from all sides. He is the bête noire of conservatives who see him as the chief architect of Obama’s big-government program and of liberals who consider him an accommodationist who undermines the very same agenda. The criticism has been searing and conflicting.

What did I miss?

Related Topics: 2012 Election, Barack Obama, Congress, Democratic Party, Economy, Health Care, Miscellany, Republican Party, Senate, State Governments, White House
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  • FlownOver

    “Republicans are probably just saying this to spook skittish House Dems.”

    Sadly both true and effective, as too many House Dems regard their own re-election as Job One, and the public interest be damned.

  • newfreedomblog

    “What did I miss?”

    .
    Most households today seem to be receiving a letter from the Census Bureau which basically states, “you shall be receiving a census to fill out in the next month, please fill it out and send it in”.
    .
    Tax dollars well spent, part II

  • kbanginmotown

    Lady in reeeeeeeed…
    is scowling at meeeeeee…

  • diecash1

    You missed this as reported by Greg Sargent at The Plum Line:
    ..

    * Jonathan Cohn reports on a private Dem poll that could give Dems some comfort that they can sell reform once it’s passed.

    ..
    The poll shows that after being informed of what the bill contains, independents and voters age 50+ support the bill by 44% to 39% and 47% to 37% margins respectively.
    ..
    See it here:
    ..
    http://www.tnr.com/blog/the-treatment/exclusive-encouraging-news-private-poll

  • freeinpa

    Public interest? IF that were the case, health care would not be the headline everyday. The public has said thank but no thanks to the bills that are before the Congress.

    Scare tactics? It is tiresome to hear the whining fro the left that Repubs are trying to scare folks. For the past well forever, the Dems have used race, abortion, social security, medicare to scare groups to vote against Repubs.

    Yes, I got my Census Bureau letter yesterday. Money well spent once again. By all means let the government contrl health care I am sure costs will just plummet.

    Did not see any coverage of Soros and other Green groups lobying and working the PR for the Obama administration. Swamp draining stalled and transparency has gone to crap once again.

  • freeinpa

    “Then the pollsters told the respondents about some of the features reform included–like guaranteeing insurance access for people between 55 and 64, prohibiting insurers from denying coverage to children because of pre-existing conditions, expanding home- and community-based services, ending lifetime caps on benefits, and providing tax credits to small business.

    After explaining these features, the pollsters returned to the original question: Do you support health care reform? The numbers jumped dramatically, with older voters saying they approved of reform legislation by 47 to 37 percent:”

    In legal terms this is known as leading the witness. Pass it quick before they figure out that premiums will go up services go tax and taxes and the deficit will run wild.

  • diecash1

    “In legal terms this is known as leading the witness.”
    ..
    If those that were polled knew so much about the bill that they genuinely were against it, how is it that they then support it after being told what is in it? Perhaps they are just not very well informed.
    ..
    “…and the deficit will run wild.”
    ..
    How is it that the CBO reports that it will lower the debt over the first ten years by ~$132 Billion and significantly more over the following ten year period?
    ..
    http://www.healthimaging.com/index.php?option=com_articles&view=article&id=20031

  • Ivy_B

    Interesting that Owens is running again, but not in the district he lives in. That seemed to be one of many problems before. I love the way so many people point to NY-23 as a victory for the tea party folks, in spite of the Democrat having won the election. Hmmm.

  • freeinpa

    “Some of the features”

    Do you want lower costs? Sure
    Do you want HC for life? Sure
    Do you want to keep your current iunsurance and doctor? Sure
    Do you want to pay higher premiums when you employer opts out and pays an 8% surcharge? WHAT??

    The CBO scores what is in the current bill. Let’s see the profiles in courage cut payment to doctors and hospital for Medicare and see what happens, if it does.

    ==
    Funny how your number on reducing the deficit differs from Obama’s that he insisted on at Arcadia yesterday ($1.2 trillion). And those numbers include taxes for 3 years before the spending starts. It is an even bet that deficit reduction will be zero! BTW where is the outrage over Obama sending out misinformation abou the plan?

  • diecash1

    “Some of the features”
    Do you want lower costs? Sure
    Do you want HC for life? Sure
    Do you want to keep your current iunsurance and doctor? Sure
    Do you want to pay higher premiums when you employer opts out and pays an 8% surcharge? WHAT??

    ..
    This is not how things were phrased to those polled and you know that.
    ..

    The CBO scores what is in the current bill.

    ..
    Yeah and that’s what all of us have to go on at this point — what is in the bill.
    ..

    Funny how your number on reducing the deficit differs from Obama’s that he insisted on at Arcadia yesterday ($1.2 trillion).

    ..
    Though I didn’t see (or hear) his remarks, I would guess that he is referring to the savings realized over the second decade. This is estimated at 0.5% of GDP per year.
    ..
    http://cboblog.cbo.gov/?p=446
    ..

    It is an even bet that deficit reduction will be zero!

    ..
    In your mind.
    ..
    BTW, what do you contend that he is misrepresenting?

  • freeinpa

    “This is not how things were phrased to those polled and you know that.”

    No I do not. From your link I have no idea but given that it was a “private” Democrat poll I have a pretty good idea how they were led.
    ==

    “Yeah and that’s what all of us have to go on at this point — what is in the bill.”

    Which is 3 yrs of taxes before spending starts. Hardly an accurate assessment of the total ongoing cost. Which coincidentally doesn’t start until after the 2012 elections – Convenient!

    ==
    “I would guess that he is referring to the savings realized over the second decade. This is estimated at 0.5% of GDP per year.”

    First that is not what he was referring – so it is a blantant lie by Obama. Second, your excuse is what WH staff responded when asked about the contradiction. Unfortunately for them, the CBO woul dnot confirm that number saying that forecasting costs that far out is too inaccurate- Strike 2. Finally, the GDP estimates the WH has used has discussed by most eceonomists as a bit ambitious. Strike 3.
    ==
    It is pass the bill at all costs. Lousy policy, lousy legislation but hey its what the whacky base wants.

  • acameronw

    Rich Lowry was on Meet the Press Sunday and when he cited the reasons the public is “overwhelmingly” against the HCR bill, he cited Ben Nelson’s excercise in extortion, Mary Landrieu’s daring daylight robbery, and a general lack of transparency (as if C-Span, The Congressional Record and the Washington press corps had disappeared). In other words, nothing about the actual substance of the the bill. After getting hit over the head for a solid year about “death panels” (a despicable lie) and a “government takeover” (a gross distortion) it’s no wonder that when the elements of HCR are explained, support goes up. If giving people the facts is leading the witness, then so be it.

  • diecash1

    First that is not what he was referring – so it is a blantant lie by Obama.”

    ..
    You still have yet to substantiate what Obama was referring to in his speech. Try providing a link to support your supposition.
    ..

    Unfortunately for them, the CBO woul dnot confirm that number saying that forecasting costs that far out is too inaccurate- Strike 2

    ..
    From the CBO Director’s blog:
    ..

    Although CBO does not generally provide cost estimates beyond the 10-year budget projection period (2010 through 2019 currently), many Members have requested CBO analyses of the long-term impact of broad changes in the nation’s health care and health insurance systems. A detailed year-by-year projection, like those that CBO prepares for the 10-year budget window, would not be meaningful because the uncertainties involved are simply too great. CBO has therefore developed a rough outlook for the decade following the 10-year budget window.

    ..
    And this:
    ..

    Consequently, CBO expects that the legislation, if enacted, would reduce federal budget deficits over the ensuing decade relative to those projected under current law—with a total effect during that decade that is in a broad range around one-half percent of GDP. The imprecision of that calculation reflects the even greater degree of uncertainty that attends to it, compared with CBO’s 10-year budget estimates.

    ..
    Another unsupported gem:

    Finally, the GDP estimates the WH has used has discussed by most eceonomists as a bit ambitious. Strike 3.

  • megatronrises

    Death Panels = Scare Tactics
    .
    Pulling the Plug on Grandma = Scare Tactics
    .
    Government takeover of Healthcare = Scare Tactics
    .
    Nuclear Option = Scare Tactics
    .

  • freeinpa

    The Bill Clinton defense. What is the meaning of is. I don’t need to provide what you believe is substantiated proof. You will believe what you want to believe.

    The CBO in one breath says th esecond 10 years is too uncertain to forecast but then proceeds top provisde numebrs that are basically out of thin air. The left will grasp at the thinnest of straws. The coem back with the infantile “prove it”

    Show me how close the CBO has been in calculating any entitlement program. Then come back and tell me about the second 10 years, since only a fool wouldf believe the first 10 based on history.

  • diecash1

    I don’t need to provide what you believe is substantiated proof.

    ..
    Yeah, proving things is difficult. It’s much easier to pronounce everyone that doesn’t agree with you a liar. You’ve got that move down pat too. Whenever anyone asks you to substantiate any of your ridiculous claims, you cry foul. Classy move. Did you often take your ball and go home as a kid too?
    ..
    Yep, Obama’s a liar, CBO too. Proof? I don’t need no stinkin’ proof.

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