Caroline Kennedy Reportedly Backs Out

Both the New York Post and New York Times are reporting this evening that Caroline Kennedy has told New York Governor David Paterson that she does not want to be considered to fill the now-vacant seat of Hillary Clinton in the United States Senate. (UPDATE: The New York Post, which initially reported the Kennedy withdrew citing “personal reasons,” is now saying she did it “after learning that Gov. David Paterson wasn’t going to choose her.”)

The news is a startling development, coming as it does within hours of Clinton’s confirmation as Secretary of State and her resulting resignation from the Senate. The New York Times reports that Caroline Kennedy’s concern for her uncle’s health prompted the decision. Senator Ted Kennedy, who is suffering from brain cancer, was hospitalized yesterday after suffering a seizure at a Capitol lunch in honor of the newly inaugurated President. However, Ted Kennedy was released from the hospital today, and it is not clear that there has been any change in the grim prognosis he received when his cancer was first diagnosed last May.

Caroline Kennedy had seemed to have a lock on the Senate appointment when she first signaled her interest last month. It was thought that her famous last name alone would give her an edge in a Senate seat where she would have to run twice in the next four years–first in a 2010 special election, and then when the term expires in 2012–and could have to raise as much as $100 million. However, her initial round of media interviews and public appearances proved her to be an unsteady politician. Recent polling has suggested that New Yorkers would prefer their Attorney General Andrew Cuomo–himself a member of a famous political dynasty, and a former cousin-in-law of Caroline Kennedy.

In this election, however, there is only one voter: Governor Paterson, who has the sole power to appoint Clinton’s successor. Although Paterson initially seemed enthusiastic about her prospects, my colleague Mark Halperin reports that the Governor has been frustrated with her lack of political acumen — and failure to take his private advice about how she should conduct herself. Some of his associates believe he came to think that she wouldn’t be that good a person to share the ballot with in 2010.

UPDATE: There is much confusion tonight, as Kennedy’s allies try to tamp this story down. And still the reports continue. I have been unable to rouse her spokesman by email, and his voicemailbox is full. My assumption is that this story is coming from Paterson’s team. But at this point, I throw up my hands.

UPDATE:

This statement from Caroline Kennedy hit my emailbox at 12:07 a.m.:

“I informed Governor Paterson today that for personal reasons I am
withdrawing my name from consideration for the United States Senate.”

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  • Dee in Columbia MD

    I would take anything Halperin said and go in the other direction. He proved throughout this campaign that as a journalist he is unreliable at best and as a pundit he was just plain wrong most of the time.

  • Andy from MA

    This is terrible news for Obama.

  • Andy from MA

    Paterson has been a very interesting politician since becoming governor. It look like he is his own man, bucking the pressure to appoint CK. I hope it’s Maloney.

  • Dee in Columbia MD

    Oh and how incredibly self-serving is it to say that the basis of judgment for picking the next Senator from NY is how well they did with the press. Tell me what is the role of the fourth estate these days is it the voice of the people, watch dog, defining the state of the culture or have you finally dispensed with the formalities and declared at last that you people want to take over the kingmaker function in the 21st century

  • stuartzechman

    Nothing against Ms. Kennedy, but fortunately, we in New York have the undoubtedly qualified, thoroughly in-touch, quite representative “better Democrat” Carolyn Maloney to thank for having her hat in the ring.
    .
    Depriving Chris Matthews of more banal subject matter for his show is only secondary in my considerations, of course.

  • http://pourmecoffee.blogspot.com pourmecoffee

    Caroline Favre.

  • jcapan

    Shouldn’t that have read: “my ‘colleague’ Mark Halperin,” or at least employing some Joey airquotes.

  • Andy from MA

    Stuart, rendering Chris Matthews speechless should make one eligible for the Pulizer Prize and the Sigma Delta Chi award.
    .
    Dee, I think that CK didn’t do herself any favors in her trips upstate. Asking the press for questions in advance was Palinian at worst, poor judgment at best. CK could have spent more time prepping for her public encounters. The verbal tics (you know) can be overlooked, when there is content behind the answers. Also, refusing to back a Dem vs. Bloomberg was the final nail in the coffin, IMHO.

  • Andy from MA

    That’s not fair, pourmecoffee. But it’s very, very funny. Thank goodness I’m a Patriots fan.

  • http://smoothlikeremy.blogspot.com/ sgwhiteinfla

    I know I might get flamed for saying this and I am not trying to be callous here, BUT if Ted Kennedy’s health condition is truly the reason she is withdrawing from consideration what does that say about her committment to begin with? I pray that Ted pulls through but I don’t think any of us have any illusions that its a no brainer that he will. And unfortunately Congress persons have to be able to deal with personal strategies at times and still do their job. I don’t know that it really is why she pulled out but to my mind I think it conveys the wrong message if she is the one that put that out whether its the truth or not.

  • http://smoothlikeremy.blogspot.com/ sgwhiteinfla

    And to be preemeptive, yes rose83 I realize that in some way shape or form my statement is sexist.
    . ;)

  • Andy from MA

    hey sg, there’s no fun in taking you to task if you’re going to do it yourself. ;)

  • http://pourmecoffee.blogspot.com pourmecoffee

    I don’t want to sound callous, but my Dad died of brain cancer at around Teddy’s age. After you get the diagnosis, there’s are absolutely no surprises. It just proceeds exactly as you’d expect, with slight timeline variations. If that was her personal reason, she wasted everyone’s time.

  • http://smoothlikeremy.blogspot.com/ sgwhiteinfla

    strategies should be tragedies. I guess preview doesn’t help if you don’t use it.

  • rmrd

    Olbermann just said Kennedy did not bow out

  • http://pourmecoffee.blogspot.com pourmecoffee

    strategies should be tragedies

    Tell me more about your theories. I would like to buy your tapes and attend your seminars.

  • cincinnatus est exterminata!

    “my colleague Mark Halperin…”
    .
    Were those words to ever pass my lips, I would have to do some serious soul searching.
    .
    “Although Paterson initially seemed enthusiastic about her prospects, my colleague Mark Halperin reports that the Governor has been frustrated with her lack of political acumen — and failure to take his private advice about how she should conduct herself.”
    .
    Something seems amiss…applying Costanza Principle:
    loading….
    loading….
    loading…
    FINISHED
    .
    RESULTS: Apparently Patterson was unenthusiastic about Kennedy from jump street and has had little if any contact w/ Caroline Kennedy.
    .
    Olbermann just now…Kennedy did not withdraw. Conclusion: our media sucks. Absolutely sucks.

  • http://smoothlikeremy.blogspot.com/ sgwhiteinfla

    KO also said a little while ago that the UN might investigate Bush and Rummy for War Crimes. Im crossing my fingers

  • lupercal5

    hurts real bad. feels like someone just stabbed me in the back. oh well. so long dear caroline

  • http://pourmecoffee.blogspot.com pourmecoffee

    I’ll say this: the NYT front page article up right now is kind of laugh-out-loud funny in terms of its sourcing:

    Caroline Kennedy has withdrawn from consideration for the vacant Senate seat in New York, according to a person told of her decision. [Link]

    “According to a person told of her decision?”. Airtight.

  • http://smoothlikeremy.blogspot.com/ sgwhiteinfla

    You know, I am wondering if Cuomo might be behind this. It certainly seems like his people are throwing her under the bus behind the scenes.

  • Karen Tumulty

    this is indeed v v weird. lots of confusion tonight. my assumption is that all of this is coming out of paterson’s office.

  • http://pourmecoffee.blogspot.com pourmecoffee
  • http://smoothlikeremy.blogspot.com/ sgwhiteinfla

    pourme
    .
    I think that guy quit

  • http://pourmecoffee.blogspot.com pourmecoffee

    Isay hasn’t quit, but he doesn’t appear to know what’s going on either:

    A family source said cousin Kerry Kennedy spoke with both Paterson and Caroline Kennedy’s political consultant, Josh Isay, and neither was aware she was bowing out. [Link]

    This is a WHO question. Who is the Times/Post source? It has to be someone of almost unimpeachable reliability to be relied upon to got FRONT PAGE SCREAMER without a confirmation from Kennedy herself. Who?

  • Karen Tumulty

    pourme: my bet is paterson.

  • http://pourmecoffee.blogspot.com pourmecoffee

    This is a potential HUGE black eye for the NYT. They yell in a front-page banner:

    On Wednesday she called Gov. David A. Paterson, who will choose a successor to Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton. [Link]

    But, the Daily News reports:

    Paterson, the source said, told Kerry Kennedy “he hasn’t heard it and he’s made no decision that would provoke her to leave.” Another member of Kennedy’s political inner circle said Kennedy had not told the governor she was pulling out nor have family members be told anything like that. [Link]

    It’s pretty close to unforgivable to get wrong whether or not she called the Governor. It’s knowable. IF the NYT got that wrong on the front page based on “what some dude said,” shame on them.

  • http://pourmecoffee.blogspot.com pourmecoffee

    KT: My bet is some Boston Brahmin connected to the family. Not necessarily Dodd, but someone like him.

  • Karen Tumulty

    pourme: both the nyt and the nypost (which got it first) are reporting it, and i think it’s been confirmed by cnn. so it’s coming from somewhere. also, the formulation of paterson telling kerry kennedy, who then tells “a source,” suggests that this attribution came from the kennedy side.

  • Karen Tumulty

    (continuing) my immediate suspicion (totally unconfirmed, but we’re all guessing here) is that paterson wanted to nudge her out before he actually picked someone else, and somehow it got badly mishandled.

  • http://pourmecoffee.blogspot.com pourmecoffee

    From the Post article:

    Aides to Kennedy couldn’t be reached for comment. [Link]

    Paterson better be the source. Otherwise, how could you fly that flag so high without confirmation from ONE of the two parties? You can’t convince me that would be acceptable.

  • Andy from MA

    KT at least Rahm Emmanuel’s fingerprints are nowhere to be found…I keeed, I keeed.
    .
    Rhetorical Question: How many Democrats does it take to f-up a Senate vacancy appointment?

  • http://pourmecoffee.blogspot.com pourmecoffee

    The reason I single Isay out for abuse is that the play was muffed – everything is relatively okay as long as the story is that she resigned for personal reasons. People can speculate otherwise, but a guy like Isay is supposed to line up the initial stories to all say that. This came out of the gate far too wobbly, and that’s what political consultants are paid to prevent.

  • Andy from MA

    pourme, there’s something oxymoronic in the term political consultant. He failed as a handler.

  • http://pourmecoffee.blogspot.com pourmecoffee

    [Fun Speculation Mode] I wonder if the source is someone that the Governor told, but not the Governor. If so, may I just say, “Ooooops.”

  • http://www.inworldstudios.com jayackroyd

    Cuomo would be just as bad. I would like to elect Senators, not have dynastic appointments.

  • Karen Tumulty

    pourme @ 35: Colonel Mustard in the library with a noose!

  • http://pourmecoffee.blogspot.com pourmecoffee

    Ha! Plot thickens with new NYT update. I don’t get it. As I read this, when they published the story before 8:00 pm tonight, the Times did not have confirmation from either the Governor’s office or Kennedy. What am I missing?

    Just before 7 p.m. Wednesday, Errol Cockfield, Mr. Paterson’s press secretary, said the governor had referred to the assertion that Ms. Kennedy was withdrawing as “just the rumor of the day.” More than an hour later, Mr. Cockfield asked that that statement not be published, but neither he nor the governor’s communications director, Risa B. Heller, would respond to questions about Ms. Kennedy. [Link]

    Is it that there was a direct Governor-to-reporter conversation that is the basis of the reports?

  • stuartzechman

    This is crazy.
    .
    This is what happens when reporters “know” things simply because “sources” tell them things.

  • Karen Tumulty

    pourme: it sounds like there was some direct conversation with the gov. totally confusing. i’m going to bed.

  • stuartzechman

    Cuomo would be just as bad. I would like to elect Senators, not have dynastic appointments.
    .
    Well…I think you mean just as bad only in terms of nepotism chaebol-style.
    .
    The only reason I’d like to see Cuomo get the nod from Paterson is that I’d love to see if there are still idiots who will jump up and down about his completely innocent “shuck and jive” quote the way they did during the primary season. Remember that awful “problem” for bad ole racist Hillary?
    .
    Ah…Democrats.

  • stuartzechman

    Good night, KT, and thanks (as always) for sticking around the comments.
    .
    Boy, does Olbermann have something against you?
    .
    …Don’t answer that. Good night.

  • http://pourmecoffee.blogspot.com pourmecoffee

    Well, I’ll just reiterate that if and when she called the Governor is a really interesting question – particularly for the N.Y. Times. It’s a fact that can be determined, and right now the Times is out there:

    Ms. Kennedy on Wednesday called Gov. David A. Paterson, who will choose a successor to Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton, to inform him that she was no longer interested in the post. [Link]

    In stark contrast:

    Sources told CNN that, as of about 8 p.m. Wednesday, she had not yet informed New York Gov. David Paterson of her decision. [Link]

    It kinda makes you want to have named sources.

  • newfloridian

    Apparently Gov. Paterson is the same blundering idiot portrayed on SNL.

    In politics when you delay decisions you look indecisive, moronic or worse just plain incompetant. Paterson is going to come out of this fiasco a diminished politician with many more enemies than friends.

  • rose83

    And to be preemeptive, yes rose83 I realize that in some way shape or form my statement is sexist.
    .
    SG, seriously you need to get that feminism is not irrational! It’s weird, you seem to see accusations of sexism like many Republicans see accusations of racism: It’s like they come of out nowhere and are totally unpredictable and arbitrary.
    .
    I totally agree with your comment, although I suspect – and yes, I know I’m being cynical and uncharitable – that the health thing was an excuse. I don’t want to sound harsh, but he’s a man in his 80s with the worst form of brain cancer: You didn’t need to be Dr. Gupta to know his condition would worsen.

  • http://smoothlikeremy.blogspot.com/ sgwhiteinfla

    rose83
    .
    You are presuming that I believe your reasoning to be feminism. I don’t. Feminism to me isn’t about calling everything sexist. Its moreso about striving for equal treatment for all. I know sexism exists and I am very sensitive to it as I have a daughter. But you have to understand something, as a black man I have been party to racist treatment, but I have also seen more times than I would like race being used as an excuse or an indictment in situations where it was not appropriate. And that has always and will always weaken the argument of people who really are discriminted against or targeted because of their race. Much in that same light sexism while a real problem can and will be cheapened if every innocuous comment is held up as being sexist simply because it was directed at a woman. At some point just like they did when they created the mythical “race card” people will turn on the people who throw sexism around haphazardly and dismiss their complaints as just having a “victim” mentality and that will be the exact opposite of progress IMHO. Now I realize that you and I will never see eye to eye on this issue because you have very strong feelings one way and I don’t agree with them. But at least I can help you to understand where I am coming from.

  • rose83

    You are presuming that I believe your reasoning to be feminism. I don’t.
    .
    SG, No your characterization of me is quite predictable. But if you think mainstream Gen-Y feminists who love pretty dresses and romantic comedies are the Jesse Jackson Sr.’s of sexism, I think it’s safe to say you disapprove of feminism, or at least that you’re confused by it.
    .
    Feminism to me isn’t about calling everything sexist.
    But as we’ve just seen in my last comment, I obviously don’t call everything sexist. You think I call everything sexist merely because I’ve seen sexism where you don’t. Which leads you to attribute absurd views to me, such as thinking your original comment was sexist.
    .
    You seem to think I’m some radical feminist, or that I’m giving feminism a bad name, which is bizarre. Here’s a fairly radical take on contemporary feminism, just so you can correctly place me on the feminist spectrum: http://shakespearessister.blogspot.com/2004/10/feminism-101.html There are countless times where I don’t see sexism and other feminists do. And every time we actually have a disagreement on a specific issue of sexism, I’m so far from extremism it’s almost amusing. For example, thinking that falsely accusing a woman politician of crying over her appearance is sexist is not extreme or playing the “gender card.” You may disagree, but you have to see that’s very mainstream. If the NY Times Public Editor is going to accuse Maureen Dowd of sexism, then “crying over her appearance” is well within the bounds of conventionally recognized sexism. Your position is far more extreme than mine on this issue.
    .
    But you have to understand something, as a black man I have been party to racist treatment, but I have also seen more times than I would like race being used as an excuse or an indictment in situations where it was not appropriate.
    Could you give me some examples? For example, did you think the Celebrity ad was racist? Just curious.
    .
    Much in that same light sexism while a real problem can and will be cheapened if every innocuous comment is held up as being sexist simply because it was directed at a woman.
    Sure… but that’s why you accused me of doing, that’s not what I actually do. Seriously, you can’t go around accusing people of making absurd statements they didn’t make. Remember, I didn’t think your comment was sexist. I agreed with it, although I was actually a little more critical of CK. (Also, switching the genders in these “innocuous comments” is a great to determine if they are in fact innocuous. I agree there are genuinely innocuous comments, but then Barack the Magic Negro was also supposed to be innocuous. It is the cliche first defense for racist and sexist comments.)
    .
    What’s ironic is that a few days ago I was exchanging posts with Dee who was blaming sexism for virtually all of CK’s problems. While I agreed that she had received some sexist media coverage – the original lede of the NY Times story comparing her to Palin is an obvious example – I sharply criticized her performance and qualifications and rejected that idea that sexism was her problem. Just to spell this out: I think CK’s biggest problem is herself, not sexism.
    .
    Now I realize that you and I will never see eye to eye on this issue because you have very strong feelings one way and I don’t agree with them. But at least I can help you to understand where I am coming from.
    Well I hope that you can understand that I’m actually very selective in my accusations of sexism, and I approach issues of sexism in an intellectually coherent way. I don’t simply label comments and people as sexist.
    Also, am I really the one with strong feeling? After all you’re the one pursuing these discussions. BTW, I think that’s great – society changes with individual difficult discussions like ours.
    .
    The preview script is amazingly slow on these long posts…

  • stuartzechman

    Let’s see…are we allowing my IP to post?

  • stuartzechman

    OK, we are.
    .
    I’ll try this one section at at time, then:
    .
    The preview script is unbelievably pointless and stupid.
    .
    I’m not just talking about the effect of it, I’m talking about the actual script itself.
    .
    It’s a lunatic, Keystone Kops/TSA attempt to encrypt each character as it’s sent (each time you let the key you’re pressing up) from the text area to the preview script itself and back to the preview area below.
    .
    They’ve included all of the code for turning each character into a byte representation, then encrypting each byte representation.
    .

    * A JavaScript implementation of the RSA Data Security, Inc. MD5 Message
    * Digest Algorithm, as defined in RFC 1321.
    * Version 2.1 Copyright (C) Paul Johnston 1999 – 2002.
    * Other contributors: Greg Holt, Andrew Kepert, Ydnar, Lostinet
    * Distributed under the BSD License
    * See http://pajhome.org.uk/crypt/md5 for more info.

    .
    It’s insane.

  • stuartzechman

    From that pajhome in the UK site:
    .

    The MD4, MD5 and SHA-1 algorithms are secure hash functions. They take a string input, and produce a fixed size number – 128 bits for MD4 and MD5; 160 bits for SHA-1. This number is a hash of the input – a small change in the input results in a substantial change in the output. The functions are thought to be secure, in the sense that it would require an enormous amount of computing power to find a string which hashes to a chosen value. In others words, there’s no way to decrypt a secure hash. The uses of secure hashes include digital signatures and challenge hash authentication. This document is a good introduction to hashes…

    .
    Right. They’re idiots for including this in a f*cking preview script.

  • stuartzechman

    This is just a little bit of the code in this preview script that seems to get called each time you type a letter:

    * These are the functions you’ll usually want to call
    * They take string arguments and return either hex or base-64 encoded strings

    “function hex_md5(s){ return binl2hex(core_md5(str2binl(s), s.length * chrsz));}”
    “function b64_md5(s){ return binl2b64(core_md5(str2binl(s), s.length * chrsz));}”
    “function str_md5(s){ return binl2str(core_md5(str2binl(s), s.length * chrsz));}”
    “function hex_hmac_md5(key, data) { return binl2hex(core_hmac_md5(key, data)); }”

    .
    Why?
    .
    What are they doing?
    .
    Did somebody who’s cursed with harsher than average Tourrette’s Syndrome shout the requirements for a preview panel into a glass jar which was then mailed to Denmark for someone who only speaks Danish to open and put to their ear?
    .
    What is wrong with these people?

  • yutsano

    FWIW she’s backed out for sure now as per CNN.

  • jcapan

    What’s truly amazing Stuart is that you can read text like that, make sense of it, and not develop Tourrette’s. Those there some bad-arse hieroglyphics!

  • carotexas1

    New Floridian at 44 Great post.

  • newfloridian

    Thank you.

  • newfloridian

    Like Paterson’s horrible sense of timing apparently Kennedy is also afflicted with a similar lack of recognition virus. Let’s just call it the Politico Oblivious Virus or POV for short. A virus which exhibits such traits as not understanding timing, when to get in- when to get out, not being able to make a prompt decision, not understanding that your constituents are tiring of you, etc. etc. etc.

    Like Paterson, Kennedy has waited too long to make her exit. When it all did not happen in a few weeks she should have exited, cited Paterson’s POV symptoms and moved on.

    But hey we still have Gov. Palin to kick around, now she’s trying to stay relevant by attacking the press for supposedly attacking her children. She too suffers from POV. When you parade around your family and wear them like a campaign button… guess what they get srutinized. She apparently is oblivious to the need for new press stories or something.

  • rose83

    stuart, forgive me for this stupid question but I’m not gifted with computers. (Except on Google searches where I am the Queen…) Is this preview script typically used for security reasons? Is that what the encryption is for? If so, I truly do not understand why the High Sheriffs would be concerned about security.
    .
    For any posts longer than a couple of paragraphs, including quotations, I’m going to start writing it out as a Word Document and then copy and paste it here.

  • stuartzechman

    Is this preview script typically used for security reasons?
    .
    Sorry to get back to you so late on this question, Rose, but the answer is:
    .
    No. Absolutely not.
    .
    There’s no functional reason to be concerned with the “security” of each keypress in a text area here in terms of each letter being intercepted by malicious somethings on the way to and from their stupid preview script.
    .
    What probably is the case is:
    .
    1) somebody made a big deal out of security to decision-makers who don’t know any better, or
    .
    2) the page that the script uses is so weak and unprotected that they did the equivalent of the TSA making everybody take off their shoes for no real reason, just to have done “something”, or
    .
    3) WordPress doesn’t allow a decent implementation of preview functionality the way they thought they needed it, or
    .
    4) Some genius found some code that allows for characters to go back and forth between here and somewhere else (where they’re keeping the non-Wordpress preview script), and it just so happened that this back-and-forth code was copied and pasted from a real, security-required messaging script. The genius who did the copying and pasting really didn’t understand the rest of the security part of the script, and so she just left it in, hoping to get everyone off of their back. Said genius turned around to whoever was harassing them about the loss of preview functionality since the move to WordPress (some other genius), and said “Voila. Done.”
    .
    5) The person who did this really hates the people they work for, and want to make them look like idiots…or they hate us for complaining.
    .

    It’s a pretty harsh indictment of the implementers of this preview script that users are forced to go to MS Word, and copy n paste long posts in here, of course.

  • rose83

    Thanks for replying. When I was reading your post I kept thinking, “This all sounds familiar but I’m not sure why.” And then I remembered: This kind of inexplicably bad decision making and execution is reminiscent of the worst elements of the Bush Administration. It’s like you just outlined the Katrina response…

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