In the Arena

Consumer Credit Crunch

Bob Reich has an interesting theory about the continuing stock market cataclysm: the market has now realized that people aren’t able to pay off their credit card bills, which means a second pillar of our national fantasy–first mortgages, now plastic–is crumbling. It seems to me that one excellent point that Sarah Palin made in the [...]

In the Arena

Better to Be…

“a guy of the street” than a guy of the gutter. But seriously, folks, I’m beginning to worry about the level of craziness on the Republican side, the over-the-top, stampede-the-crowd statements by everyone from McCain on down, the vehemence of the crowds that McCain and Palin are drawing with people shouting “Kill him” and “He’s [...]

The Women’s Vote Revisited

That’s why they call them swing voters. When I wrote about the women’s vote in dead-tree TIME a few weeks back, in the days after the GOP convention, our polling was showing that there was indeed a decided “Palin effect.” John McCain and Barack Obama were running dead-even among women voters overall, and among older, [...]

Sarah Palin Is Her Own New Bicycle

Republicans seem to be bringing up abortion a lot lately — I suppose it’s one issue that will turn out the Evangelicals for whom the ticket would ideally be reversed. Palin, of course, is the ideal spokesperson for this message so I was expecting something fiery from her appearance on the Laura Ingraham show today. [...]

The Role of Race–Maybe Not So Much

Gallup has some interesting new data. And in the dead-tree TIME that hits newsstands tomorrow, our colleague David Von Drehle’s cover story has yet another perspective, this one from the ground in Missouri: I soon gathered that six of the eight adults standing in that driveway planned to vote for Obama in November. Their support [...]

In the Arena

What If…

Andrew Sullivan doubts the McCain campaign’s rationale for its wall-to-wall, triple-ply ugliness and I agree. I mean, say Obama had accepted McCain’s town hall invitation…and say Obama had cleaned McCain’s clock as efficiently as he’s been doing in the debates…you don’t think Steve Schmidt would been scavenging through the sewers as he’s doing now in [...]

Father Sam Explains It All

“Father” as in “my dad.” Attentive readers may recall that Samuel H. Cox is a famous actuary. After listening to a McCain staffer tell a colleague how much better off he’d be under McCain’s health care plan than he is now with a joint union “flex plan,” I realized that I had been basically assuming [...]

In the Arena

The Real World

Things are not going so well in Afghanistan.

In the Arena

Latest Column

On why Obama is winning the debates, and the election.

Dial Group Madness

I was doing some cable TV duty last night and had the bad luck to follow a segment about a focus group of voters being dial tested during the debate. Dial groups are bad enough, but actually putting this madness on television as a verdict of some kind is reckless. I said as much at [...]