McCain’s “Path to Victory”

PowerPoint is the soccer mom of 2007:

More Oprah Than You Can Possibly Stand

And more of me.

Rudy’s Iran Ad

Over at the Chicago Tribune blog (which is called “The Swamp,” and was here first, which might be something they should take up with the High Sheriffs), Jason George takes a look at Rudy Giuliani’s latest ad and discovers: Rudy Guiliani’s newest television ad brims with some of his favorite campaign themes: the threat of [...]

Bill: Hillary Is the Change Candidate

Bill Clinton unveiled a new pitch to voters in Ames, IA, today, arguing that his wife has been a force for change throughout her life. The new theme comes as Hillary Clinton tries to steady her campaign and halt the surge — in Iowa and elsewhere — of Barack Obama, who has been selling himself [...]

Pollster.com: More Strange “Poll” Calls

Friend of Swampland Mark Blumenthal takes a look at another set of possible “push polls” in Iowa. And while he decides that it’s almost impossible to tell who’s behind them, their existence does tell us something about the race: The first is about the blurring of the lines between traditional polling and telemarketing. Campaigns have [...]

Mitt’s Notes on Religion

The Weekly Standard editorial team may yet have a soft spot for McCain….

What Voters (Say They) Want

Horse-race polls are the highly addictive opiate that political obsessives crave. But they tell us only the “what” of an election, not the “why.” And so Time decided to invest its polling dollars into a different kind of survey — one that dissects what’s on voters minds, what they say matters to them and how [...]

UPDATE: The 15-Million Question

My post on this subject last week sparked a lively and substantive discussion among our commenters. As promised, the New Republic’s Jonathan Cohn–whose writing, for my money, is must-read for anyone who really wants to understand both the policy and the politics of health care–has returned to the subject. He takes a look at Barack [...]

Re: The Oprah Effect

Of the numbers Karen posted, attendance is possibly the least important metric of them all. What matters the most — and what these rallies were really about — was culling a universe of potential voters that no other candidate has. Pundits who pontificated as to whether Oprah would change people’s minds about Obama missed the [...]

The Oprah Effect

The Obama campaign this morning offers these metrics: At least 66,500 attended the rallies (More than 29,000 in Iowa, more than 29,000 in South Carolina and 8,500 in New Hampshire) 4,250 volunteers helped to build the events in the week prior and the day of the events (2,300 in South Carolina, 1,300 in Iowa and [...]