Inaugural Threat Assessment (Unclassified)

Cryptome.org has obtained a federal threat assessment for inauguration week in Washington, D.C., a document that is marked unclassified and meant for area law enforcement officials. Much of the news is good. As of January 7, when the document was released, there were “no credible reports indicating a threat to the inauguration from international terrorists,” or domestic terrorists.

The biggest concerns, according to the document, are “lone offenders,” a term defined as “individuals who are unaffiliated with a group, but act in furtherance of an ideology or group members who act on their own without direction from their group.” But even within this category, the document notes that “nothing indicates” these threats have progressed past rhetoric to operational planning. The document lists three “scenarios of concern”: an Improvised Explosive Device, an Armed Assault and Hostage Taking, and a Suicide Bomber.

The document, which was created by a joint agency effort that included the Federal Bureau of Investigation and the Department of Homeland Security, also confirms what many already assumed: “The President-elect has been the focus of voluminous threat-related reporting since announcing his candidacy, and the number of threat reports has increased since his election.”

UPDATE: Politico’s Mike Allen reports that the out-of-town cabinet member for the inauguration will be Defense Secretary Robert Gates. That means that if catastrophe strikes, Gates will be able to take over as president.

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  • kathy

    One mark of what a cool customer Barack is (and, presumably, any President) is that he never seems to be aware of the threat possibility, never holds back.
    .
    My concern has not been the threats you list, but a rogue law enforcement officer.
    .
    I’d seen this threat assessment linked to over at Ambers, too. Not sure what the point is of disclosing it.

  • trifecta55

    The threat remains from the Timothy McVeigh, Eric Rudolph types. Ya know, Bush’s base.

  • wvng
  • wvng
  • Dee in Columbia MD

    Obviously we need to focus intensely on the right wingnuttery to make sure it doesn’t hatch a McVeigh wannabe for the occasion. However, let’s not forget to watch the I love you so much Obama, I know you are the messiah, let help you to get to the resurrection part sooner type either.

  • wvng

    Right on Dee.

  • http://www.inworldstudios.com jayackroyd

    Does any other country do this? Are there “threat assessments” of “individuals who are unaffiliated with a group, but act in furtherance of an ideology or group members who act on their own without direction from their group” in Canada?

  • centfan

    And what if there were a few unsuccessful (stress unsuccessful) attempts? Law enforcement would get some threads pulled in on some nasty groups, the press could get off there f_t a_s and report on something besides five-legged cat stories and how Obama MIGHT be wrong about everything (maybe the sun WON’T come up tomorrow, film at 11) and the true nature of the Republican direction for this country would appear in its glorious light.

    Thanks for the info Michael, but getting an unclassified document off a website isn’t really digging deep. A McVeigh911 could still happen and your peers will miss it while writing a piece on the Thanksgiving Day Parade (and why it’s never held in January).

  • tdotsteph

    jayackroyd: we kind of just assume our PMs are capable of choking out any possible threats.

    But in all seriousness, yes, the RCMP (Canada hasn’t separated head of government protection from the national police force like the US did) runs these exact sort of assessments all the time – and will do exactly the same thing against potential threats to Obama when he visits.

  • 53_3

    hell

  • 53_3

    A message to right wingers everywhere:
    .
    Take your Southern Strategy, your political icons like Timothy McVeigh, David Koresh, Rush Limbaugh, Pat Buchannon, Pat Robertson and get the hell out of Dodge!
    .
    Take your divisive hatred, stupidity, and practiced ignorance and crawl back in your smokey basements and worship your icons the way you should:
    .
    In complete obscurity.
    .
    Take your Soviet style propaganda, FOX, and your ideology and shove it up your arse while your at it.
    .
    Good God Dammed bye and Good God Dammed riddance!
    .
    Tomorrow is a new day!

  • newfloridian

    One of the things I look forward to in an Obama adminsitration is the end of these doomsday terrorist threat notifications. This was a great technique by the Bush adminsitration to keep the people scared and keep them voting for false Republican security. The Bush administration never went after Bin Laden because they needed a boogyman to keep the masses fearful.

    The reality is most of the terrorist organizations do not possess the ability to strike the US in any meaningful manner. 9/11 was an aberration, a well planned event that took a lot of money, a lot of time and an unsuspecting nation. Today the reach of the terrorists is more Asian, perhaps European, but not likely to be Western Hemispheric. For the local threats, puting the words Neo Nazis and drones in the same sentence gives the Neo Nazi morons way too much credit for brains. Rifles, handgins and grenades are about it. Anything higher class and the ATF probably knows about it. Our leaders will always be at risk of the nut jobs, but they are likely to be single efforts or at the minimal just a small organization without much money trying to take on a task they do not have the skills to conduct nor the ability to accomplish any of their objectives. They are porobably more danger to the innocents in the wrong place at the wrong time than our leaders.

    The other good news is with the adults in charge of national security we probably will actually be able to deminish the threat levels and probably get Bin Laden and the remainder of Bin Laden’s organizations. We will likely get either more cooperation from other countries controlling terrorism or actually make credible threats to those countries to force them to change their ways of doing business.

  • ymmartin

    shorter newfloridian – “Finally a president who will actually secure our country rather than scare the bejesus out of the wingnuts with constant threat levels.”

  • wbrain

    One point that may need clarification–how is Gates able to take over as President in the event that the line of succession ahead of him (Prez, Veep, Speaker, President Pro Tem, SoS) is wiped out? Doesn’t his term of office as Bush SecDef expire with the Bush Administration? I don’t recall him being confirmed by the Senate as Obama’s SecDef, or is there a rule that cabinet position holdovers do not need to be reconfirmed? We could look back to the handling of Norm Mineta staying on for guidance, if the statute is not clear or on point.

  • 53_3

    “One of the things I look forward to in an Obama adminsitration is the end of these doomsday terrorist threat notifications.”
    .
    Yup, one of the GOP’s brightest ideas.
    .
    The most expensive two bit colorramp in history!

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