Sleazy Campaign Tactic of the Day

The chairman of the Republican Party in Virginia is warning people not to register to vote*: Frederick is calling on Gov. Timothy M. Kaine (D) and Attorney General Robert F. McDonnell (R) to launch an investigation. Frederick is also urging residents to avoid giving their names or social security numbers to canvassers seeking to register [...]

Re: Poll Magic – USAT/Gallup has McCain up by 4

We should be as doubtful about McCain being up 4 as we should have been about Obama being up 9. I think you can recycle Mark Blumenthal’s points about the earlier poll to apply to this one, especially, I think, this: “[I]f the volatility is about voter preferences and not poll methodology, [it's due to] [...]

Poll Magic – USAT/Gallup has McCain up by 4

More than 40 days and nights have passed since a credible polling outfit released a survey showing John McCain with even the smallest of leads in a national horserace poll. Now USA Today has a poll with Gallup that puts the Republican up by four points over Obama among likely voters. “Say again?” you ask. [...]

Random: Bad News Pretty Much All Around.

• I’ve always suspect that the fashion industry hates women, but it turns out that it also hates America! [Newsbusters] • Bob Novak has a brain tumor. [Human Events] • Babs speaks! [Politico] • Obama victim of email hoax. No, seriously. [UPI]

In the Arena

“I Stand Corrected”

Excuse me. I should have noted this earlier, but Kevin Drum does a good job of it now. The lede of Michael Scherer’s tax policy piece is devastating…and how often can you say that about a tax policy piece: “The choice in this election is stark and simple,” John McCain said at recent Denver event, [...]

How to Get a Job at the Justice Department

NOTE: Ana and I seem to have a collision of posts on this topic. She beat me by five minutes. See below. A new internal report by the Justice Department’s IG finds that senior aides there broke the law–and damaged the department–with their politically motivated hiring practices. AG Muskasey says he is “disturbed” by the [...]

The Goodling Report

The DoJ has released a report [PDF] dealing with (among other things) the politicization of hiring practices in the department. No offense to the investigators or anything, but it doesn’t sound like it was exactly hard to sniff out: On March 26, 2004, Rosenberg sent an e-mail to Comey and Levey identifying a detail candidate [...]

In the Arena

Kirkuk Powder Keg

Just when things seemed to be simmering down in Iraq, they simmer back up again. Brian Katulis argues that the bombing today in Kirkuk may be the start of a dangerous period in that heavily contested, crucial oil-proximate city–and he’s right. I’d add that the Turks have an ethnic stake in the fate of the [...]

Warning: Story About Lack of Substance

The LA Times’ On the Media column points out a provocative study from (my old employer) the Center on Media and Public Affairs that seems to deflate the conventional wisdom that Obama is benefiting from favorable media coverage. The center classified statements about the candidates from the nightly network newscasts over the past six weeks [...]

Misleading Oppo From the DNC

The Democratic National Committee just sent around an oppo paper by email suggesting that John McCain adviser Douglas Holtz-Eakin had backtracked on McCain’s promise not to raise taxes. This is false. The quote in question is from an interview I conducted. Holtz-Eakin never suggested that McCain would raise taxes. He did say that he now [...]