In the Arena

National Security Team of Rivals

Lots of news from Obamaland on the national security front in the past 24 hours–Hillary Clinton “on track” to become Secretary of State, retired General Jim Jones said to become National Security Adviser (while Republican realist Brent Scowcroft has been advising Obama on National Security)…and some strong flutterings that Obama wants to retain Robert Gates as Secretary of Defense as first reported here last summer, which seems especially credible because no other name has been floated as a potential SecDef.

If true, this is an extremely strong, and wise, national security team. It would reflect a powerful desire on Obama’s part to return to the tradition of bipartisan foreign policy, with politics stopping at the water’s edge. And it would reflect a growing centrist consensus in the foreign policy/national security spectrum that includes most members of the Bush 41 and Clinton teams–in favor of the primacy of diplomacy over militarism, ready to begin talks with those the Bush Administration considered pariahs (the Taliban, Syria, Iran), but not averse to the use of force–against Al Qaeda, in particular–when necessary.

The Clinton selection is historically luscious: it directly mirrors Abraham Lincoln’s choice of William H. Seward as his Secretary of State. Seward was a U.S. Senator from New York and the favorite to win the Republican presidential nomination in 1860. There was a great deal of skepticism when the inexperienced and little known legislator from Illinois beat Seward for the nomination and then invited him into the Cabinet, but Seward soon came to appreciate, and later adore, Lincoln’s skills as President. I expect something similar to happen with Hillary Clinton, the ultimate good soldier and team player in the Senate–and a potentially powerful voice overseas (although I do hope that the assorted Clintonian carnival acts–from the former President’s skeevy friends to court jesters like Lanny Davis–will be either muzzled or sent packing entirely).

General Jones is universally respected. He refused a series of major positions offered by the Bush Administration, presumably because he opposed the policies he would have been expected to implement. He did agree to study the security situations in Iraq and Afghanistan for the Bush Administration, and came back with reports that were embarrassingly candid. If appointed, he–not David Petraeus–will be the most important (former) general in the Obama Administration, which will help tilt power back toward the President. (Jones is also a close friend of John McCain’s, which may have the effect of bringing McCain inside the tent a bit, and away from the neoconservative extremists whom he “palled around with” for the past decade.)
Of course, strong teams can create huge problems if they don’t cohere…and also if they pursue foolish policies. Bush Junior’s national security team was thought to be “strong” in 2001–but Dick Cheney and Donald Rumsfeld ran away with it. I don’t see that sort of thing happening here, but if this is, indeed, the team–it might be a good idea for Clinton, Gates, Jones, Obama and Biden to go off for a weekend retreat somewhere, have a few drinks and get to know each other.

In any case, this group sends an indelible signal that the President-elect is a confident fellow and absolutely intent on creating a new national unity (and sanity) in Foreign Policy and Security matters. That is very good news.

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  • nibblybits

    It’s almost sad that pundits are agog at the seriousness of Obama’s personnel choices. They are thoughtful and appropriate in skill level, yes, but shouldn’t all presidents approach his appointments this way? Look what Bush has done to our expectations. We react with thrilling approval that Obama isn’t filling his cabinet with yes men and lackeys.

  • Joe Bftsplk

    It just strikes me as weird that “creating sanity” in foreign policy is newsworthy.
    I was about to ask how crazy this would make the neocons, but I suppose it would be more appropriate to ask how much more animated this will make the neocon ravings.

  • wvng

    “which may have the effect of bringing McCain inside the tent a bit, and away from the neoconservative extremists whom he “palled around with” for the past decade.” Joe, that is as close as anyone has come to calling the neocons terrorists. Good for you! No one has terrorized the world more in the last 7 years than those loonies.

  • http://derekg.wordpress.com/ Derek

    “And it would reflect a growing centrist consensus in the foreign policy/national security spectrum that includes most members of the Bush 41 and Clinton teams–in favor of the primacy of diplomacy over militarism, ready to begin talks with those the Bush Administration considered pariahs (the Taliban, Syria, Iran), but not averse to the use of force–against Al Qaeda, in particular–when necessary.”

    If memory serves most of the members of the centrist cult voted for the war in Iraq. Trying to reclaim reason and diplomacy, for the war mongering, self proclaimed centrists, is ridiculous. Reason is the domain of real liberals.

  • pintortwo

    A Foreign Policy team united by expertise rather than ideology, nice. I, for one, am elated that neoconservative ideologues will no longer be in control– we made the right choice this election.
    .
    For those interested, read “Republican realist Brent Scowcroft” on Iraq and combating terror (from Aug 02): http://www.opinionjournal.com/editorial/feature.html?id=110002133.
    .
    A small excerpt:
    .
    “Given Saddam’s aggressive regional ambitions, as well as his ruthlessness and unpredictability, it may at some point be wise to remove him from power. Whether and when that point should come ought to depend on overall U.S. national security priorities. Our pre-eminent security priority–underscored repeatedly by the president–is the war on terrorism. An attack on Iraq at this time would seriously jeopardize, if not destroy, the global counterterrorist campaign we have undertaken.
    .
    The United States could certainly defeat the Iraqi military and destroy Saddam’s regime. But it would not be a cakewalk. On the contrary, it undoubtedly would be very expensive–with serious consequences for the U.S. and global economy–and could as well be bloody.”

  • queencersei

    I’m not saying Hillary isn’t up to the task. But I can see her and Obama clashing a lot. NYT ran a great piece yesterday about how the Team of Rivals was anything but great at times. Lots of ego and arguing. Some of them all but stopped attending cabinet meetings because they got so upset with another member. Hopefully this team will gel together better.

  • pintortwo

    …and what wvng said. Kudos Joe.

  • http://pourmecoffee.blogspot.com pourmecoffee

    General Jones enjoys the delicious refreshment of Rumsfeld Hatorade.

  • sevenoaks07

    A good post to start a discussion. In general agreement. What I am looking forward to is the second tier players who will grow to maturity in the first term and become a valuable reservior of people who can aspire to head of post in the second term. That is my hope! The value in this team (as proposed/reported on thus far) is that Pres elect Obama is not afraid of getting opposing advice from his team. In the end he will determine the thrust and direction. In spite of the usual naysayers I think he will hold his team together.

  • sarcastr0

    “historically luscious”

    awesome! (or should I say voluptuous)

  • wvng

    I mentioned it in another thread, but it’s worth repeating. Joe is not remotely alone in his admiration for Obama’s selections. Here’s Brooks this morning:
    .
    Believe me, I’m trying not to join in the vast, heaving O-phoria now sweeping the coastal haut-bourgeoisie. But the personnel decisions have been superb. The events of the past two weeks should be reassuring to anybody who feared that Obama would veer to the left or would suffer self-inflicted wounds because of his inexperience. He’s off to a start that nearly justifies the hype.
    .
    Thinking people on all sides of the divide are ecstatic at the obvious return to reason in the White House.

  • sgwhiteinfla

    Personally I think this “Team of Rivals” meme is just helping to make sure that book is an all time best seller. What I mean is that its entertaining to look at it as if Obama is following Lincolns lead and everything but this is a much different country than it was during Lincoln’s time. And the truth is Hillary Clinton worked her azz off for Obama during the general election campaign. She wasnt off somewhere pouting nor was she tepid in her support for his candidacy. Now there is no doubt that they aren’t BFFs but its really a media creation this notion that Bill and Hillary are spending every waking hour plotting Obama’s demise. Bill didn’t like Obama because Obama beat (not literally) Bill’s wife. Ask any man with a significant other and I am sure they understand. But to me getting Hillary at SOS has more to do with political expediency than it does some high brow notion of bringing in a rival. Hillary will always have a rabid following and if she didn’t get a position in Obama’s administration there would have been a LOT of grumbling from them. Not saying it necessarily had to be SOS but then again it does make just as much sense as putting her in at SCOTUS which is what a lot of people had speculated he would do after taking office. Now I do believe that Obama will seek out people with divergent opinions for advice but what I don’t see him doing is bringing in someone like say a Mitt Romney or a Rudy Guiliani or even a Tom Ridge because their beliefs which are mostly inherrently Republican types of beliefs will not line up with his. Its the same reason he won’t be intalling Ron Paul as the Treasury Secretary. None of his picks or rumored picks are really all that “startling” or “momentous” so far. Really when you take away all the rhetoric and start looking objectively at his picks they all make sense both politically and practically. What really has the MSM in a tizzy is that Obama is NOT making controversial picks of people with limited experience and opposing philosophies. And by the way keeping the Sec Def in initially when the country is involved in two wars it both practical and good politics. If something happens negative in the prosecution of either war early on in Obama’s administration he will have cover with Gates still in as Sec Def that he would never have if he replaces him.

  • http://phd9.blogspot.com Paul Dirks

    The only people who should be surprised at the path Obama is taking to build his Security team are the people who beleived all the lies that were being told about him during the campaign. Anyone who thought he was anything but a centrist realist was too busy listening to the voices in their head instead of checking the evidence before their eyes.
    .
    I like waht I said on Karen’s thread on the subject so I’ll repost it here:
    .
    I remember my reaction the first time I encountered Obama stickers featuring a peace sign in the “O” I cringed to think that anyone beleived that Obama represented the “Peace Candidate”. I always felt that reprenting the “Non-Insane” candidate would be sufficient improvment to make his candidacy worth supporting. I still feel that way.

    Besides, if you want to confine your cabinet picks to those who were right on Iraq, you’ll end up with me and Natalie Maines. Not exactly realistic.

  • http://pourmecoffee.blogspot.com pourmecoffee

    Obama appears to be choosing people based on his confidence in their ability to solve problems and not their pre-ordained solutions. Amen to that.

  • southernbell49

    If we are indeed seeing the Team, I think it’s an excellent one. And yes, Hillary is the ultimate team player

    And Paul D., great post. I never saw Obama as anything other than a centrist in all matters and HRC’s health plan was more “liberal” than his.

  • sgwhiteinfla

    pourme
    .
    when you say “not their pre-ordained solutions” thats kind of well not true. There are plenty of problems Obama is going to have to solve when he gets into office. And he won’t have the luxury of trying two different approaches and then choosing the one that works. So he is going to have to make a judgement call on which path to take. Now when you say they don’t have pre ordained solutions then I would point out that Obama spent a substantial amount of time on the stump pointing out that the conservative philosphy of how to run the economy is pretty much bullsh!t. Remember the whole “trickle down” theory. So somehow I doubt he will be naming a conservative in to lead his treasury. So by definition he is going to exclude those who think the free market should have little to no regulation from leadership positions in his cabinet no matter what their personal backgrounds or successes. The same way he wont be naming a person who thinks we should be involved in attacking a country when there is no imminent threat ala the Bush Doctrine to lead him in Military affairs. To think ideology won’t matter is going to be a little bit naive.

  • http://pourmecoffee.blogspot.com pourmecoffee

    @sgw – Not what I said. I said he is choosing people based on his confidence they can solve problems. Of course, they’ve got to pass a baseline compatibility test, but what I see is a leader searching primarily for strong intellectual problem-solving skills.

  • http://pourmecoffee.blogspot.com pourmecoffee

    Put simply, I’d say he’s installing a Smartypantsocracy.

  • http://www.inworldstudios.com jayackroyd

    The Great American Hegemony Project marches on here.
    .
    But that is as expected.
    .
    Course, the fact that some knowledgeable Pentagon people say the armed forces are in disastrous shape may give pause to bellicose.
    .
    Rome comes to mind more and more often.

  • http://www.inworldstudios.com jayackroyd
  • http://elvisberg.wordpress.com Elvis Elvisberg

    IIRC, I saw Jones give a talk to a general audience when he was commandant, around 2000, and he called for allocating a constant percentage of GDP to military spending. That’s hardly a disqualifying view, but it’s a little cause of alarm, in my mind, because we shouldn’t need to peg defense spending to the same percentage we spent at any point during the Cold War.
    -
    As to Paul Dirks’ “non-insane” point, here’s a story I’ve probably told around here, but it too fits. When I was in college, an expert on Indonesia came and spoke to our class. He spoke highly of Megawati Sukarnoputri, but with few specifics. I asked him about her, and his, vagueness, and he gave an insightful, wry response. “That’s like the questions I get from Western journalists,” he said. “‘Well, what’s her position on the middle-class tax cut, and partial-birth abortion?’ But she stands for the rule of law. And that’s what’s important right now.”
    -
    I didn’t expect that ever to be the case here, but the last 8 years have been full of surprises.

  • http://www.inworldstudios.com jayackroyd

    I’d say he’s installing a Smartypantsocracy.
    .
    IN my family, there is a view that people must choose between being a dumbass and a smartypants. It’s not as automatic choice as you might think.

  • Joe Bftsplk

    Pourme, your “smartypantsocracy” gave me a great sense of relief. Two joke-free posts in a row had me worried that you were suffering some kind of mental lapse.
    And I’m not worthy to fill your shoes. Or cup.

  • http://pourmecoffee.blogspot.com pourmecoffee

    Ha! Leave my cup out of this!

  • JJ

    … and away from the neoconservative extremists whom he “palled around with” for the past decade…

    Snarky excellence!

  • Joe Bftsplk

    COFFEE cup, pourme, COFFEE cup!

  • sgwhiteinfla

    OT GM says they are now selling two of their luxury jets. Just how many do they have?

  • sgwhiteinfla

    I wonder if this means the Iraqis won’t be naming a square after George Bush after all….
    .
    http://thinkprogress.org/2008/11/21/saddams-square-now/

  • Andy from MA

    A smartypantsocracy is a big imporvement over the neanderthaltheocracy we’ve been living under for the past 8 years.

  • http://phd9.blogspot.com Paul Dirks

    GM says they are now selling two of their luxury jets. Just how many do they have?
    .
    There goes the neighborhood!
    .
    http://www.flickr.com/photos/phd9/407999128/
    .
    I hate how those forclosures drag down the surrounding properties.

  • Cliff

    I’m skeptical; I’ll have to see some results from all this pragmatic centrist realism people keep crowing about.

    But yeah, the parallels with Lincoln and FDR are encouraging.

  • http://www.inworldstudios.com jayackroyd

    Andy-
    .
    Kleptocracy
    .
    Paul–
    .
    Are they keeping the plain old regular jets?
    .
    There is no end to these perqs, of course.

  • southernbell49

    After the mediocracy of the Bush years, I’m looking forward to the Obama Smartypantscracy of the Obama team.

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  • cincinnatus est exterminata!

    “The Great American Hegemony Project marches on here.”
    .
    Though this teams track record hasn’t been great as of late, they appear pragmatic enough to understand that the days of US hegemony are over and that we are simply one of many military powers.
    .
    “Rome comes to mind more and more often.”
    .
    I’ve been banging that drum for a decade…glad others see it too. Collapse of the currency? Check. Collapse of the military? Check. Collapse of the borders? Check. Who gets to play Maximinus Thrax is my question.

  • formerlyjames

    Not to be contrary, but the post raises several questions in my mind, the biggest being the business of “bipartisan” foreign policy. It seems to me, that while the major parties have clashed on domestic policy, since WWII at least there has always been a bipartisan foreign policy. The basic tenents are based on maintaining the military might sufficient that we are the baddest on the block, snubbing Russia, and mucking about in other countries sovernity and general business. Certain bipartisianship was maintained in the insane incursion into Iraq. We are buddies with China, but have persecuted Cuba for over 50 years. What will be new exactly?

    As for Jones (I would suggest that he use his proper name of James for pr purposes), he sure seems to be a hail fellow, well met. Looking up his biography, there seems to be no mention as to what he was doing growing up in France. Was his father a diplomat during the nastiness of the Cold War? Don’t know. Very successful after retirement…board of director at Boeing and Chevron. Very well placed. Wonder if he flies around in private jets? Boeing surely has some of those and Chevron can surely spring for fuel. Getting silly now, but really, just not ready to jump on the happy wagon yet.

  • http://www.inworldstudios.com jayackroyd

    cincy–
    .
    You think they’re gonna end the occupation of Japan, of Germany, of Korea? Do you think they’re gonna end US “force projection”?
    .
    The Great American Hegemony Project is never discussed. It can’t until people talk about it out loud. This isn’t news; Obama signaled very clearly to the Village that he was on board. And the Village made sure that the the three presidential candidates (Gravel, Paul and Kucinich) raising these issues were viewed as nuts. Paul schooled Timmeh when Timmeh asked an incredibly stupid series of questions that culminated “What would you do if Iran invaded Israel” to which Paul. “They’re not going to invade Israel, Tim. They don’t share a border.”

  • cincinnatus est exterminata!

    “You think they’re gonna end the occupation of Japan, of Germany, of Korea?”
    .
    Probably not, though events may do it for them. Seriously, it’s what’s happening inside our borders that’s important. All the other stuff will fall away as we become poorer and poorer. I’m glad Obama won, he’llbuy us time, but ultimately this thing is over. American hegemony is over because basis for it is gone. No one was ever going to stand up and say enough w/ American hegemony. Empires don’t decide not to be empires, reality eventually imposes itself. So I’m not too terribly fired up about who Obama picks to fill these cabinet positions cuz essentially I just think it’s over anyway.

  • textee

    Leftist fantasist Joe Klein asserts: “And it would reflect a growing centrist consensus in the foreign policy/national security spectrum that includes most members of the Bush 41 and Clinton teams ….”

    The last time that I saw the leftist fantasist Klein make such an assertion about an alleged “growing centrist consensus”, Klein included (with no evidence, of course) the “uniformed military” in his alleged “consensus”. Evidently, Klein forgot to make the same bogus, ludicrous allegation this time.

  • etsumi

    textee–Joe Klein is a leftist!?

    Are you stoned?

  • cincinnatus est exterminata!

    …nope, just stupid, scared, cowardly and unable to face reality.

  • http://www.mercenaryscookbook.com memekiller

    I’m not sure how closely Joe reads the comments, so I guess this is a test. I’m doing a couple stories for local media in Denver/Boulder on the blogs and MSM, and I find Joe Klein to be an interesting case study.

    Josh Marshall seems to represent the collaborative reporting, where his readers offer tips and thoughts that shape his reporting, whereas most mainstream journalists seem to despise the “vitriol” of the rabble, and be more elitist and insular.

    Klein and Swampland seem to be one of the few places where MSM has effectively used the democratic aspect, and anyone who is a regular reader of Swampland has noticed a bit of a transition in Joe’s reporting. Many (like me) were originally quite spiteful of Joe, yet we didn’t scare him off, and he didn’t totally dismiss us, and even found areas where he agreed with us. It’s to the point where my least favorite pundit provided, in my opinion, the best campaign coverage.

    So, I’d like to get a quick quote from Joe, if I can, if not directly, then out here in the open, in a very blog fashion: how do you regard the penny seats these days, Joe? And how much do you feel they have influenced your thinking? Or, do you see your writing as not evolving at all the way we do? How much have you come to accept some of the TPM model, where you allow the general opinions of people who respond in places like Swampland to shape your reporting like any other inside source?

  • http://www.mercenaryscookbook.com memekiller

    I did a blog-interview at Squarestate.net for one of my stories. Join in, if you like.

  • http://www.mercenaryscookbook.com memekiller
  • formerlyjames

    memekiller, good luck on that. I have never, never seen Joe respond to anybody or anything in the open chat. I seem to recall that he notes something said by somebody in his blog. That’s it, and I’m not sure that I’m not confused with one of the other Time people. KT is the only one who actually engages here.

  • formerlyjames

    Correction…MS does too, but that is usually to respond to negative reactions to his blog. He suffers more grief than he should have to here.

  • kathy

    formerly and meme: JNS increasingly engages here, as well. Ann Marie used to, but McCain came between her good humor and us.
    .
    Joe has made it clear directly in some of his posts that he reads comments, but I don’t recall that he has ever engaged commenters in the thread.

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