James Baker on Global Warming: It’s the Cows, Stupid.

I’m late catching up to this, but Mr. Swamp points me to this odd exchange in that CNN forum with former Secretaries of State: AMANPOUR: So it’s a gathering of like minds on the origin of climate change and perhaps on what we need to do about it. What does the United States need to [...]

In the Arena

Next Day Thoughts

If there’s been a rookie of the year in this year’s presidential campaign coverage, it’s Nate Silver–a baseball stats guy who has turned his talents to politics and produced some of the most creative slicing and dicing of polling numbers at his website fivethirtyeight.com. Today’s offering is typical Silver: he takes the snap polling results [...]

Debate thoughts…

No game-changer; the debate essentially a tie. Maybe a slight edge on points to McCain as he did put Obama on the defensive quite a few times although at the price of a crusty tone. Both campaigns will now employ first-rate funhouse mirror logic to claim smashing victories. McCain will say this puts him back [...]

Obama Campaign Morning-After Conference Call

is underway. Campaign manager David Plouffe is already trying to set expectations low for the next debate, which will have a town hall format. He is saying that John McCain is the “‘undisputed town hall champion,” and that all they are hoping is to “escape unscathed.” Riiiggghttt…

Moving Pictures: Debate #1

From the video wizards at Time.com:

In the Arena

The Debate

My evaluation. No grades, but a narrow win for Obama. Correction: In my haste to produce instant analysis late last night, I slightly misquoted John McCain: He said the fundamentals of the economy were “strong,” not good. Either way, it was a serious error–and the most significant sentence he has uttered in this campaign.

What Sayeth the Undecideds?

From TIME’s Amy Sullivan: Democratic pollster Stan Greenberg ran a dial-group with 45 undecided voters in St. Louis during the debate, polling them before and after to judge how the event changed their reactions to Obama and McCain. The group was mostly middle-aged, split evenly among education and class lines, and was heavily comprised of [...]