Nate Silver took a look, and while this isn’t surprising, it tells you a lot:
Among 38 incumbent congressmen in races rated as “toss-up” or “lean” by Swing State Project, just 8 voted for the bailout as opposed to 30 against: a batting average of .211.
By comparison, the vote among congressmen who don’t have as much to worry about was essentially even: 197 for, 198 against.
Remember, telephone calls to congressional offices were running about 100 to 1 against this bill.
And he updates his own post:
UPDATE: A helpful reader named Matt Glassman passed along the fact that, among 26 congressmen NOT running for re-election (almost all of whom are Republicans), 23 voted in favor of the bill, as opposed to 2 against and one abstaining.
H/T to commenter Trifecta for calling this to our attention.
UPDATE: Ben Smith notes that John McCain’s entire home-state delegation voted against the bill. Half of Obama’s did, too.