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Here’s David Yepsen–who has covered more caucuses than (even) me–on the meaning of the polls.
And here’s the most important thing you should know about Iowa:
Finally, the polls show 69 percent of the Democrats and 77 percent of the Republicans say they could be persuaded to change their minds.
That will be true, I would guess, until the last two weeks of the campaign.
Most people have hobbies: golf, model trains, restoring old cars, whatever. A year after Ron Paul announced his Republican presidential bid, I have concluded that his supporters must not do these things. They can’t possibly have the time. While others are at rest or at play, Paul’s supporters are on the Internet, googling his name and diving into the comments sections of news articles to register their opinions.
The much-heralded and long-awaited Obama campaign media attack on Mitt Romney began Monday with a reporter conference call and the release of two videos bemoaning the pain caused after Romney’s former private equity firm, Bain Capital, took over a Missouri steel company called GST Steel. The effort is textbook negative politics, from the sympathetic white working class steel men bemoaning their lost careers to the talk about “values” and the shots of lonely industrial wastelands left by the collective failure of Romney, Bain and GST.
