What A 60th Vote Costs…

We suspect it can be found in this language on page 98 of the manager’s amendment to the health care bill:

‘‘(3) Notwithstanding subsection (b) and paragraphs (1) and (2) of this subsection, the Federal medical assistance percentage otherwise determined under subsection (b) with respect to all or any portion of a fiscal year that begins on or after January 1, 2017, for the State of Nebraska, with respect to amounts expended for newly eligible individuals described in subclause (VIII) of section 1902(a)(10)(A)(i), shall be determined as provided for under subsection (y)(1) (A) (notwithstanding the period provided for in such paragraph)

Translation: The feds are going to pick up Nebraska’s share of the tab for the expansion of medicaid, which as we have noted here before, is a major means by which this health care bill gets close to universal coverage. But it is also going to be a big new burden on already-strapped states.

In his news conference a few minutes ago, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid said this provision for Ben Nelson’s home state was “a minor part of the issues” that brought him aboard. Maybe so. But I’m betting there are at least 49 governors out there who wish their own Senators had been able to win that kind of minor concession.

Reid also says that, as we read the bill, we will find “a number of states are treated differently from other states. That’s what is legislation is all about.”

It is, indeed.

UPDATE: What this means to Nebraska

was summed up in this recent Omaha World-Herald article:

An analysis of the Senate bill completed by the Nebraska Department of Health and Human Services indicated that while the state’s increased Medicaid costs would be covered in the first three years after the law takes effect, Nebraska would have $45 million in extra expenses after six years, or from fiscal year 2014 through fiscal year 2019.

The state’s total budget this year is $3.37 billion.

But Igor Volsky has noted over at Wonk Room that Nebraska would be far from the state hardest hit by the expansion of Medicaid:

The Medicaid expansion would “have the biggest impact in states with high numbers of poor uninsured people and tight Medicaid eligibility standards.” Nebraska has the 23rd highest number of uninsured residents with incomes below 133% of FPL. Since the federal government would cover the first three years of Medicaid expansion, Nebraska would be required to insure some 80,000 Americans through its Medicaid program and spend “$45 million in extra expenses after six years, or from fiscal year 2014 through fiscal year 2019.”

In other words, Nebraska is not at the front lines of the Medicaid expansion controversy. Expanding the program wouldn’t come cheap but it wouldn’t overwhelm the state either.

Related Topics: Ben Nelson, deal, medicaid, Congress, Health Care
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  • stuartzechman

    This isn’t policy, it’s a series of deals.

  • freeinpa

    In all the preening and self-congratulations with Reid, Dodd, Rockefeller et al I don’t believe I heard any mention of budget neutral.

    Should we chalk up HC “reform” as one more Big Lie from the Left?

  • homerhk

    good slogan stuart but not really very accurate.

  • sevenoaks07

    Backscratching and dealing = reform in health care. It’s going to take a while to work out what has been accomplished; until then look for the usual beltway CW and to Republicans trying again and again to follow “No” as a strategy.

    The Matthews-Brownstein gang, with an assist from Krugman, and some wonkery from Ezra and Co will say it is what we can get now and over time we can make improvements.

    Time to get the final bill out of conference.

  • theotherjimmyolson

    Be my guest.

  • gregkane

    Ben Nelson demands a high price because his convictions are heart-felt and his Kabuki is shameless

  • theotherjimmyolson

    And yet another example of how ,in the senate, small states like my own (Maine) have way too much power .

  • freeinpa

    Also confirms the fact besides being out and out liars the left is void of any morality or principles

  • stuartzechman

    homerhk:
    .
    That’s a fair criticism, it’s not accurate, it is a slogan.
    .
    I should have said:
    .
    This is centrist policy, but it looks like a series of deals like the bank bailout.

  • http://phd9.blogspot.com Paul Dirks

    And this surprises you how?

  • http://phd9.blogspot.com Paul Dirks

    That’s a holdover from when the States had more sovereignty -days long gone. What I still find ironic though, is the degree to which everyone, D and R, thinks its AOK that everyone pays the lions share of taxes to the Federal government and then fights it out to get that money back. All the griping over ‘pork barrel’ spending is part of the Kabuki wherein everybody tries to game the system by getting out more than they pay in and then screaming bloody murder about taxes and big government when they fail.

  • carotexas1

    I think the worse deal is no real conference with the house bill. I doubt that any thing good from the house bill will pass Ben Nelson. They might as well pass it on to the house and send it to the President. Which is what has been planned all along as they used a house bill to write this.

  • stuartzechman

    Dirks:
    .
    Being “surprised” or not isn’t really a terribly important thing to care about, unless being savvy is what you hang your credibility hat on.
    .
    I, mean, I suppose I could reply with something like ( link to inspiring oratory ) :

    Remarks of Senator Barack Obama: A Change We Can Believe In
    .
    Spartanburg, SC | November 03, 2007
    .

    …[business as usual politics ] encourages vague, calculated answers to suit the politics of the moment, instead of clear, consistent principles about how you would lead America. It teaches you that you can promise progress for everyday people while striking a bargain with the very special interests who crowd them out.
    .
    One year from now, we have the chance to tell all those corporate lobbyists that the days of them setting the agenda in Washington are over.
    .
    That’s how I’ll pass a universal health care bill that allows every American to get the same kind of health care that members of Congress get for themselves and cuts every family’s premiums by up to $2500. And mark my words – I will sign this bill by the end of my first term as President. That’s the change we can offer in 2008.

    , and I could ask you “Shouldn’t I be surprised that Barack Obama promised a $2500 reduction in every American family’s insurance premiums, and the Senate bill is nothing like that?,” but then you’d answer something along the lines of “What are you, not savvy?
    .
    It’s far, far less important, IMO, to be unsurprised by things than to be appropriately affected by them.
    .
    I’m not sure why something being expected or not is important enough to be discussed in the context of whether something is good or not, Dirks.
    .
    Why do you care about whether I’m “surprised” or not? Does it make me stupid or naive or an activist or something, and therefore disqualify me from savvy roundtables?
    .
    Help me out, Dirks…

  • stuartzechman

    wherein everybody tries to game the system by getting out more than they pay in
    .
    I think that it’s one of those “unintended consequences” things that conservatives go on about, and they probably have a point.

  • http://phd9.blogspot.com Paul Dirks

    I’m just pointing out that horse-trading and dishonesty are pretty much built into our current system of government. See my post below about the Federal Government functioning as a lottery pool. As long as advertising dollars are the number one determinant of electoral success and as long as campaign contributions are considered free speech and as long as the ‘free press’ is complicit in the lie that government services don’t actually cost money, then the sort of results that infuriate you are going to continue. We can peck at the edges but what ails us is far more fundamental than whether the current HCR legislation actually reforms anything.

  • stuartzechman

    Dirks:
    .
    Thanks so much for clarifying, I get your point now.
    .
    what ails us is far more fundamental than whether the current HCR legislation actually reforms anything
    .
    This is incontrovertibly true, as evidenced by the victorious presidential campaign of one Barack Obama, whose wildly successful slogan at that time was “Change We Can Believe In.”

  • Cliff

    Well, if Nebraska gets something special then I think everyone in Arizona should get a pony.

  • freeinpa

    SZ:

    I don’t think that when you open up the US Treasury to be the financial backer of every program and whim that it is an unintended consequence. Once a program gets funding, there is a higher probability of curing cancer than cutting a budget.

    In the budget equation, the spending side always grows unimpeded while the revenue side comes under pressure. The games get treacherous when the estimations of a program are greatly underestimated. And that will be the case with health care.

  • xarchenko

    History of Ukraine contains all roads which pass through its state is the state of the Black and Caspian Sea states of Europe and the Russian Federation and Belarus and the Baltic States. In this environment, Ukraine was and will be, but you should know about the many communities of national minorities in Ukraine, which should assist the indigenous population to win the victory over Russian chauvinism and cynicism.
    Many professors from the science of physics know what the torsion fields, which affect the human brain, and at different frequencies program commands to perform the person will be in it in the brain. This experiment was prepared and holding extensive amount in Ukraine during the Orange Revolution, the square of the capital and major cities of Ukraine. During the Orange Revolution, where I took part in rallies, I was surprised by the behavior of a video camera operator, who runs a video camera on the faces of people actively speakers for Yushchenko and Ukraine’s future. Why people who participated in the election of President Yushchenko and the future of Ukraine, located in a large garden and joy (remember the first speech by President of Czechia) after the election. I am a former journalist was surprised not competent operator, because the video camera does not include dae signal on a video shoot. To me, at my invitation arriving Jaroslav Ksonzhek, Consul of Poland, where our conversation and confirmed abuse of the Moscow government. It turns out that Moscow is continuing research to control and possess the human brain. It turns out that Putin is in this regard will have the state not only Europe and America but to solve their business programs. Carrying gas pipe through the Baltic States. I want to thank the many Jew for their help when I conducted an investigation, rabbi warned their communities do not come to the square, then be bad for health and psychological disorder. In order to save not only the state president, people, foreign embassies are located in Ukraine, I send the mail letters and telegrams to the President, but in the presidential administration or the children sit or bureaucrats. I understand that Ukraine is very far from your country and therefore should be realistic and simple plan for withdrawal from such situations. You may be surprised by my feeling high torsion fields “But I believe in God and constantly attend Protestant church Evangelicals, Bible study, psychology, folklore, cultural studies, analytics, folk music and songs. Second great experience to travel by military enterprises of when I worked in a factory where assembly consisted of turbines in Krivoy Rog. So I like the saying: The wisdom of man checks only way direction and goals. To convey to the President of Ukraine is a question I have for the first time in its life wrote a letter to the USА Embassy Vil’yamu Taylor, knowing that letters to foreign embassies can check (I wrote the text of the letter to enter a deadlock that people check messages on Post Office in Kiev ) counting on professional psychologists embassy. Maybe my innocence and romanticism great kindness not give me a quiet life, so I thought that everything will be like in the movies. For example, Come from Kiev or the USА embassy good man, and on home phone inviting meeting in Dnipropetrovsk administration and great pity it is all fairy tale, which shows in the film. How can I feel a major role analysis on various issues when I sent a fax wife Ekaterina Yushchenko president and then president’s wife appealed to the USА Ambassador (because her aides have not read Catherine fax). So no one sees me as an expert, thinking that I am working with the USА Embassy, President of Ukraine in 2006, invited himself to the USА Ambassador and the Ambassador of Poland. Unfortunately there is not securing for copyrights. Very please note the danger, that Russia may give your country, and protect my copyright on intellectual property, to realize their potential to the benefit of our good relations. Now, please imagine if Russia can use the torsion field during military operations as well as in public (panic, revolution, rebellion and what you want) to be a civil war and chaos in the elections and other companies. If Russia will send a torsion field in the brain of miners from the city of Donetsk, what then will be in Kiev?. Why do I appeal to you Your Majesty, for help! Because you are a patriot of the United States Americas and the state can imagine that a person before the rally (The action darling) can drink tea or coffee active liquid, the influence of torsion fields resulting in a mutation of the body!. This is a question that I have studied, we save lives and you and the President of the United States Americas and many people! And the main thing that Ms. Catherine Chumachenko was born in the United States and was the square with the children. With great respect to you and hope for your tolerance and kindness, Your Majesty. And for me there will be enormous gladness when any man will arrive to me in guests that could make sure in veracity of my moral principles.

    Valeriy Kharchenko, son of Mary Chumachenko father Vladimir Kharchenko. Kirovograd region, Dolinsky district, village Vasylivka.

    city DNIPROPETROVSK 49029
    Street. Заміська 39-1
    phone mobile 380985052947
    home 38056 7166470

    UKRAINE xarchenko2009@meta.ua

  • allthingsinaname

    “Also confirms the fact besides being out and out liars the left is void of any morality or principles”
    >

    Hmmm.,… You might have a point had the right backed up there assertion that they were for reform by showing effort to reform.

    As weak as this bill is it will benefit a lot of people, and where will the right be? What will they say? We passed a health care reform bill, just like they have with the stimulus, except when they want to discredit the Democrats.

    But it doesn’t matter to their base.

  • http://www.ghostnote.com Cookie Puss

    +1

  • http://theblindspotsofgod.wordpress.com lawyermommy

    I am elated by the following extract from an article on President Obama’s weekly radio address:

    “President Obama pitched the Senate’s bill as a patient’s bill of rights where Americans-
    “can find on any page patient protections that dwarf any passed by Congress in at least a decade.”–

    How refreshing!

    LM

    http://theblindspotsofgod.wordpress.com/2009/12/16/technology-savvy-criminals-are-the-greatest-threat-to-national-security/

  • http://chaparellii.wordpress.com chaparellii

    It has taken over 40 yrs to get this far. Getting any agreement passed is a tremendous accomplishment considering all sides represented and their vast differences…..try getting a family to agree on dinner and then tell me what expectations we should realistically have that anything ever gets done by our Govt. Be glad they did not give up and when it is all said and done no matter how imperfect more Americans will have coverage whether they have pre-existing conditions or not and the next healthcare debates will be to improve upon this bill. Not starting from scratch with our current stuation. There will never be a time when everyone is satified with any bill because we represent such a variety of cultures and conditions. Comprimise is better than just saying that “sucks” and doing nothing.

  • 53_3

    tanstafl.
    .
    In other words, There Ain’t No Such Thing as A Free Lunch…

  • 53_3

    Definately more knowledgeable than Glenn Beck…

  • 53_3

    Oh, and, of course, we’ve already seen how well BAU works…

  • 53_3

    This rightfully belongs in the thread below, so consider this comment #2.4-1/2 too:
    .
    It is short stretch (10 months!) back to when people were panicking over the credit freeze. That’s been pretty much cleared up now (I like the idea of stimulus for small business btw), and none of the credit for that goes to the GOP.
    .
    I’m not saying anything about where the credit should go, but I reapeat:
    .
    None of the credit will accrue to the GOP.
    .
    This applies to the current situation where indicators are starting to improve.
    .
    And of course, despite the studied refusal to recognize that Bernanke handed out $7,200,000,000,000,000 under Bush on the part of ahem, unnamed individuals, it actually did happen – and not during Clinton’s years in office, either.
    .
    Which brings me to the same conclusion as you…

  • 53_3

    See comments 1.7 and 1.8.

  • sevenoaks07

    KT: ” the Feds are going to pick up the tab”. You mean you and Swamp writers and us and everyone who pays taxes? First Louisiana, now Nebraska: “blackmail” has become pretty routine in the Senate.

  • cfukara

    #1.5 Paul Dirks: ” .. horse-trading and dishonesty are pretty much built into our current system of government. ..”

    Yet we hate it when others emulate the good deeds that work so well for us.

    Note for instance BHO’s exultation of “respect for the sovereignty of other countries” in well-received speeches in Cairo, Berlin, Ghana as contrasted to our gratuitous military operations that kill mostly civilians in the sovereign countries of Yemen, Pakistan, Somalia, Afghanistan, Iraq, …
    Is “respect for the sovereignty of other countries” similarly implied in our current overt and/or covert campaigns to subvert the sovereign state of Iran? Or Zimbabwe? Or the strategic countries in Africa?

    How about our shrill support for a rogue Rwanda while the murdeous regime ‘leader’ wages decades-long campaign of ethnic cleansing/repression at home and a scorched-earth campaign of plundering resources in the neighbouring country of Congo (DRC) and slaughtering villagers by the thousands EVERY DAY?

    [It is OK for us to claim that the violence unleashed in the 'just' strikes in Yemen were against those who threaten our interests.
    Yet the violent islamists - including those of the 9/11 - do claim threats to their interests as a justification of their strikes.
    Perhaps in the primal scheme of things for BHO, the leading peace man, one who has the biggest stick is 'right'.]

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