In the Arena

Sunday Before the Day

The polls are holding, not tightening, it seems. McCain appeared on Saturday Night Live in a skit that appeared to be a concession to the inevitable. And the mood of many of my esteemed colleagues appears to be sober: Whomever wins will have a near impossible job as President. True enough, I suppose. There’s a lot of climbing to get out of the Bush hole.

David Ignatius has a column about how dreadful John F. Kennedy’s first year in office was. It’s a good and sobering reminder about what happens when a young and relatively inexperienced man becomes President, but the remarkable thing about Kennedy’s first year is that despite the Bay of Pigs disaster, despite the Vienna summit with Khruschev that probably was the first step toward the Cuban missile crisis, Kennedy’s popularity didn’t dip–indeed, he had the highest sustained popularity ratings of any President (until Bill Clinton, believe it or not).

Why? Because Kennedy changed the American zeitgeist. He was a rebirth of American youth and vigor–or, as he pronounced, vigah–after a very hard midcentury slog. His arrival announced the coming of age of a new America: where most people owned their own homes, where a much larger number of people went to college, where the prejudices of the past regarding race and sex–and eventually sexual orientation–had no future. He embodied the return of prosperity, optimism and idealism (a bit too idealistic and optimistic, in fact–in Vietnam). He changed the way the world looked at America, and changed the way we looked at ourselves. He inspired my generation to join the Peace Corps, march for civil rights, get involved in politics. The nation became more adventurous, bolder, sexier, more prosperous and more powerful. 

It seems to me that if Barack Obama wins, there will be similar changes–similar in impact, if not in content. Obama’s arrival may mean the beginning of yet another new America. I began to think about this after seeing two fine films this weekend, neither a mainstream box office hit–but both containing inklings of the zeitgeist to come. The first was Jonathan Demme’s Rachel Getting Married, which has a familiar story–tension at a wedding caused by a sister, home from drug rehab. That story is told well, acted brilliantly by Anne Hathaway…but the quietly wonderful thing about the film is that this is an interracial marriage, which seems to phase none of the participants (many of whom are terrific musicians) in the slightest. Race is never mentioned, and yet it is celebrated in the wild diversity of the music played. We’re not nearly colorblind as a society yet, of course…but we’re getting there and, if there is an Age of Obama, it’s possible that one of its primary features will be the burst of energy and creativity that comes with barriers demolished, opposites attracting. The great American multiverse could become a powerful attraction, once again, in a world riven by the vicious, miniscule ethnic fissures.

The other film was Mike Leigh’s Happy-Go-Lucky , in which nothing of import happens to a delightful, uncynical London schoolteacher named Poppy, fabulously played by Sally Hawkins. When he reviewed the film for the New Yorker, David Denby wondered if an entire movie could be carried by a happy protagonist–the answer in this case is a thunderous, yes. But it’s a question that could well be posed to those of us in the political media, mainstream and not: What would happen if the cynicism that afflicted us–crippled us, really–since Watergate suddenly dissipated? I’m not saying that we should ever stop being critical or skeptical, but what if our first impulse weren’t the debilitating assumption of bad intentions on the part of our public figures? What if we left open the possibility of nobility, the possibility of success? 

I’ve often said that cynicism is what passes for insight among the mediocre. Cynicism is certainly incompatible with a nation that believes in its future, believes that it can act creatively for the common good. No doubt, it will be extremely difficult for Barack Obama to succeed as President, if he is elected. He may not have the strength or wisdom necessary for the job; his priorities may the wrong ones. But the very fact of his election, should it occur, will signal that the United States of America that we live in is not the United States that a great many people–including many of my colleagues–imagined we lived in. It will be a place where race can be transcended, a world where film directors are inspired to take the boldest of leaps and imagine a world where cynicism isn’t our social default position. And it has the potential to be any number of other things we haven’t begun to imagine yet…because it will be someplace new.

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  • hickoryduck

    As a young voter (22), one of my hopes for a (possible) Obama presidency is that it signals the end of this Vietnam mentality of Us vs. Them and Moral vs. Amoral.

    Sorry to all the older folks out there, but frankly, we’re over it.

  • ctvoter

    What a hopeful column.

    I was 14 when Watergate occurred. I have spent my entire adult life assuming the worst when it comes to politicians. That they’re acting entirely out of political expediency rather than in the pursuit of the greater good. I cannot imagine thinking otherwise, but mabye, just maybe, if Obama wins, I can begin to.

  • Paul-no not that one

    “Whomever wins will have a near impossible job as President. True enough, I suppose. There’s a lot of climbing to get out of the Bush hole.”
    .
    We were talking at dinner last night and observing we didn’t have the nerves we had 4 years ago. The first thought was that the election doesnt appear to be as close but after giving it more thought it was that last time was bigger.
    Then we could have stopped Bush from continuing, now it is all about cleaning up.

  • 53_3

    ” It will be a place where race can be transcended, a world where film directors are inspired to take the boldest of leaps and imagine a world where cynicism isn’t our social default position. And it has the potential to be any number of other things we haven’t begun to imagine yet…because it will be someplace new.”
    .
    Joe:
    .
    Your evolution from a kneejerk Republican to a thoughtful one is to be admired. You have as clearly as anyone, enunciated the idea that hatred in any form does not have to be conflated onto the conservaitve agenda.
    .
    I’m sure that in many areas, you are and will remain a conservative, and as a conservative, you are as valuable to this country as any liberal.
    .
    I congratulate you, and I admire the changes you have gone through.
    .
    You see, in a sense, my time on Swampland has featured a focus on that hatred, probably more than anything else I’ve done.
    .
    So in a manner of speaking, just like they predator becomes extinct when the prey item it feeds on becomes extinct, maybe, just maybe, I will become extinct as well!
    .
    I sincerely hope so, Joe…

  • http://www.inworldstudios.com jayackroyd

    Well, Kennedy did look to be on the way to being an unsuccessful president. He stood up to the generals over the missile crisis, though. And that’s enough for my book.
    .
    Kennedy did not have the intellectual heft that Obama has. If Obama can be decisive and act with perseverance, he may be a great president.

  • Ohg Rea Tone

    We have watched these two men with great interest. Obama has demonstrated that he is a practical man who acts with deliberate purpose. This speaks to Obama governing from the center ………………

    http://thefiresidepost.com/2008/11/01/obama-will-govern-from-the-center/

  • http://engstudent.wordpress.com/ Eric the student

    Nice commentary Joe, it has heart and dare I say hope, if not in Obama, in the America we are asking him to lead.
    .
    I suppose this is the moment of switch where we recognize Obama cannot be the simple cause of a great and future America and maynot give us everything he’s promised, because he is like us, imperfect, human. The moment where we begin taking notes, and wait for the inevitable incompleteness from what we expected. Where we begin to critizize the man, who gives his best shot at leading America the way it should be led. When the novelty of the new toy begins to wear…
    .
    Oh wait – 2 more days.
    .
    I hope the time cover story won’t read, “4 more years”, AGAIN. (:
    .

  • mikeboyscout

    Good analysis.
    But it would be useful if our pundits and commentators maintained a rational view after the election – no matter who we elect President.
    Hold him accountable based on facts and data. Give him credit when credit is due.

    The cynicism you write about has often been instigated from less than objective and dishonest journalism on the part of our media super stars.

  • kathy

    I was thinking just this morning that I would have had a hard time voting for the 72 yr old in this race even in the party labels were reversed – not because of age per se, but because I know that there are few 72 yr olds who understand the zeitgeist of this age. I’m pretty sure I don’t either, even though I’m younger than McCain. But I am frequently reminded (and here, too – no need to apologize hickory duck – you’re right) that there are important aspects of this society that I don’t take for granted, because I didn’t grow up with them. It doesn’t mean I can’t understand them, but that the innovative possibilities don’t spring immediately to mind.
    .
    Barack Obama has a supple mind, and besides his intellectual brilliance he brings an intuitive understanding of the possibilities for this country in this age, because he’s absorbed them as he’s grown, and reflected on them as he’s lived the transition. His campaign itself is all the proof we need that he’s thinking in ways that Hillary’s and McCain’s cohort couldn’t or didn’t.
    .
    (I also see here, from time to time, that there is still wisdom in their elders that the young don’t always see.)

  • http://pourmecoffee.blogspot.com pourmecoffee

    One of the things I like best about the Obama campaign is the slight disrespect for tradition that it has from top to bottom. Perhaps that’s another way of saying “change,” or maybe it’s youth. But, it’s new.

  • kathy

    Having Kennedy elected was sort of like the Red Sox winning in 2004. Nothing was ever the same afterwords.

  • shepherdwong

    “I’m not saying that we should ever stop being critical or skeptical, but what if our first impulse weren’t the debilitating assumption of bad intentions on the part of our public figures?

    Cynicism shouldn’t be anyone’s first impulse, even for journalists covering politicians. Cynicism, like trust, should be earned by behavior. One of the biggest problems with the modern media (and much of the public) isn’t that they are too cynical, it’s that they have lost the ability to discern who is deserving of their cynicism (or trust). In particular, the media’s vesting their trust in people who repeatedly lie to them (mostly Republicans) and showing open cynicism toward politicians who haven’t earned it (often Democrats) has led directly to their failure to tell the public the truth about who best represents their interests and, therefore, the public’s own cynicism toward both relatively trustworthy politicians and the media itself.

  • hickoryduck

    Everything you said is right on kathy. There are 350 million people in this country, all with their own needs and worries and attitudes, but the generational mindsets that bind people are always slightly prevalent.

    McCain is all about fighting, fighting in Vietnam, for his life, for the country. I dare say that we don’t want a fighter anymore, that’s all we’ve grown up with.

  • dumdedumdum

    I agree that the incoming president will have a very full plate, and I (at 53) agree with young hickoryduck above that the opportunity to put so many things from the Vietnam era (which is McCain’s calling card) into our political history is a welcome one.

    Thanks for mentioning the Mike Leigh movie. I haven’t seen Happy Go Lucky, but 2 of my favorite movies are 2 utterly different ones, both directed by Leigh, Naked and Topsy Turvy

  • hickoryduck

    And as an aside, I hope Anne Hathaway gets an Oscar nom for her performance in Rachel Getting Married. She deserves a bit of good news after dealing with her slimy (and McCain supporting) ex.

  • Donut

    “I’m not saying that we should ever stop being critical or skeptical, but what if our first impulse weren’t the debilitating assumption of bad intentions on the part of our public figures? What if we left open the possibility of nobility, the possibility of success?”

    Hickoryduck alludes to what I’m about to say above, but let me make it more clear, Joe.
    .
    YOUR generation is crippled by Vietnam and Watergate. Not others. This is not an American phenomenon – it is a generational curse. I don’t share these attitudes with you, and I suspect a great many of my generational cohorts don’t, either, and certainly people 10, 15 years younger than me, people young enough to be your kids, are not nearly as debilitated by this cynicism.
    .
    I am 37 years old. I wasn’t born when the US sent “advisors” and then troops into Vietnam. I wasn’t born when Johnson escalated the conflict. I was barely able to keep myself from cr@pping in my pants when Nixon resigned.
    .
    So, let’s be clear – you’re talking about a hurdle that your generation needs to clear – not mine, not Obama’s – who though 10 years my senior, is in generational makeup/attitude really much more like me than you.
    .
    Maybe now that you’re all finally graying, and your generation is passing the torch (hopefully), the country can again move beyond this horribly bleak attitude many of you have about politics. For the first time since the elder Bush was retired by Bill Clinton, we will (likely) have a president for whom Vietnam and Watergate were not formative experiences. It’s a good time, it’s the right time, for this to happen.

  • Donut

    Hey Time High Sheriffs – this moderation thing has got to go. It really makes posting here a chore and a bore.

  • kathy

    Donut – until your generation (and mine, for that matter) defeats those with the vietnam era mindset, your generation is also crippled by it.

  • rose83

    Joe, great post. You’ve articulated why from the very start of this election I saw this as a choice between Obama and HRC: two historic candidates whose election would change everything.

    Kathy, I’ve been uninterested in age throughout this election, and I think I’ve finally figured out why. I’m lucky enough to come from a family with some amazing older people – I’m talking 80s and 90s – who are able to look at the world in a very open-minded way, with fresh eyes. As a consequence, I found it really difficult to see age as an important quality in this election. In my own experience, age isn’t really strongly correlated with anything. But I do see the necessity of a President who can look at the world differently, in a new way. McCain is clearly not that person.

    BTW, I find it fascinating that Palin is always talked about in terms of gender and/or socioeconomic background, but almost never in terms of age. Palin often seems much younger than Obama – and not in a good way. She seems immature at times.

    Oh, and while this election has had its depressing moments, there is one other thing we can all look to as evidence that the old divisions are dying: the white lady is the best dancer in this election!

  • http://www.inworldstudios.com jayackroyd

    It’s really not the war, you know. Or the Vietnam war, anyway. This is really about finally ending the Civil War, completing Reconstruction.

  • hickoryduck

    You’re lucky in that sense rose83. My experience with people in their 80s and 90s have for the most part, though thankfully not always, included instances of hardheadedness and ignorance, and I find myself often saying, “Well they’re old and set in their ways, what ya gonna do?”

    Which brings up an interesting thing I’ve always wondered, which is at what age does it become time to start thinking about what’s best for the younger generations instead of what’s best for you?

  • arinkay

    @ hickoryduck:

    Why does what’s best for the younger generations need to be different from what’s best for you (or me, or anyone older than someone else)? I’d say that one reason why so many people of so many generations have found that Obama’s candidacy has resonated so deeply. There is little sense of “them”; it’s about an inclusive “us”.

  • hickoryduck

    Obviously there are things that bind all of us, and are needed for the common good. But to think that different generations don’t have different priorities and necessities would be foolhardy. Off the top of my head, the issue of affordable college education is something that I have found there’s quite a disconnect in.

    It used to be that getting into college and graduating with a bachelor’s was enough. Increasingly however, with the job market dwindling, your only seemingly real guarantee in life is to go to grad school. But with the price of tuition skyrocketing, we’re saddled with more and more debt. And then the fact that the cost of sending my potential children to college could cost upwards of half a million dollars, it all starts swirling down the drain.

    In conversations with friends of my parents, it seems to me that they don’t understand why so many of my generation are taking longer and longer to find suitable jobs after graduation. And this was really way long and probably didn’t properly explain anything, haha.

  • Art Pepper

    I’ve thought for awhile that some of the media pundits who dislike Obama, do so because they don’t believe America can be great again. That’s what David Brooks seems to dislike most about Obama – his message of hope. That’s why Brooks wrote that mocking satire of Obama’s convention speech.
    -
    I’m the generation after Watergate and Viet Nam, which means I’m the generation of Reagan, so I’ve always assumed that politicians were out to screw me. Personally I don’t have any great hope in the future of the country. I think we’ve entered a long, irreversible period of moral and economic decline, and I’ve made my peace with that. But at least we can try. The GOP doesn’t even want to do that much.
    -

  • calkate

    Cynicism has become so crippling on the left as much as the right that we don’t just disbelieve the words, we laugh at the effort. Promises and proposals are preemptively dismissed with a knee-jerk sneer. Every time I have hear McCain and Palin tell us that Obama will do the opposite of what he says, or read a blog post or heard a Republican joe-voter on the tee-vee dismissing Obama’s tax cut proposals with words equivalent to “but he won’t DO it” I wonder, what will it do to their world view if he does? Will he even get credit if he tries?

    Blind idealism is no better than zealotry. But that doesn’t make a little idealism a bad thing. Just as we need to proudly proclaim ourselves as liberals, we need to shed our world-weary cynicism and embrace a little idealism, a little simple patriotism, a little love for our fellow man. Heck, I might even try to make friends with a Republican!

  • Cliff

    Great post, Joe. I hope Obama turns out to be as revolutionary, as revitalizing as much as you do.
    .
    Here’s a thought experiment: The virtues that Joe lists throughout his post (joining the Peace Corps, getting involved in civics, expectation of leaders to do good, creativity and understanding and all that) – do the inhabitants of the crazy Conservative Bizarroverse consider these to be evil, reprehensible acts?
    .
    At this point, I think they do.

  • rose83

    Obviously there are things that bind all of us, and are needed for the common good. But to think that different generations don’t have different priorities and necessities would be foolhardy. Off the top of my head, the issue of affordable college education is something that I have found there’s quite a disconnect in.

    hickoryduck, agreed. But I’m not sure 47 year-olds and 72 year-olds will necessarily see the issue differently. In this particular case, both Obama and McCain have pre-college age children whose education they will easily be able to pay for. 27 year-olds, OTOH, will see it differently… Maybe that’s more of an argument to elect younger people to Congress.

  • calkate

    HickoryDuck, I have a daughter about your age, slowly working her way through college. I sympathize with your concerns. But let me tell you- grad school is no guarantee – there are no guarantees, beyond what you are doing (being clearly smart, well read, informed, involved). I would not listen to friends of your parents. If there is one thing that characterizes the generations that are now 40-60, it is a complete obliviousness to how lucky they (we) were, in the matter of when and where they were born. I know a lot of these people… They all think they did it on their own. When they have children they are the first people in history to have done so – my God! we need better schools for my incredibly amazing children! When they get sick, no one else has ever experienced it – lo, health insurance is a right – why did no-one realize this (poor Hillary in 92)?! When their parents come down with alzheimers, suddenly stem cell research is the right thing to do. At my business school commencement in the 80s Ivan Boesky spoke and told us “greed is good” (OK, it was Berkeley, so there was a ripple of boos). But that has been this country’s mantra for a very very long time: look out for yourself (or be a chump). Now, finally, people are realizing they CAN’T look out for themselves if no one is looking out for the country. I think, believe it or not, you are going to be part of a very lucky generation, a can-do generation that rejects my cohort’s frantic “get-ahead” struggle and gets back to the basics of a good life in a good country.

  • centfan

    I think it’s about an appreciation of history and all forms of information. I’m 45, so Obama and I have at least the same time reference. I’ve tried to learn a little about everything because that’s the way I was raised. I think Obama is the same way. If he appreciates history and technology and all the lessons available and dangers demonstrated by both then there is no crisis he can’t be ready for.

    Bottom line, if he was never told (as so many Americans apparently have) that certain knowledge is immoral or beneath him or effeminate, then he’s far better prepared than most of the people I see around me to handle any situation. Yes, flexibility of mind. Anything, good and bad, is possible. We don’t need surprises that are a shock to us and our elected leaders, and we don’t need to do it that way because that’s the only way we know how.

  • chucksname

    Joe, I think you should give Obama a better chance of being successful. Yes the problems are huge. But if we’ve learned anything the past 18 months, it’s that Obama is capable overcoming huge problems.

  • Donut

    Kathy @ 18 –
    .
    Good point, and I won’t totally disagree with you. However, sometimes attrition comes not with electoral/political victory. Sometimes a generation just cycles out. That will happen whether Obama wins or loses, eventually.
    .
    I think I also should have been more specific – I’m focusing for the moment more on the presidential part of our political leadership.
    .
    If Obama wins, seeing as how the youngest of boomers are currently around 50, it’s hard to imagine that we will ever have another president for whom Watergate and Vietnam are defining experiences. A 50-ish boomer would have been 14-16 years old when Nixon resigned, right? This is Obama’s age, exactly, and while I’m sure he certainly grasps the significance of Nixon and Vietnam, it’s pretty obvious to me that neither was a formative event for him, in terms of shaping his relationship to government and how it can and should be run. This means that in George W., we’ve probably had our second and last boomer president.

  • Donut

    Well, whaddaya know, the moderator-bot doesn’t hold a post with “Nixon.” Perhaps it was the use of “cr@pping” as an expletive?????

  • Donut

    Nope, I guess not.

  • viciousmaniac

    “Donut – until your generation (and mine, for that matter) defeats those with the vietnam era mindset, your generation is also crippled by it.”
    .
    And so we shall. Great post btw, Donut.
    .
    Sigh, it had been a long long time, Joe, since you trotted out that ol’ boomer cross of gold, JFK, to make pat comparisons to Obama, so much for your streak. :( At least the 60′s wankery was kept to a mim. You are very right about both men bringing about a changed zeitgeist, that’s something I had been saying all along about Obama, explaining the push he’s fought against from Hillary and now McCain.

    P.S., I’m pretty sure JFK had more than just one disastrous year as CIC. Unless you don’t believe Vietnam, the installation of Sadaam’s Baath Party in Iraq, the betrayal of the Kurds, and Alliance for Progress as disasters.

  • mickeymusing

    Joe,

    I also worry about the huge hurdles the next president will have to face. Outside of FDR, has any other president been handed such a mess? I suspect things are much worse than we even know given the secrecy of the Bush administration. Unlike during JFK’s time, a democratic president today will have to not only fight the legitimate battles of the office but–if the Clinton presidency taught us anything–will also be constantly under attack by petty faux outrages by the hard right wing of the Republican party. Maybe we have matured and are past that silliness, but if the reaction to Sarah Palin and the nonsense she spews is any indication, low-information voters with petty grievances and their elected representatives are alive and well and living in “real” America.

    Despite that I am hopeful because either candidate will be an agent of change–intentionally or not. At this point, if we don’t consciously decide to try other alternatives, they will be forced upon us by circumstances. I am hoping for an Obama win for many reasons, but if McCain should win, he will be our president and he will need the support of the country. We are going to all have to pull together to deal with the challenges ahead. If I were the praying sort, I would be asking God to give the next president wisdom and the rest of the country patience while we work our way through this mess.

  • kbanginmotown

    @centfan: Prosit! Here’s to being 45!
    .
    As long as we’re talking about generational issues: what I find fascinating about this election cycle is how quickly the American electorate is ready to “move on” past the baby boom generation to pass the torch to Gen X – a generation for which Obama, centfan and I are the advance guard.
    .
    Think about it: from 1952 to 1992 (40 yrs), the Commanders-In-Chief all served in WWII. From 1992-2008 (16 years), the 2 presidents were boomers. Now, it appears that the next president will be post-boomer.
    .
    I do wonder why this is so. For all their bravado, the “Class of 1968″ will be remembered for the impression they *failed* to make on the political landscape.
    .
    @Joe: Re: “what if our first impulse weren’t the debilitating assumption of bad intentions on the part of our public figures?”
    Yeah, then you’d be in the la-la-land of Jay Carney, who doesn’t suspect for a minute that the dismissals of various US Attorneys throughout the country could be part of a Rovian master plan; or the world you yourself inhabited earlier this year when you saw nothing wrong with the “enhancements” to the FISA legislation.
    Sorry, Joe. Re-read “The Jungle” if you must, but cynicism is here to stay. Even when Obama gets elected.

  • etsumi

    Nicely put Joe–the media and citizens alike should never give up entirely their adversarial stance BUT giving the man, the admin (anything but “commander in chief” please) a shot, some time to adjust, would be wise for all of us. Turning on him in the first few mo’s, tearing down the living-bronze Obama, is highly counterproductive. He can accomplish much of this by continuing to speak to all segments of America, inviting them into his finer vision–neo-FDR like. But the media too, corp entity that it’s become, must not grow too impatient, focusing on the piffle and the sexy in lieu of the transcendant causes that must be addressed. I’ll be more impressed if this anti-cynical tone is the one you’re using 6 months or a year from now. Otherwise, we’ll be posting this momentary thought in response to the same old Joe.

    And I say this as the person voted most cyncial of his HS class.

  • Donut

    “Outside of FDR, has any other president been handed such a mess?”

    .
    Lincoln.
    .
    You might also make a case for Carter.

  • JJ

    …or, as he pronounced, vigah…

    Hey, you and the Yankees can sue us. Wicked pissah.

  • omorka

    Cynicism is the default pose for a Gen13er (aka GenXer). We grew up in a world that was falling apart, where faith in government was considered laughable but faith in the market was a given. But we don’t like it very much. We don’t believe in our cynicism; it’s just there. The generation after us – the Millennials (or the Echo, or GenY) – are about to rebel against the prevailing tone of the day, as they always do. If that means a rebellion against our default cynicism – and according to Strauss and Howe, they’re a Civic generation, so it’s likely – then more power to ‘em.

  • mjshep

    I gotta say –

    This is one of the best things that I have read from you, Mr. Klein. And yes, that is Mr. Klein, not Joe, not Joke Line. You deserve that respect for writing this.

    I have similar trepidations about an Obama Presidency considering the enormous mountain of difficulties that he will encounter. I also have a reasonable amount of – dare I say it – hope that his intelligence, temperament and astounding self-possessed coolness will allow him to transcend those difficulties and leave a great mark on history.

    We shall see.

  • http://blogs.crikey.com.au/us08/2008/11/03/joe-the-journalist/ Joe the Journalist – US Election 2008

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