Re: Conventional Wisdom

It’s worth taking a moment to note here that while tomorrow’s headlines will almost certainly be about the popular vote, the delegate math in Pennsylvania is (as it was in Texas) an entirely different proposition–and it could take a while to sort that one out. Areas with strong Democratic performance in the past get extra delegates, which is likely to work mostly in Obama’s favor. Congressman Chaka Fattah’s heavily African-American district in Philadelphia, for instance, will elect nine delegates, and is a likely Obama win; Congressman Bill Shuster’s reliably Republican one in the southern part of the state, which Clinton is likely to carry, only gets three.